Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Denver/Boulder, CO

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000 FXUS65 KBOU 010213 AFDBOU AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER/BOULDER CO 813 PM MDT SUN AUG 31 2014 .UPDATE...
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ISSUED AT 809 PM MDT SUN AUG 31 2014 STILL HAVE SOME LINGERING SHOWERS AND A FEW STORMS WHICH SHOULD GRADUALLY END IN THE NEXT FEW HOURS.
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&& .SHORT TERM...(THIS EVENING THROUGH MONDAY) ISSUED AT 115 PM MDT SUN AUG 31 2014 STRONG UPPER LEVEL TROF NOW MOVING ACROSS WYOMING AND NORTHERN COLORADO WITH MODEST QG ASCENT NOTED IN SHORT RANGE MODELS. STRONG TO SEVERE STORMS NOW MOVING ACROSS NORTHERN WELD COUNTY AND WILL CONTINUE TO SWEEP ACROSS THE NORTHEAST PLAINS THROUGH THE REST OF THE AFTERNOON. MAIN CONCERN WILL BE STRONG AND DAMAGING WINDS WITH THE THUNDERSTORMS. CYS RADAR VAD WINDS SHOWING 55KT AT 5000FT AGL SO WON`T TAKE MUCH TO GET SEVERE WIND GUSTS GIVEN THIS STRONG FLOW OFF THE DECK. THE STORMS WILL DIMINISH RAPIDLY FROM WEST TO EAST LATE AFTERNOON AND AFTERNOON AS STRONG SUBSIDENCE AND DRIER AIR SWEEP IN BEHIND TROF AXIS. CLEARING SKIES EXPECTED OVERNIGHT WITH COOLER OVERNIGHT LOWS. FOR MONDAY...THERE WILL BE A DRIER AND MORE SUBSIDENT AIRMASS IN PLACE WITH A DRY DAY IN STORE FOR MOST LOCATIONS. EXCEPTION WOULD BE OVER THE FAR EASTERN PLAINS AS MODELS HINTING AT SOME MOISTURE CONVERGENCE OVER LINCOLN AND WASHINGTON COUNTIES. .LONG TERM...(MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY) ISSUED AT 145 PM MDT SUN AUG 31 2014 OVERALL TREND IN THE LONG TERM STILL LOOKS GOOD. TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY WILL BE THE WARMEST DAYS OF THE WEEK. MDLS MAINTAIN A GOOD ZONAL FLOW ACROSS COLORADO BOTH DAYS...WITH THE AMS MUCH DRIER OVER THE CWFA. NOT THUNDERSTORM EITHER DAY...WITH TEMPERATURES POSSIBLY REACHING 90 ON WEDNESDAY. THE TREND FOR COOLER AND WETTER WILL KICK IN BY THURSDAY. THE FLOW ALOFT TRANSITIONS FM WLY TO SWLY ON WEDNESDAY AS AN UPPER TROUGH PASSES ACROSS THE NORTHERN TIER. IN THE MID LEVELS...FLOW ALOFT WILL START TO TAP INTO THE SUBTROPICAL MOISTURE FETCH. IN THE LOWER LEVELS...A COLD FRONT WILL PUSH INTO NORTHEASTERN CO THURSDAY MORNING...WITH LOW LEVEL MOISTURE INCREASING WITH THE EAST/NORTHEAST SFC WINDS. TEMPERATURES ON THURSDAY MAY BE EVEN COOLER THAN THOSE REFLECTED IN THE GRIDS AT THIS TIME. IN ANY EVENT...ENOUGH MOISTURE AROUND THROUGH SUNDAY FOR A CHC OR SLGT CHC OF TSTMS FOR THURSDAY THROUGH SUNDAY. && .AVIATION...
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(FOR THE TAFS THROUGH 06Z MONDAY EVENING) ISSUED AT 809 PM MDT SUN AUG 31 2014 WINDS HAVE BECOME LIGHT NLY BUT SHOULD BECOME LIGHT SSE IN THE NEXT FEW HOURS AND STAY MOSTLY SLY OVERNIGHT.
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&& .BOU WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... NONE. && $$ UPDATE...RPK SHORT TERM...ENTREKIN LONG TERM...COOPER AVIATION...RPK

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