Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Boston, MA

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FXUS61 KBOX 280601
AFDBOX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAUNTON MA
201 AM EDT SUN JUN 28 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
LIGHT RAIN SHOWERS OVERSPREAD THE REGION FROM WEST TO EAST THIS
EVENING. THE HEAVIEST RAIN WILL FALL WELL AFTER MIDNIGHT INTO
SUNDAY MORNING WHEN SOME LOCALIZED FLOODING MAY OCCUR. THE RAIN
WILL TAPER OFF TO SCATTERED SHOWERS SUNDAY AFTERNOON. DRY WEATHER
WILL PREVAIL DURING MONDAY. MORE UNSETTLED CONDITIONS LOOK TO
DEVELOP IN THE FORM OF SCATTERED SHOWERS/THUNDERSTORMS TUESDAY
NIGHT AND WED. MORE DRY WEATHER FOR THU INTO EARLY FRI...THEN MAY
SEE MORE SCT SHOWERS/THUNDERSTORMS FRIDAY AFTERNOON WHICH MIGHT
LINGER INTO NEXT SATURDAY.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM THIS MORNING/...

200 AM UPDATE...

FIRST ROUND OF HEAVY RAIN IS MOVING THROUGH THE REGION THIS
MORNING. LOOKING DOWNSTREAM APPEARS THAT PRECIP IS MORE SHOWERY IN
NATURE. HOWEVER APPEARS THAT SURFACE LOW CONTINUES TO DEVELOP
OVER THE DELMARVA REGION. AS IT DEVELOPS...SURFACE FRONTOGENESIS IS
STRENGTHENING SOUTH OF LONG ISLAND AND WITH LLJ INCREASING AND
VERY HIGH MOISTURE TRANSPORT...EXPECT PRECIP TO FILL IN SOUTH OF
LI AND CONTINUE ITS NORTHWARD TREND.

UPPER LEVEL WINDS OFF OF THE VWP CONTINUE TO SHOW THAT THE LLJ IS
INCREASING. IN FACT SURFACE WINDS OVER LONG ISLAND AND WST ARE
ALREADY GUSTING TO NEAR 30 KTS AND 35 KTS OVER THE WATER. WFO OKX
IS ALREADY REPORTING SOME TREE DAMAGE ALONG LONG ISLAND WITH THE
THE SATURATED GROUND EXPECT MORE REPORTS TO OCCUR.

ONLY MAJOR CHANGE TO THE FORECAST WAS TO SPEED UP THE TIMING OF
THE PRECIP SO EVERYONE IS OVER 100 POPS. ALSO CLEANED UP THE
ENDING TIME AS CONDITIONS TREND TO BE MORE SCT IN NATURE. IN FACT
ONCE DRY SLOT MOVES IN...WINDS GO CALM AND COULD SEE FOG/DRIZZLE
THROUGH MUCH OF THE DAY TODAY. OTHERWISE FORECAST REMAINS ON TRACK
FOR THIS MORNING.

NO CHANGES TO THE HAZARDS AT THIS TIME.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 AM THIS MORNING THROUGH 6 PM MONDAY/...
*** HEAVY RAIN/LOCALIZED FLOOD THREAT VERY LATE TONIGHT INTO SUNDAY
  MORNING WITH WINDY CONDITIONS ALONG THE COAST ***

ANOMALOUS CLOSED LOW OVER THE GREAT LAKES WILL COMBINED WITH SURFACE
LOW PRESSURE TRACKING ACROSS SOUTHEAST MA TO RESULT IN A HEAVY RAIN
EVENT VERY LATE TONIGHT INTO SUNDAY MORNING.  THE MAIN CONCERNS ARE
FOR LOCALIZED FLOODING AND A PERIOD OF STRONG EASTERLY WINDS ALONG
THE COAST.  WILL BREAK DOWN THE POTENTIAL CONCERNS WITH THIS SYSTEM
ONE BY ONE.

1) HEAVY RAIN AND LOCALIZED FLOOD POTENTIAL:

AS WE MENTIONED QUITE THE ANOMALOUS SYSTEM FOR LATE JUNE STANDARDS.
DEEP CLOSED LOW OVER THE GREAT LAKES AND ASSOCIATED LOW SURFACE
TRACKING ACROSS FAR SOUTHEAST MA WILL SET THE STAGE FOR A HEAVY RAIN
EVENT.  THE ANOMALIES FOR THIS UPCOMING EVENT ARE QUITE
REMARKABLE...ESPECIALLY WITH 925 MB EASTERLY WIND COMPONENT 5+
STANDARD DEVIATIONS FOR A TIME OVERNIGHT INTO SUNDAY MORNING.  PWATS
ARE ALSO 2 TO 3 STANDARD DEVIATIONS ABOVE NORMAL AND THERE IS SOME
ELEVATED INSTABILITY. THIS WILL RESULT IN A PERIOD OF VERY STRONG
FORCING AND HEAVY RAINFALL. SOME EMBEDDED THUNDERSTORMS ARE ALSO
POSSIBLE WHICH MAY RESULT IN LOCALLY HIGHER RAINFALL AMOUNTS.
FORTUNATELY...THIS SYSTEM IS FAIRLY PROGRESSIVE WHICH WILL LIMIT
RAINFALL TOTALS TO SOME EXTENT. NONETHELESS...WE ARE STILL CONCERNED
GIVEN HOW AN EXTREMELY ANOMALOUS EASTERLY JET COMBINED WITH PWATS
OVER 2 INCHES AND ELEVATED INSTABILITY.

GIVEN THE ABOVE PARAMETERS...HAVE OPTED TO EXPAND FLOOD WATCH INTO
EASTERN MA AND RHODE ISLAND.  BIGGEST CONCERN IN THIS REGION IS THE
TYPICAL URBAN/STREET FLOODING WITH THE POTENTIAL OF 2+ INCH RAINFALL
AMOUNTS OCCUR IN LESS THAN 1 HOUR....ESPECIALLY IN THE TYPICALLY
PRONE LOCATIONS.  FLOOD WATCH ALSO CONTINUES FOR EAST SLOPES OF
BERKSHIRES WHERE EASTERLY FLOW SHOULD RESULT IN SOME ENHANCEMENT IN
QPF.

2) WIND POTENTIAL:

THERE IS SOME UNCERTAINTY ON HOW MUCH WIND WILL BE ABLE TO MIX DOWN
FROM THE ANOMALOUS EASTERLY LLJ JET WITH INVERSION IN PLACE.
HOWEVER...HEAVIER RAIN OR CONVECTIVE ELEMENTS MAY ALLOW SOME OF THIS
TO MIX DOWN AT TIMES.  THE NAM IS ALSO SHOWING A PERIOD OF 3 HOUR
PRESSURE FALLS CLOSE TO 6 MB...WHICH SHOULD HELP IN GETTING A PERIOD
OF 35 TO 45 MPH WINDS TO THE COASTAL PLAIN.  WHILE MUCH OF THE
REGION MAY REMAIN BELOW OFFICIAL WIND ADVISORY CRITERIA...FULL
LEAFED TREES COMBINED WITH HEAVY RAIN MAY INCREASE THE RISK FOR SOME
DOWNED TREES/ISOLATED POWER OUTAGES.

THEREFORE...DECIDED TO ISSUE A WIND ADVISORY FOR EASTERN MA AND
RHODE ISLAND.  HIGHEST WINDS EXPECTED FOR VERY LATE TONIGHT INTO
SUNDAY MORNING.

3) SEVERE WEATHER POTENTIAL:

THE OVERALL SEVERE WEATHER POTENTIAL AND RISK FOR A TORNADO OR TWO
APPEARS LOW...BUT ITS NOT ZERO EITHER.  GIVEN THE TRACK OF THE
SURFACE LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM...MUCH OF THE REGION WILL LIKELY REMAIN
NORTH OF THE BOUNDARY ALL DAY.  IN FACT...HIGH TEMPS MAY NOT MAKE IT
PAST THE LOWER 60S TO THE NORTH OF THE MA PIKE.  THE EXCEPTION WILL
BE PORTIONS OF RHODE ISLAND AND SOUTHEAST MA...WHERE THEY SHOULD
WARM SECTOR FOR A TIME.  THE PROBLEM IS THAT THE BULK OF THE STRONG
FORCING WILL HAVE LIFTED TO THE NORTH.  ALSO...SHALLOW COOL AIR WILL
BE SITTING JUST TO THE NORTH OF THE BOUNDARY WHICH IS NOT CONDUCIVE
FOR A BRIEF TORNADO.

SO ALL IN ALL...APPEARS THE RISK FOR A TORNADO ON SUNDAY IS RATHER
LOW BUT GIVEN HIGH HELICITY ON THE BOUNDARY WE CAN NOT COMPLETELY
RULE IT OUT.

4) HIGH SURF:

GIVEN SEAS BUILDING TO BETWEEN 7 AND 13 FEET ACROSS OUR OUTER-
WATERS...HAVE HOISTED A HIGH SURF ADVISORY FOR THE SOUTH AND EAST
FACING OCEAN EXPOSED BEACHES OF MA/RI ON SUNDAY.  DANGEROUS RIP
CURRENTS ARE EXPECTED AS WELL...ALTHOUGH CERTAINLY FAR FROM AN IDEAL
BEACH DAY.

&&

.LONG TERM /MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY/...
HIGHLIGHTS...

* DRY CONDITIONS AND MILD TEMPS MONDAY
* SCATTERED SHOWERS/T-STORMS POSSIBLE TUE NIGHT/WED AND AGAIN
  FRIDAY INTO SATURDAY
* TEMPS CLOSE TO OR SLIGHTLY BELOW NORMAL MUCH OF NEXT WEEK

OVERVIEW AND MODEL PREFERENCES...

MODELS CONTINUE TO SIGNAL SLOW MOVING...HIGHLY AMPLIFIED UPPER LEVEL
PATTERN ACROSS NORTH AMERICA THROUGH A GOOD PORTION OF THIS LONG
TERM PERIOD. LONG WAVE TROUGH DIGGING FROM THE GREAT LAKES TO THE
GULF COAST STATES SUN NIGHT/MON TRIES TO FLATTEN OUT SOMEWHAT AS IT
LIFTS NE BEGINNING AROUND THE LATE WED/THU TIMEFRAME. HOWEVER...
TRANSLATING THIS TO THE SURFACE IS MORE DIFFICULT WITH WIDENING
TIMING AND TRACK DIFFERENCES WITH INDIVIDUAL SURFACE FEATURES IN
THIS UPPER FLOW STARTING MID WEEK ONWARD.

EVEN WITH THIS UPPER LEVEL TROUGHING IN PLACE...IT DOES LOOK LIKE
THERE WILL BE GOOD AMOUNTS OF DRY CONDITIONS AND CLOSE TO OR
SLIGHTLY COOLER THAN NORMAL TEMPS FOR MOST OF THE LONG TERM.

LOOKING AT THE 12Z OP MODEL RUNS...DOES APPEAR THAT SURFACE FEATURES
ARE MOVING A BIT SLOWER ESPECIALLY LATER IN THE PERIOD FROM THEIR
PREVIOUS RUNS...WHICH LENDS TO LOWER CONFIDENCE AS THIS WILL BE
DEPENDENT UPON THE BREAKDOWN OF THE LONG WAVE RIDGING OVER THE
WESTERN U.S. AND WHETHER THE OVERALL UPPER PATTERN TRIES TO BREAK
DOWN ACROSS THE LOWER 48 LATER IN THE PERIOD. AT THIS POINT...LOOKS
LIKE THE PATTERN WILL GENERALLY REMAIN IN PLACE INTO THE HOLIDAY
WEEKEND.

WILL BE USING A BLEND OF ALL AVAILABLE GUIDANCE INTO WEDNESDAY AS
06Z/12Z OP MODEL RUNS WERE IN GOOD AGREEMENT TO THE PREVIOUS
FORECAST...THEN TRENDED OVER TO A BLEND OF ENSEMBLE GUIDANCE /GEFS
AND ECENS/ BEYOND WEDNESDAY AS OP RUN SOLUTIONS WIDENED.

DETAILS...

SUNDAY NIGHT...CUTOFF H5 LOW PRES ACROSS N NY STATE INTO QUEBEC
SHIFTS NE AS IT TENDS TO OPEN UP. ITS ASSOCIATED SURFACE LOW ALSO
LIFTS NE...TAKING ANY LEFTOVER SHOWERS WITH IT. A FEW SHOWERS MAY
LINGER ACROSS THE E SLOPES OF THE BERKSHIRES OVERNIGHT. CLOUDS WILL
ALSO LINGER AS TEMPS FALL BACK TO THE MID 50S ACROSS THE HIGHER
INLAND TERRAIN RANGING TO THE MID 60S ALONG THE COAST.

MONDAY...AS WEAKENING H5 SYSTEM MOVES NE OUT OF QUEBEC...ANOTHER
SHORT WAVE DIGS ACROSS THE GREAT LAKES. WEAK HIGH PRES MOVES ACROSS
THE REGION BUT WILL SEE A DECENT AMOUNT OF DIURNAL CLOUDS ESPECIALLY
ACROSS THE INTERIOR WITH COOLER TEMPS ALOFT. MIGHT SQUEEZE A FEW
SHOWERS OUT OF THIS ACROSS THE E SLOPES OF THE BERKSHIRES. WILL SEE
SOME LOW LEVEL MIXING AS W WINDS MAY BE GUSTY AT TIMES MAINLY ALONG
THE S COAST. EXPECT HIGHS IN THE 70S...UP TO 5 DEGS COOLER THAN
SEASONAL NORMS FOR LATE JUNE. WILL PROBABLY SEE SOME LEFTOVER HIGH
SURF AND STRONG RIP CURRENTS FOR THOSE HEADING TO THE BEACH ON
MONDAY ESPECIALLY ALONG THE S COAST.

TUESDAY-WEDNESDAY...NEXT H5 SHORT WAVE MOVES TOWARD THE REGION. WILL
START OFF PARTLY TO MOSTLY SUNNY ON TUESDAY...THEN CLOUDS INCREASE
AS LOW PRES WORKS OUT OF THE GREAT LAKES. NOTING GOOD INSTABILITY
WITH THIS SYSTEM AS S-SW WINDS PICK UP ALLOWING DEWPTS TO INCREASE.
K INDICES RISE TO THE LOWER 30S DURING THE AFTERNOON BUT SHORT RANGE
MODELS IN GOOD AGREEMENT TO HOLD OFF PRECIP UNTIL TUE NIGHT. LIFTED
INDICES ALSO DROP BELOW ZERO TUE NIGHT AND WED.

AS THE MAIN LOW MOVES INTO SOUTHERN QUEBEC ON WED...MAY SEE
OCCLUSION AND A TRIPLE POINT LOW FORM CLOSE TO OR JUST S OF THE
REGION. MAY SEE A THREAT OF SEVERE WEATHER DURING THIS PERIOD IF
THIS SECOND LOW AND ITS ASSOCIATED WARM FRONT COULD LIFT N
ESPECIALLY DURING THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON WHICH MAY ALLOW FOR
SOME ELEVATED CONVECTION TO TAKE PLACE /NOTING TQ VALUES IN THE
UPPER TEENS TO AROUND 20/. DEPENDING UPON TIMING...SHOULD SEE BEST
SHOT FOR CONVECTION DURING WED...POSSIBLY INTO WED EVENING BEFORE
SHIFTING NE. MAY SEE LINGERING SHOWERS LATER WED NIGHT.

THURSDAY THROUGH SATURDAY...AMPLIFIED NORTHERN STREAM WILL ALLOW FOR
A SHORT WAVE OR TWO TO PASS ACROSS THE REGION...THOUGH TIMING IS
UNCERTAIN. AT THIS POINT...SHOULD BE MAINLY DRY BEYOND THURSDAY
MORNING INTO EARLY FRIDAY. AFTER THAT...MAY SEE ANOTHER SHORT WAVE
SHIFTING NE OUT OF THE TENNESSEE AND OHIO VALLEYS WHICH WILL
APPROACH FRI AFTERNOON. HAVE MENTIONED CHANCE FOR SHOWERS BUT HELD
OFF THE MENTION OF THUNDERSTORMS AT THIS POINT. UNCERTAIN ON TIMING
OF ANY INSTABILITY THAT MAY APPROACH WITH THIS NEXT SHORT WAVE AS
WELL. KEPT MENTION OF CHANCE POPS IN FOR SATURDAY THE 4TH BUT VERY
MUCH UP IN THE AIR ON TIMING.

&&

.AVIATION /06Z SUNDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...
FORECASTER CONFIDENCE LEVELS...

LOW...LESS THAN 30 PERCENT.
MODERATE...30 TO 60 PERCENT.
HIGH...GREATER THAN 60 PERCENT.

SHORT TERM /THROUGH SUNDAY/...

BEFORE 12Z...MODERATE TO HIGH CONFIDENCE.

CONDITIONS ARE DETERIORATING TO MVFR AS STEADY -RA CONTINUES TO
MOVE ACROSS THE TERMINALS. SITES COULD DROP TO IFR WITHIN ANY +RA.
EASTERLY WINDS WILL PICK UP WITH GUSTS NEAR 30 KTS ALONG THE
COASTLINES OF RA/MA.

AFTER 12Z...MVFR/IFR CONDITIONS AREA WIDE AS +SHRA CONTINUES TO
MOVE ACROSS THE REGION. E-SE WIND GUSTS WILL INCREASE BETWEEN 30
TO 40 KNOTS DEVELOPING ALONG THE COAST. LLWS WILL AFFECT THE
ENTIRE REGION WITH AN ANOMALOUS EAST TO SOUTHEAST LOW LEVEL JET.
EMBEDDED ISOLD THUNDERSTORMS ARE ALSO POSSIBLE ESPECIALLY NEAR THE
SOUTH COAST THIS MORNING.

RAIN TAPERS OFF TO SCATTERED SHOWERS FROM WEST TO EAST THIS AFTERNOON.
HOWEVER...IFR TO LOW END MVFR CONDITIONS LIKELY HANG TOUGH IN LOW
CLOUDS AND FOG AND DRIZZLE PATCHES BUT SOME TEMPORARY IMPROVEMENT
MAY OCCUR ACROSS RHODE ISLAND AND SOUTHEAST MA AS THE REGION WARM
SECTORS.

TONIGHT...CONDITIONS WILL STILL HANG TOUGH WITH LIGHT WINDS AND
INVERSION OVER THE REGION. EXPECT PATCHY FOG ACROSS THE AREA WITH
2 SM FOG ALONG THE EAST MASS COASTLINE. IMPROVEMENTS AROUND
DAYBREAK MONDAY.

KBOS TERMINAL...MODERATE CONFIDENCE IN TAF TRENDS BUT LOW
CONFIDENCE IN EXACT TIMING.

KBDL TERMINAL...MODERATE CONFIDENCE IN TAF TRENDS BUT LOW
CONFIDENCE IN EXACT TIMING.

OUTLOOK...MONDAY THROUGH THURSDAY...MODERATE CONFIDENCE.

MONDAY...MAINLY VFR. MAY SEE A FEW WIDELY SCT SHOWERS WITH LOCAL
MVFR VSBYS ALONG E SLOPES OF THE BERKSHIRES. W WINDS MAY GUST UP TO
20-25 KT ALONG S COAST DURING THE DAY THEN DIMINISHING.

TUESDAY...MAINLY VFR. LOCAL MVFR CIGS/VSBYS IN SCT SHOWERS/TSTMS IN
WESTERN MA/CT TUE AFTERNOON SPREADING EASTWARD AND INCREASING IN
COVERAGE TUE NIGHT.

WEDNESDAY...MAINLY VFR. LOCAL MVFR CONDITIONS IN SCT SHOWERS/TSTMS
DURING THE DAY...GRADUALLY TAPERING OFF WED NIGHT.

THURSDAY...VFR. WIDELY SCT SHOWERS EARLY WITH BRIEF LOCAL MVFR
CONDITIONS.

&&

.MARINE...
FORECASTER CONFIDENCE LEVELS...

LOW...LESS THAN 30 PERCENT.
MODERATE...30 TO 60 PERCENT.
HIGH...GREATER THAN 60 PERCENT.

SHORT TERM /TONIGHT AND SUNDAY/...MODERATE TO HIGH CONFIDENCE.

ANOMALOUS LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL RESULT IN WINDS AND SEAS INCREASING
TONIGHT. STRONGEST WINDS EXPECTED VERY LATE TONIGHT INTO SUNDAY
MORNING WITH EASTERLY GUSTS BETWEEN 30 AND 40 KNOTS. GALE WARNINGS
IN EFFECT FOR ALL WATERS. SEAS ACROSS THE OUTER-WATERS WILL BUILD
TO BETWEEN 7 TO 13 FEET BY SUNDAY MORNING.

HEAVY RAIN AND A FEW EMBEDDED THUNDERSTORMS EXPECTED VERY LATE
TONIGHT INTO SUNDAY MORNING.  OVERALL...SEVERE WEATHER POTENTIAL IS
LOW BUT CAN NOT COMPLETELY RULE OUT AN ISOLATED WATERSPOUT ACROSS
OUR SOUTHERN WATERS.

OUTLOOK...SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY...MODERATE CONFIDENCE.

SUNDAY NIGHT...SW WINDS WILL REMAIN GUSTY OVER THE SOUTHERN
WATERS...UP TO 25 KT...THOUGH LOOKS TO DIMINISH AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
REMAIN HIGH ON THE WATERS THOUGH SO SMALL CRAFTS SHOULD REMAIN IN
PLACE. MAY SEE REDUCED VSBYS IN AREAS OF FOG ESPECIALLY ON THE
OUTER WATERS.

MONDAY...SW WINDS WILL PICK UP AGAIN...GUSTING TO 25 KT FROM LATE
MORNING INTO THE EVENING BEFORE DIMINISHING AGAIN. E-SE SWELLS WILL
CONTINUE ACROSS THE OPEN WATERS WHICH MAY BEGIN TO SLOWLY SUBSIDE
MON NIGHT.

TUESDAY-WEDNESDAY...EXPECT S-SW WINDS WITH GUSTS UP TO 20 KT WED/WED
NIGHT. SEAS REMAIN AOA 5 FT ON THE OPEN WATERS. SCT SHOWERS/TSTMS
TUE NIGHT/WED ALONG WITH PATCHY FOG WILL REDUCE VSBYS.

THURSDAY...WINDS SHIFT TO W AND DIMINISH. SEAS ON THE SOUTHERN OPEN
WATERS AROUND TO E OF CAPE COD WILL REMAIN AT AROUND 5 FT EARLY THU
BUT SHOULD SLOWLY SUBSIDE.

&&

.HYDROLOGY...
WIDESPREAD RAINFALL OF 1-3 INCHES WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS IS
EXPECTED. AT THIS TIME...MOST AREA RIVERS ARE AT THEIR NORMAL
SEASONAL LOW POINTS AND SHOULD REMAIN IN THEIR BANKS.

HOWEVER...WITH THE VERY HIGH PWATS AND POTENTIAL FOR CONVECTIVE
ELEMENTS...ITS POSSIBLE FFG MAY BE EXCEEDED IN SOME AREAS.
WIDESPREAD FFG VALUES ARE NEARLY 2.0 INCHES/1 HOUR...2.5 INCHES/3
HOUR...AND 3 INCHES/6 HOUR RATES. NORMALLY FLASHY BASINS/STREAMS
MAY NEED TO BE MONITORED. ALSO...URBAN FLOODING WILL BE POSSIBLE
AS WELL AS FFG RATES WILL BE LOWER IN THESE LOCATIONS.

APPEARS THAT THERE WILL BE 2 MAXIMUM IN QPF. ONE OVER THE EAST
SLOPES OF THE BERKSHIRES WITH UPSLOPE FLOW.  THE SECOND ONE WILL BE
SOMEWHERE OVER EASTERN MA/RHODE ISLAND JUST TO THE NORTHWEST OF THE
SURFACE LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM ESPECIALLY IF CONVECTIVE ELEMENTS CAN
GET INVOLVED.  THOSE ARE THE TWO AREAS WHERE A FLOOD WATCH HAS BEEN
ISSUED.

&&

.BOX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
CT...NONE.
MA...WIND ADVISORY UNTIL NOON EDT TODAY FOR MAZ005>007-013>024.
     HIGH SURF ADVISORY FROM 8 AM THIS MORNING TO 8 PM EDT THIS
     EVENING FOR MAZ007-015-016-019>024.
     FLOOD WATCH THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON FOR MAZ005>007-013>021.
     FLOOD WATCH THROUGH LATE TONIGHT FOR MAZ002-008-009.
RI...WIND ADVISORY UNTIL NOON EDT TODAY FOR RIZ001>008.
     HIGH SURF ADVISORY FROM 8 AM THIS MORNING TO 8 PM EDT THIS
     EVENING FOR RIZ006>008.
     FLOOD WATCH THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON FOR RIZ001>007.
MARINE...GALE WARNING UNTIL 11 AM EDT THIS MORNING FOR ANZ231>237.
     GALE WARNING UNTIL 2 PM EDT THIS AFTERNOON FOR ANZ230-250-251-
     254>256.

&&

$$
SYNOPSIS...FRANK/EVT
NEAR TERM...DUNTEN
SHORT TERM...FRANK
LONG TERM...EVT
AVIATION...DUNTEN/EVT
MARINE...FRANK/EVT
HYDROLOGY...



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