Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Binghamton, NY

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000 FXUS61 KBGM 172312 AFDBGM Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Binghamton NY 612 PM EST Wed Jan 17 2018 .SYNOPSIS... A mainly dry period is forecast through the weekend along with moderating temperatures. By the weekend high temperatures will be in the lower to middle 40s. && .NEAR TERM /THROUGH THURSDAY/... Surface ridging overnight will lead to mainly clear skies and cold conditions. Westerly flow over Lake Ontario will bring scattered flurries and snow showers to northern Oneida County but any accumulations will be less than an inch. Overnight lows will range from the single numbers to lower teens. On Thursday a brief flat upper level ridge will reside over the region as the next short wave moves through the central Great Lakes. Scattered lake effect snow showers and flurries will continue over Northern Oneida county but accumulations will remain light due to lack of moisture and low inversion. For the remainder of the area partly to mostly sunny skies are expected with highs in the middle to upper 20s. && .SHORT TERM /THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY/... Thursday night, a mid level short wave will move through the region possibly bringing scattered flurries and snow showers to the northern areas of central New York. More persistent snow showers are possible in northern Oneida County although any accumulations will be light. By Friday the low level flow backs with any flurries/snow showers confined to areas southeast of Lake Ontario. High temperatures will moderate into the lower to middle 30s under southwest flow. Friday night/Saturday...A flat upper level ridge will develop over the northeast as a trough digs into the southern Rockies. Surface high pressure will give the area a moderating southwest flow. Highs temperatures will generally range in the lower to middle 40s under partly sunny skies. && .LONG TERM /SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY/... 310 PM update... A gradual ridging in the upper atmosphere will push milder temperatures through NY and PA. After a mainly fair weather pattern Saturday night and Sunday, a strong storm will pull northward through the Central United States early Monday, dragging additional warm air and moisture into NY. Temperatures will rise into the 40s Sunday through Monday. A mix of rain and snow is forecast over the eastern forecast area early Monday, then rain showers will fall through the afternoon. Showers will continue into Tuesday before tapering off Tuesday night. The passage of the cold front will knock temperatures down into the 30s, still milder than normal for late January. && .AVIATION /23Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY/... VFR conditions and light winds are forecast through Thursday afternoon. A scattered cirrus shield tonight will slowly lower to mid clouds after 15z. MVFR ceilings may work their way into KRME late Thursday. Outlook... Friday...Generally VFR conditions expected. Some localized restrictions in snow showers possible. Saturday/Sunday...Primarily VFR. && .BGM WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... PA...None. NY...None. && $$ SYNOPSIS...RRM NEAR TERM...RRM SHORT TERM...RRM LONG TERM...DJP AVIATION...DJP

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