Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Burlington, VT

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000 FXUS61 KBTV 230614 AFDBTV Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Burlington VT 214 AM EDT Wed Aug 23 2017 .SYNOPSIS... A cold front will bring a few lingering showers overnight and a westerly wind shift. Quieter, cooler and drier weather conditions return for Wednesday and through the rest of the week. && .NEAR TERM /UNTIL 3 PM THIS AFTERNOON/... As of 1031 PM EDT Tuesday...Severe thunderstorms have cleared the region to the east and we have cancelled the Severe Thunderstorm Watch. Trailing cold front east of Lake Ontario will potentially bring isold/sct -SHRA overnight, with a few rumbles of thunder possible through 06-07Z. Thereafter, clearing trend and westerly wind shift areawide. Isold additional showers are possible Wednesday as trailing upper level trough makes its way ewd across the North Country. Will be noticeably drier with dewpoints falling into the low-mid 50s by Wednesday morning. Likewise, temperatures on Wednesday will be about 10 degrees cooler than Tuesday, much closer to seasonal normals (mid- upr 70s). && .SHORT TERM /3 PM THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH FRIDAY/... As of 259 PM EDT Tuesday...Continued 500mb cyclonic flow aloft, aided by orographic lift will keep some clouds and possible showers in the forecast in the short term, especially on Thursday. Decreasing PWATs in northwest surface flow will limit available moisture, hence only slight chance PoPs at this point. Temperatures throughout the period will be slightly cooler than normal with the upper level trough overhead. && .LONG TERM /FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY/... As of 259 PM EDT Tuesday...The upper level trough continues overhead through the weekend with the upper level ridge moving in early next week. Surface high pressure looks to hold strong through most of the period. Cool and dry conditions will dominate the region through the time period. The exception may be Sunday when medium range models hint at a slight weakening in the surface pressure field coinciding with a weak vort lobe swinging across the region. For now will keep pops at slight chance or less. Temperatures will continue slightly below normal. && .AVIATION /06Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
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Through 06Z Thursday...Scattered showers continue for the next several hours as the cold front moves across the North Country. Winds shift SW-WSW behind the front with brief period of gusts around 15-20kts. Generally VFR conditions prevail with exception of MVFR cigs at KRUT and KSLK. Expect KMSS and KMPV to see intermittent MVFR/IFR conditions as well and have included TEMPOs this morning. As daybreak nears, drier conditions settle in behind the cold front. Winds generally out of the SW at 8-13kts with gusts developing between 12Z-15Z. VFR conditions and gusty winds continue throughout the day Wednesday. After sunset, winds subside to 4-8kts for Wednesday evening. Outlook... Thursday: VFR. Slight Chance SHRA. Thursday Night: VFR. NO SIG WX. Friday: VFR. Slight Chance SHRA. Friday Night: VFR. NO SIG WX. Saturday: VFR. NO SIG WX. Saturday Night: VFR. NO SIG WX. Sunday: VFR. Slight Chance SHRA.
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&& .BTV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... VT...None. NY...None. && $$ SYNOPSIS...Banacos NEAR TERM...Banacos SHORT TERM...NRR LONG TERM...NRR AVIATION...KGM

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