Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Burlington, VT

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000 FXUS61 KBTV 262349 AFDBTV AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT 749 PM EDT TUE APR 26 2016 .SYNOPSIS... THE STORM SYSTEM THAT BROUGHT LATE SPRING SNOW TO MUCH OF THE NORTH COUNTRY TODAY HAS MOVED EAST AND PRONOUNCED CLEARING WILL BE TAKING PLACE TONIGHT. BELOW NORMAL TEMPERATURES WILL BE THE RULE OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS WITH LOWS IN THE 20S AND HIGHS IN THE 40S...BUT NO PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED. A WARMING TREND WILL TAKE PLACE FOR THE LATER PART OF THE WEEK AND DRY WEATHER IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE RIGHT INTO THE WEEKEND AS HIGH PRESSURE PREVAILS OVER THE REGION. && .NEAR TERM /THROUGH WEDNESDAY/... AS OF 749 PM EDT TUESDAY...SURFACE OBSERVATIONS AND SATELLITE LOOP SHOWING SKIES HAVE CLEARED ACROSS NORTHERN NEW YORK AND NORTHERN VERMONT AT THIS TIME. EXPECTING SKIES TO BECOME CLEAR ACROSS CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN VERMONT EARLY TONIGHT. FORECAST IN GOOD SHAPE...SO NO MAJOR CHANGES HAVE BEEN MADE. PREVIOUS DISCUSSION FROM 356 PM EDT TUESDAY...SNOW HAS ALL BUT ENDED ACROSS MUCH OF THE AREA LATE THIS AFTERNOON WITH JUST A FEW FLURRIES LINGERING. SNOW REPORTS SUGGEST MOST AREAS GOT ANYWHERE FROM A DUSTING TO AROUND 4 INCHES. PRONOUNCED CLEARING IS NOW TAKING PLACE ON THE BACKSIDE OF THE UPPER TROUGH WITH CLEAR SKIES JUST ENTERING THE SAINT LAWRENCE VALLEY. THIS CLEARING LINE WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE SOUTHEAST OVER THE NEXT FEW HOURS AND ALL LOCATIONS SHOULD BE LOOKING AT CLEAR SKIES FROM SUNSET ONWARD. THE CLEAR SKIES WILL ALLOW FOR LOW TEMPERATURES TO DROP INTO THE 20S. ON WEDNESDAY...NORTHWEST FLOW ALOFT WILL EXIST OVER THE REGION IN RESPONSE TO LARGE UPPER LOW OVER EASTERN CANADA. COLD AIR ADVECTION WILL CONTINUE TO BRING BELOW NORMAL TEMPERATURES TO THE AREA WITH HIGHS GENERALLY IN THE 40S...WHICH IS ABOUT 10 TO 15 DEGREES BELOW NORMAL FOR THIS TIME OF YEAR. PLENTY OF SUNSHINE WILL EXIST WITH NO PRECIPITATION EXPECTED. && .SHORT TERM /WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT/... AS OF 356 PM EDT TUESDAY...THE DOMINATE UPPER LEVEL CLOSED LOW OVER THE CANADIAN MARITIMES WILL CONTINUE TO REINFORCE NORTHERLY FLOW ACROSS THE NORTH COUNTRY IN THE MID WEEK. EXPECT A SURFACE HIGH TO KEEP THE WEATHER QUIET AND DRY FOR THURSDAY. THE DRY AIR WILL SEE MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITIES IN THE 30 TO 35% RANGE. HOWEVER EVEN WITH THE DRY AIR AND LOW HUMIDITY`S WINDS SHOULD REMAIN 10-15KTS OR LESS DURING THE DAY AND THUS REMAINING WELL BELOW OUR FIRE WEATHER THRESHOLDS. WITH THE CONSISTENT NORTHERLY WINDS EXPECT TEMPS TO STAY WELL BELOW NORMAL WITH MAX TEMPS EXPECTED TO ONLY WARM INTO THE UPPER 40S DURING THE DAY WITH LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO LOWER 30S. && .LONG TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/... AS OF 356 PM EDT TUESDAY...HIGH PRESSURE REMAINS IN CONTROL THROUGHOUT THE WEEKEND WITH DRY WEATHER. THE NEXT CHANCE FOR PRECIPITATION WILL ARRIVE SOMETIME EARLY NEXT WEEK BUT MODELS DISPLAYING LOTS OF DISPARITY WITH REGARD TO TIMING AND TRACK OF THIS SYSTEM. THEREFORE HAVE LOW CHANCE POPS SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT. TEMPERATURES WILL BE NEAR TO SLIGHTLY BELOW NORMAL. && .AVIATION /00Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/... THROUGH 18Z WEDNESDAY...IFR THROUGH THE AFTERNOON AT KRUT HAS LIFTED TO MVFR, WITH MVFR AT KMPV AS WELL. FORECAST FOR THOSE TWO SITES TO IMPROVE TO VFR THROUGH 02Z. VFR CLEAR ELSEWHERE AS LOW CLOUDS CONTINUE TO PUSH SOUTH OUT OF THE FORECAST AREA. SKIES TO REMAIN MOSTLY CLEAR OVER NIGHT WITH UNRESTRICTED VISIBILITY, ALTHOUGH A FEW CLOUDS AT MVFR HEIGHTS AROUND SUNRISE POSSIBLE IN THE MOUNTAINOUS AREAS. WINDS GENERALLY FROM NORTHWEST UNDER 10 KTS, EXCEPT USUAL OVERNIGHT DRAINAGE WIND FROM SOUTHWEST AT KRUT. OUTLOOK 00Z THURSDAY THROUGH SUNDAY...VFR UNDER HIGH PRESSURE. && .BTV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... VT...NONE. NY...NONE. && $$ SYNOPSIS...EVENSON NEAR TERM...EVENSON/WGH SHORT TERM...DEAL LONG TERM...KGM AVIATION...HANSON

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