Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Boston, MA

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000 FXUS61 KBOX 310011 AFDBOX AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAUNTON MA 711 PM EST FRI JAN 30 2015 .SYNOPSIS... LOW PRESSURE DEVELOPING SOUTHEAST OF NANTUCKET LATE TODAY WILL INTENSIFY OVER THE GULF OF MAINE TONIGHT BRINGING PERIODS OF SNOW TO EASTERN MASSACHUSETTS. BLUSTERY AND VERY COLD CONDITIONS BEGINNING TONIGHT AND CONTINUING INTO THE WEEKEND. LOW PRESSURE WILL PASS SOUTH OF NEW ENGLAND SUNDAY NIGHT AND MONDAY...BUT LIKELY BRINGING ANOTHER ACCUMULATING SNOWFALL TO THE REGION. COLD CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH MOST OF NEXT WEEK. YET ANOTHER LOW MAY DEVELOP AROUND NEXT WED OR THU WITH A THREAT FOR SNOW...THOUGH FORECAST CONFIDENCE IS LOW AT THIS TIME. && .NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM SATURDAY MORNING/... 630 PM UPDATE...NO MAJOR CHANGES TO THE NEAR-TERM FORECAST. *** ACCUMULATING SNOW CONFINED TO CAPE ANN AND CAPE COD TONIGHT/EARLY SATURDAY *** IMPRESSIVE SHORT WAVE DIGGING SOUTH OF NYC AND LONG ISLAND LATE THIS AFTERNOON PER LATEST WATER VAPOR IMAGERY IS INDUCING CYCLOGENESIS SOUTHEAST OF NANTUCKET. BEST PRES FALLS OVER GEORGES BANK AT 4 PM HOWEVER AS OPEN MID LEVEL TROUGH CLOSES OFF TONIGHT OVER SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND...SURFACE LOW WILL GET PULLED BACK TOWARD EASTERN MA COAST. THIS WILL ALSO RESULT IN A DEVELOPING COMMA-HEAD OVER THE GULF OF MAINE THAT WILL PIVOT WESTWARD AND CLIP CAPE ANN AND CAPE COD WITH LIGHT TO MODERATE SNOW BEGINNING AROUND MIDNIGHT AND CONTINUING OVERNIGHT. ELSEWHERE ONLY LIGHT SNOW IS EXPECTED WITH A DUSTING TO PERHAPS AN INCH IN A FEW SPOTS. THUS WE HAVE CONFINED THE WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY TO ONLY CAPE ANN AND CAPE COD. VISIT OUR WINTER WEATHER PAGE AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BOX/WINTER TO SEE ALL THE DIFFERENT SNOW PROBS ALONG WITH MAX/MIN SNOWFALL POTENTIAL. UNTIL THEN DRY SLOT STILL MOVING ACROSS THE REGION. SO DESPITE STRONG FORCING OVER THE AREA AHEAD OF THIS SHORT WAVE DEEP LAYER MOISTURE IS LACKING ACROSS THE REGION. THIS WILL RESULT IN PERIODS OF LIGHT SNOW OR FLURRIES. ALTHOUGH AS THE EVENING PROGRESSES SNOW SHIELD ON RADAR SHOULD BLOSSOM ESPECIALLY OVER EASTERN MA AND RI. PTYPE WILL BE ALL SNOW AS NORTHWEST WINDS HAVE COOLED BOUNDARY LAYER TEMPS EVEN OVER CAPE COD AND THE ISLANDS. PERHAPS THE BIGGER WEATHER CONCERN TONIGHT WILL BE AS THE COASTAL LOW OVER THE GULF OF MAINE BOMBS ARCTIC AIR POISED OVER WESTERN AND NORTHERN NY INTO NORTHERN NEW ENGLAND GETS DRAWN SOUTHWARD INTO OUR REGION. THIS ARCTIC AIR WILL COMBINE WITH GUSTY NW WINDS UP TO 45 MPH TO YIELD BITTERLY COLD WIND CHILLS OVERNIGHT WITH VALUES OF -10F TO -20F ACROSS WESTERN-CENTRAL MA AND CT. THEREFORE WIND CHILL ADVISORIES REMAIN POSTED INTO SAT MORNING. IN ADDITION GIVEN THE MAGNITUDE OF THE WINDS A WIND ADVISORY HAS BEEN POSTED FOR THE ENTIRE COASTLINE INCLUDING CAPE COD AND THE ISLANDS WHERE DOWNSLOPE COMPONENT SHOULD YIELD THE HIGHEST SPEEDS. && .SHORT TERM /6 AM SATURDAY MORNING THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT/... SATURDAY... COMMA-HEAD SNOWS LINGER OVER CAPE ANN AND ESPECIALLY CAPE COD TILL 12Z-15Z. STORM TOTAL SNOWFALL WILL RANGE BETWEEN 2-4" WITH HIGHEST AMOUNTS ACROSS THE OUTER CAPE. AFTER 15Z CLEARING TREND DEVELOPS. BIG WEATHER STORY FOR TOMORROW REMAINS BITTERLY COLD WIND CHILLS ALONG WITH GUSTY NW WINDS UP TO 50 MPH WITH HIGHEST WINDS OVER CAPE COD AND ISLANDS. HIGHS ONLY IN THE TEENS BUT WIND CHILLS -5 TO +5. DRY CONDITIONS PREVAIL. SATURDAY NIGHT... WINDS BEGIN TO SUBSIDE BUT STILL BITTERLY COLD WITH MINS IN THE SINGLE DIGITS FOR MOST LOCATIONS AWAY FROM THE COAST AND URBAN AREAS. DRY WEATHER PREVAILS. && .LONG TERM /SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/... */ SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT... HIGHLIGHTS... - PLOWABLE SNOW ANTICIPATED FOR SUNDAY NIGHT INTO MONDAY NIGHT - IMPACTS TO TRAVEL DURING THE MONDAY MORNING/AFTERNOON COMMUTE - ENOUGH CONFIDENCE FROM CONSENSUS TO GO WITH A WINTER STORM WATCH - WINTER STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FOR LOCALES ALONG AND S OF MASS-PIKE OVERVIEW... MODERATE CONFIDENCE FORECAST. AND HERE WE GO AGAIN WITH A STORM. GOING DOWN ALL THE GUIDANCE EVER KNOWN. LIKE A DRIFTER I AM LOST ABOUT THIS STORM. SO I`VE MADE UP MY MIND. I`M ENSEMBLE BLENDING THIS TIME. SO HERE WE GO AGAIN. WITH THIS FORECAST AM NOT GOING TO INVEST IN ONE INDIVIDUAL STOCK OF FORECAST GUIDANCE. WILL DIVERSIFY WITH A PORTFOLIO BLEND OF ENSEMBLE WEIGHTED GUIDANCE...EVALUATING RISKS AND POTENTIAL IMPACTS WHICH ARE OUTLINED IN THE DISCUSSION BELOW. NEUTRAL-TILT OPEN-WAVE TROUGH ABOVE H85 SWEEPS ACROSS S NEW ENGLAND SUNDAY NIGHT-MONDAY NIGHT...PROGRESSING TOWARDS A NEGATIVE-TILT LATE IN THE PERIOD. SURFACE LOW EMERGES FROM THE OHIO RIVER VALLEY MONDAY MORNING SWEEP S OF NEW ENGLAND MONDAY-MONDAY NIGHT AS IT INTENSIFIES IN RESPONSE TO THE ISALLOBARIC WIND ENHANCING THE BAROCLINIC ZONE IN OUR PROXIMITY AND THE TROUGH ALOFT UNDERGOING NEGATIVE-TILT. FOCUS IS WITHIN THE ANTICYCLONIC BRANCH OF THE WARM-CONVEYER-BELT /WCB/ WHERE A BAROCLINIC-LEAF SETUP IS ANTICIPATED WITH BROADSCALE ISENTROPIC/DEEP-LAYER FORCING BENEATH RRQ/LFQ JET COUPLING OF UPPER- LEVEL JET STREAKS. CONVERGENCE OF THE WCB ALONG N-S SLANTWISE ASCENT AGAINST TIGHTENING ISOTHERMAL PACKING /SUBSEQUENT OF THE ENHANCEMENT OF THE BAROCLINIC ZONE/ WILL LIKELY YIELD E-W MESOSCALE BANDING OUT AHEAD OF THE STORM AND NOTABLY WITHIN THE NE-QUADRANT OF THE H85 LOW IN REGIONS OF STRONG FRONTOGENESIS. NEIGHBORING -EPV /POTENTIAL INSTABILITY/ THERE IS THE INDICATION AS SUGGESTED BY SREF MEANS OF SNOWFALL RATES OF AROUND 1 INCH PER HOUR. YET UNCERTAINTY... BUT WHERE EXACTLY ALL THESE INGREDIENTS COME TOGETHER AND WHERE THE GREATEST AMOUNT OF FORCING LIES REMAINS SUSPECT. ASSOCIATED ENERGY IS JUST COMING ASHORE IN BRITISH COLUMBIA CANADA AND THERE IS SOME QUESTION AS TO THE S-STREAM ENERGY THAT IS CAPTURED FROM THE LOW CENTER OVER THE SW CONUS / MEXICO. LOTS OF UNCERTAINTY GIVEN BY THE LATITUDINAL / ENHANCEMENT SPREAD OF FORECAST GUIDANCE UPSTREAM OVER THE OHIO RIVER VALLEY. JUST LIKE THE RUN-UP TO THE RECENT BLIZZARD MODELS VARY IN PLACEMENT OF BEST E-W BANDING AND THERMAL PROFILES. SUBTLE SHIFTS EVEN ON THE ORDER OF 5 TO 10 MILES WILL RESULT IN SIGNIFICANT SNOWFALL AMOUNTS AND PRECIP-TYPES. EVALUATING SPC SREF PLUMES SHOW GRAPHICALLY JUST THAT EXTENT OF SPREAD OF POSSIBILITIES. ITS INCREDIBLY DIFFICULT TO NAIL THE SPECIFICS DOWN AT THIS TIME BUT FEEL THAT THERE IS ENOUGH WEIGHTING TO GO WITH A WINTER STORM WATCH. WISH TO BETTER INFORM/ALERT BOTH THE PUBLIC AND STATE / LOCAL GOVTS. FEEL MESSAGING THE THREAT PRIOR TO THE WEEKEND AND THE FACT THAT THERE IS A TON OF SNOW ON THE GROUND GIVES EVERYONE TIME TO PREPARE AND TO ACT ACCORDINGLY FOR THE POTENTIAL OF A SIGNIFICANT SNOWFALL. NO TWO STORMS ARE ALIKE JUST LIKE NO TWO SNOWFLAKES ARE ALIKE. YET WE CAN DRAW COMPARISONS FROM ANALOGS. NOTING CIPS-ANALOGS...FROM THE 60-HR NAM-FORECAST AND 72-HR GFS-FORECAST...BOTH KEY UPON A SWATH OF E-W SNOW ACROSS THE NE-CONUS WITH AT LEAST 60% OF ANALOGS AGREEING UPON STORM-TOTAL SNOWFALLS IN EXCESS OF 8-INCHES...AND YES NOTING THAT THE MEAN-MEDIAN E-W SNOWFALL IS N OF THE MASS-PIKE. WHAT IS IMPORTANT TO TAKE AWAY IS THAT IT IS THERE AND THE PROBABILITIES SUGGEST SEEING SNOWFALLS IN EXCESS OF WATCH-WARNING CRITERIA. OTHER- WISE ALONG THE S-FRINGE OF THE BANDING IS THE LIKELIHOOD OF SEEING MIXING WITH A FREEZING RAIN POTENTIAL. PERHAPS SOME STRONG GUSTS ACROSS THE CAPE / ISLANDS IN EXCESS OF 35 MPH...OTHERWISE MAJORITY OF ANALOGS SIGNAL NO ISSUE WITH WINDS. SNOW... MODELS DIFFER ON N-S PLACEMENT OF E-W BANDING. JUST TOO FAR OUT AND TOO MUCH UNCERTAINTY TO MAKE ANY SPECIFIC GUESSES. WENT WITH A BROAD SPREAD BASED ON ENSEMBLE MEANS AND ANALOGS. WOULD VENTURE TO BELIEVE THAT THE HEAVY SNOW POTENTIAL AND HIGHEST ACCUMULATIONS WILL EXIST AROUND AND S OF THE MASS-PIKE IN LINE WITH WPC-THINKING. AMOUNTS UP TO A FOOT ARE POSSIBLE...SOME OF THIS DEPENDENT ON THE FLUFF-FACTOR OF THE SNOW. SNOW-RATIOS ANTICIPATED TO BE HIGHER S TO N WITH LESSER INTRUSION OF WARMER AIR ALOFT AROUND H8. SO WOULD FIGURE A MORE WET- SNOW TO THE S...FLUFFIER N. CAN NOT RULE OUT THUNDERSNOW POTENTIAL BUT BELIEVE THE LESS CHANCES IN COMPARISON TO THE RECENT BLIZZARD. MAIN TAKE-AWAY: TRAVEL WILL BE IMPACTED DURING BOTH THE MORNING AND EVENING COMMUTE ON MONDAY. MOTORISTS SHOULD BE AWARE OF ADVERSE WEATHER CONDITIONS THAT WILL BE CHANGING THROUGH THE EVENT WITH RESPECT TO THE PACE OF SNOWFALL AND POSSIBLE NEAR-ZERO VISIBILITIES. PRECIPITATION-TYPE MAY ALSO CONTEND WITH A E-W MIXING LINE IN PROXIMITY TO THE S-SHORE. WARM INTRUSION AROUND H8 PUSHED N BY WCB MAY LEND TO A TRANSITION OF RAIN/SNOW WITH PERHAPS A WINTRY MIX BETWEEN OF FREEZING RAIN/SLEET ALBEIT THINKING VERY THIN. FOCUS OF THE NARROW BAND OF MIXING WOULD OCCUR WITH THE APPROACH AND PASSAGE OF THE LOW IN PROXIMITY TO S NEW ENGLAND DURING THE AFOREMENTIONED TIMEFRAME. FORECAST GUIDANCE SPLIT BUT QUESTION WHETHER A MICRO-CLIMATE AND THE ARCTIC AIR SPILLING S WILL KEEP US ALL SNOW. ALTOGETHER...MAIN FOCUS FOR POTENTIAL WINTRY MIX...IF ANY...IS ALONG THE IMMEDIATE S-SHORE. WINDS... BLUSTERY OUT OF THE N IN RESPONSE TO THE APPROACHING / DEEPENING LOW PRESSURE CENTER THROUGH THE DAY MONDAY INTO MONDAY EVENING. WILL SEE STRONG NW-WINDS IN WAKE OF THE STORM. COULD BE CONTENDING WITH GUSTS ON THE ORDER OF AROUND 20-30 MPH FOR SOME LOCATIONS...ESPECIALLY FOR THE SHORES. ADDING TO THE POTENTIAL FLUFF-FACTOR OF THE SNOW...THAT ADDS TO THE POTENTIAL OF BLOWING AND DRIFTING WHICH HAS THE IMPACT OF GENERATING NEAR-ZERO VISIBILITIES. TAKE-AWAY: AT THIS TIME IT APPEARS WINDS WILL REMAIN BELOW WIND-ADV CRITERIA. COASTAL FLOODING... MID-MORNING HIGH TIDES ARE NOT ASTRONOMICALLY HIGH AND LATE-EVENING TIDES ARE MUCH LOWER. ESTIMATING AROUND A FOOT OF SURGE IN RESPONSE TO THE STORM...LOW CONFIDENCE AT THIS TIME OF ANY COASTAL FLOODING. */ TUESDAY ONWARD... HIGHLIGHTS... - ANOTHER ROUND OF SNOW POSSIBLE THURSDAY-FRIDAY; LOW CONFIDENCE OVERVIEW... COLD HIGH PRESSURE IS FORECAST TO MOVE OVER NEW ENGLAND ON TUESDAY BEHIND THE DEPARTING STORM WITH HIGHS ONLY FORECAST TO MAKE IT INTO THE TEENS MOST LOCALES. NEXT IN THE SERIES OF SHORTWAVES IS SHOWN BY THE GLOBAL MODELS TO MOVE ONSHORE THE NW PACIFIC COAST TUE NIGHT. THIS LOOKS TO BE THE NEXT PIECE OF ENERGY TO WATCH IN THE LONG TERM. GFS/ECMWF SHOW COASTAL LOW DEVELOPMENT OCCURRING WED NIGHT OR THU /SLIGHTLY DELAYED FROM MODEL RUNS YESTERDAY/ AND THREATENING YET ANOTHER IMPACT TO NEW ENGLAND CENTERED ON THE THU-FRI TIMEFRAME. LARGE SPREADS IN THE MODELS/ENSEMBLES...NO SURPRISE 6-7 DAYS OUT IN TIME. THE MEAN SHOWS A WEAKER STORM COMPARED TO THE MONDAY ONE...WITH THE LATEST 30.12Z OPERATIONAL RUNS EITHER A GLANCING BLOW OR A COMPLETE MISS. TOO SOON THOUGH TO LEAN ON A HIT OR A MISS TO SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND. BITTER COLD LOOKS TO FOLLOW IN THE WAKE OF THIS POTENTIAL LATE WEEK STORM. && .AVIATION /23Z FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/... FORECASTER CONFIDENCE LEVELS... LOW...LESS THAN 30 PERCENT. MODERATE...30 TO 60 PERCENT. HIGH...GREATER THAN 60 PERCENT. SHORT TERM.../THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT/...MODERATE CONFIDENCE. 0Z UPDATE... N-S BAND OF -SN WITH IFR-MVFR IMPACTS OVER THE NEXT HR OR TWO... RE-EMERGING AROUND 6Z-10Z ACROSS E MA. HIGH CONFIDENCE OF IMPACTS OVER IMMEDIATE E MA INCLUDING CAPE ANN AND CAPE COD. PREVAILED CONDITIONS IN FMH / HYA...TEMPO OVER BOS AS IMPACTS MAY SKIRT TERMINALS. VFR ELSEWHERE. OTHERWISE STRONG NW WINDS WITH GUSTS UP TO 40 KT...HIGHEST ALONG THE COAST. MAY NEED TO CONTEND WITH BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW IMPACTS. SATURDAY...ANY MVFR-IFR IN SNOW BANDS OVER EXTREME E MA IN THE MORNING WILL IMPROVE TO VFR BY AFTERNOON. ELSEWHERE VFR PREVAILS. STRONG NW WINDS WITH GUST UP TO 45 KT OVER CAPE COD...25-35 KT ELSEWHERE. SAT NIGHT...VFR ALONG WITH DIMINISHING WINDS. KBOS TAF...MODERATE CONFIDENCE. POTENTIAL FOR SKIRTING MVFR SNOW- BANDS AROUND MIDNIGHT INTO EARLY MORNING SATURDAY. HAVE GONE WITH A TEMPO FOR THE POTENTIAL. KBDL TAF...HIGH CONFIDENCE. VFR. OUTLOOK /SUNDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/... SUNDAY...HIGH CONFIDENCE. VFR. NW WINDS GUSTING TO 25-35 KNOTS SATURDAY...HIGHEST ALONG THE COAST. LIGHTER WINDS SUNDAY. SUNDAY NIGHT INTO MONDAY NIGHT...MODERATE CONFIDENCE. DETERIORATING CONDITIONS TO IFR-VLIFR WITH SNOW. BLUSTERY N-WINDS WITH GUSTS UP TO AROUND 30 KTS. CONDITIONS IMPROVE LATE AS WINDS BACK NW. TUESDAY...MODERATE CONFIDENCE. MAINLY VFR. MAY SEE GUSTY NW WINDS EARLY. WEDNESDAY...MODERATE CONFIDENCE. VFR. && .MARINE... FORECASTER CONFIDENCE LEVELS... LOW...LESS THAN 30 PERCENT. MODERATE...30 TO 60 PERCENT. HIGH...GREATER THAN 60 PERCENT. SHORT TERM /THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT/...HIGH CONFIDENCE. 630 PM UPDATE...NO MAJOR CHANGES TO THE FORECAST. TONIGHT...GALE CENTER DEVELOPS OVER GEORGES BANK AND THEN INTO GULF OF MAINE. NW GALES DEVELOP ALL WATERS ALONG WITH MODERATE FREEZING SPRAY NEAR SHORE. SNOW SHOWERS LATER TONIGHT WILL LIMIT VSBY EASTERN MA WATERS. SATURDAY...GALE CENTER LIFTS INTO THE MARITIMES WITH NW GALES CONTINUING OVER THE MA AND RI WATERS. MODERATE FREEZING SPRAY LIKELY. SNOW SHOWERS REDUCE VSBY OVER EASTERN MA WATERS IN THE MORNING. SATURDAY NIGHT...GALE CENTER PULLS FARTHER AWAY WITH WINDS FINALLY BECOMING SUB-GALE OVER MA AND RI WATERS. VSBY IMPROVES WITH SNOW SHOWERS WELL OFFSHORE. OUTLOOK /SUNDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/... SUNDAY...MODERATE CONFIDENCE. EXPECT WINDS AND SEAS REMAIN AT SMALL CRAFT LEVELS. LIGHT FREEZING SPRAY LIKELY. SUNDAY NIGHT INTO MONDAY NIGHT...MODERATE CONFIDENCE. AREA OF LOW PRESSURE SWEEPING W-E ACROSS THE S-WATERS. WILL SEE WINDS OUT OF THE N INCREASE TO GALE-FORCE. WAVES INCREASING 10-12 FEET ON THE S/SE WATERS AS THE STORM INTENSIFIES TO THE E AND WINDS BACK OUT OF THE NW LATE IN THE PERIOD. TUESDAY...MODERATE CONFIDENCE. NW WINDS RELAX AROUND DEPARTING STORM WITH SEAS SUBSIDING... THOUGH STILL FORECAST TO REMAIN AT SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY LEVELS. WEDNESDAY....MODERATE CONFIDENCE. WINDS FORECAST TO TURN SW AND PICK UP WITH SEAS INTO SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY LEVELS AGAIN. FEW SNOW SHOWERS POSSIBLE. && .BOX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... CT...WINTER STORM WATCH FROM SUNDAY EVENING THROUGH LATE MONDAY NIGHT FOR CTZ002>004. WIND CHILL ADVISORY FROM 1 AM TO 9 AM EST SATURDAY FOR CTZ002- 003. MA...WIND ADVISORY FROM 1 AM TO 9 PM EST SATURDAY FOR MAZ022>024. WIND ADVISORY FROM 1 AM TO 6 PM EST SATURDAY FOR MAZ007-015- 016-019>021. WINTER STORM WATCH FROM SUNDAY EVENING THROUGH LATE MONDAY NIGHT FOR MAZ009-011>013-015>022. WIND CHILL ADVISORY FROM 1 AM TO 9 AM EST SATURDAY FOR MAZ003- 004-010-011. WIND CHILL ADVISORY FROM 11 PM THIS EVENING TO 11 AM EST SATURDAY FOR MAZ002-008-009. WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FROM 11 PM THIS EVENING TO 10 AM EST SATURDAY FOR MAZ006-007-022. RI...WIND ADVISORY FROM 1 AM TO 9 PM EST SATURDAY FOR RIZ008. WIND ADVISORY FROM 1 AM TO 6 PM EST SATURDAY FOR RIZ005>007. WINTER STORM WATCH FROM SUNDAY EVENING THROUGH LATE MONDAY NIGHT FOR RIZ001>007. MARINE...FREEZING SPRAY ADVISORY FROM 11 PM THIS EVENING TO 6 PM EST SATURDAY FOR ANZ231>235-237-250-251. GALE WARNING FROM 11 PM THIS EVENING TO 6 PM EST SATURDAY FOR ANZ232-250-254-255. GALE WARNING FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 6 PM EST SATURDAY FOR ANZ230-231-233-234-251. GALE WARNING FROM 1 AM TO 1 PM EST SATURDAY FOR ANZ236. GALE WARNING UNTIL 6 PM EST SATURDAY FOR ANZ235-237. GALE WARNING UNTIL 6 PM EST SATURDAY FOR ANZ256. && $$ SYNOPSIS...NOCERA/SIPPRELL/99 NEAR TERM...NOCERA SHORT TERM...NOCERA LONG TERM...SIPPRELL AVIATION...NOCERA/SIPPRELL/99 MARINE...NOCERA/SIPPRELL/99

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