000
ABNT20 KNHC 281155
TWOAT

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
700 AM EST THU NOV 28 2013

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY IN ASSOCIATION WITH A SURFACE
TROUGH LOCATED OVER THE EASTERN ATLANTIC HAS BEEN INCREASING OVER
THE PAST SEVERAL HOURS.  A NON-TROPICAL LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM IS
FORECAST TO DEVELOP IN THIS AREA DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS...
AND THE LOW COULD GRADUALLY ACQUIRE SUBTROPICAL CHARACTERISTICS
OVER THE WEEKEND AS IT MOVES GENERALLY NORTHEASTWARD. THIS SYSTEM
HAS A LOW CHANCE...20 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A SUBTROPICAL CYCLONE
DURING THE 48 HOURS...AND A MEDIUM CHANCE...30 PERCENT...OF
BECOMING A SUBTROPICAL OR TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS.

&&

FIVE-DAY FORMATION PROBABILITIES ARE EXPERIMENTAL IN 2013. COMMENTS
ON THE EXPERIMENTAL FORECASTS CAN BE PROVIDED AT...

HTTP://WWW.NWS.NOAA.GOV/SURVEY/NWS-SURVEY.PHP?CODE=ETWO

$$
FORECASTER STEWART