Tropical Weather Outlook and Summary
Issued by NWS

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ABNT20 KNHC 281140

800 AM EDT MON SEP 28 2015

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
Depression Eleven, located about midway between the central Bahamas
and Bermuda.

An area of low pressure centered over the south-central Gulf of
Mexico, about 300 miles west of Key West, is producing a large area
of disorganized showers and thunderstorms that extends from western
Cuba northward across the eastern Gulf of Mexico.  The circulation
associated with this system has become a little less well defined
since yesterday, and upper-level winds are not favorable for
significant development.  The system is expected to move northward
toward the northern Gulf Coast over the next 24 to 36 hours, to the
east of a broader non-tropical area of low pressure located over the
western Gulf of Mexico.  An Air Force Reserve reconnaissance
aircraft is scheduled to investigate the low this afternoon, if
necessary.  Regardless of whether or not the system becomes a
tropical cyclone, locally heavy rains are likely over portions of
the southeastern United States during the next few days.  For
additional information on this system, see High Seas Forecasts
issued by the National Weather Service and products from your local
National Weather Service office.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent


Public Advisories on Tropical Depression Eleven are issued under
WMO header WTNT31 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCPAT1.
Forecast/Advisories on Tropical Depression Eleven are issued under
WMO header WTNT21 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCMAT1.

High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service can be
found under AWIPS header NFDHSFAT1, WMO header FZNT01 KWBC, and
on the Web at

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