Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Burlington, VT

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000 FXUS61 KBTV 260604 AFDBTV Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Burlington VT 204 AM EDT Wed Apr 26 2017 .SYNOPSIS... A low pressure system off the North Carolina coast will move slowly northeast through Wednesday. This will keep quite a bit of moisture over the area tonight through Wednesday morning with occasional light rain expected. Improving conditions develop Wednesday afternoon and especially into Thursday as a ridge of high pressure moves into the region. Above normal temperatures are expected Wednesday and especially on Thursday with highs in the 70s to around 80. && .NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/...
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As of 203 AM EDT Wednesday...Current forecast in good shape, so no changes have been made. Previous discussion from 1029 PM EDT Tuesday...overall forecast in good shape. Areal coverage of light rain expanding just to our south and working its way north...which is what the current forecast has. Made just a few minor tweaks to temperatures and dew points...otherwise no other changes needed at this time. On Wednesday...the upper low to our south that has been bringing the moisture up into our region moves east and takes a bulk of the precipitation with it. Improving conditions are expected with drier weather moving in and some decrease in cloud cover. Highs should generally be in the 60s to around 70.
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&& .SHORT TERM /6 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT/... As of 417 PM EDT Tuesday...Upper ridge builds into the region Wednesday night and Thursday with upper trough well to the west and upper low to our east still moving slowly. This should bring a period of warmer and drier weather starting Wednesday and continuing into Thursday. Should see a good deal of sun on Thursday and highs in the 70s to around 80. Looks like ridge axis moves east Thursday night and this will allow a cold front and some showers to move into the region late Thursday night. Lows will be in the lower 50s to lower 60s. && .LONG TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/... As of 417 PM EDT Tuesday...No significant weather is expected through the period. Generally dry on Friday with highs in the lower 60s to lower 70s...then an upper trough passes just to our north on Saturday and brings a chance of showers to the region. Northwest flow aloft on the backside of this system will bring cooler temperatures for Sunday...but upper ridge building in on Monday suggests a warming trend develops. However...this will be short lived as another upper trough moves into the region for Monday night and Tuesday bringing more clouds and showers back into the area. && .AVIATION /06Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
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Through 06Z Thursday...Mainly VFR in light rain showers across the region as of 06Z Wednesday, with some local pockets of IFR/MVFR in fog and mist. Expecting most of the light rain shower activity will come to an end by 18Z Wednesday, as an upper ridge builds into the region this afternoon. Outlook... Thursday: VFR. NO SIG WX. Thursday Night: VFR. Slight Chance SHRA. Friday: VFR. Chance SHRA. Friday Night: VFR. Chance SHRA. Saturday: VFR. Chance SHRA. Saturday Night: VFR. Slight Chance SHRA. Sunday: VFR. Slight Chance SHRA.
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&& .BTV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... VT...None. NY...None. && $$ SYNOPSIS...Evenson NEAR TERM...Evenson/WGH SHORT TERM...Evenson LONG TERM...Evenson AVIATION...WGH/Nash

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