Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Binghamton, NY-- Remove Highlighting --
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FXUS61 KBGM 251038
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Binghamton NY
638 AM EDT SAT JUN 25 2016
Warm and dry weather will continue this weekend, before a cold
front ushers in a few thunderstorms early Monday.
.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
215 AM update...
Warm high pressure ridging into the Ohio Valley will expand toward
the Great Lakes today. The 21c 925 mb isotherm will extend to the
NY/PA border as daytime highs climb into the lower and middle 80s
across our forecast area.
.SHORT TERM /SUNDAY THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT/...
220 AM update...
The axis of the high pressure ridge will shift over NY and PA on
Sunday. As a result, 925 mb temperatures will climb to around
23-24c, setting the stage for a very warm afternoon. Temperatures
are forecast to climb into the upper 80s, with a few 90 degree
A slow moving cold front will approach early Monday. The front
lacks ample moisture, and the mid levels remain pretty warm on the
model soundings. Scattered thunderstorms are expected as the front
approaches, but the lack of instability points to a negligible
.LONG TERM /TUESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/...
310 AM Update...Current forecast in good shape with just minor
adjustments made. Cold front will move through the region Tuesday
into Tuesday night, with latest models indicating boundary will be
more progressive. Wednesday now looks mainly dry except for
chc/slight chc pops primarily in the western Catskills. Next
chance for convection will be over the weekend as the upper level
trof deepens and cold fronts approach the northeast.
245 PM EDT Update...
The weather pattern that appears to be setting up and will remain
through the forecast period will be ridging over the west, and
troughing over the east. Guidance is showing there will be a chance
for showers/thunderstorms through Wednesday afternoon as the system
will bring the cold front on Monday will become stationary over the
NE. There will be a slight break in the pattern on Thurs as high
pressure briefly builds over the region, the another system is
expected to move across the area just in time for the weekend.
.AVIATION /12Z SATURDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
-- Changed Discussion --VFR conditions will prevail through the forecast period as high
pressure remain anchored over the area. Diurnal cumulus mainly
scattered in coverage will occur over KITH/KELM/KBGM/KAVP this
afternoon. Fog is not expected again tonight due to dry airmass
and lack of rainfall.
Winds will primarily be light and variable although this afternoon
during peak heating southwest at 5 knots may occur.
Sunday...VFR except possible pre-dawn valley fog restrictions for
Sunday night Tuesday...Chance of showers-thunder and associated
brief restrictions as slow moving front moves through.
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