Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Burlington, VT

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000 FXUS61 KBTV 241929 AFDBTV Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Burlington VT 329 PM EDT Mon Apr 24 2017 .SYNOPSIS...
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A quiet evening with mostly clear skies. Low pressure in the Carolinas will bring showers to all the north country on Tuesday and mainly eastern Vermont on Wednesday. Drier and warmer on Thursday with a chance of showers possibly returning on Friday.
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&& .NEAR TERM /THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT/...
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As of 326 PM EDT Monday...High pressure to our north dropped a backdoor cold front earlier today with cooler air across most of the region, especially in the Champlain Valley where a north wind and cold lake temperatures only allowed temperatures to reach near 50 degrees. Clear skies across the region going into this evening with clouds lurking across Southern New england as the closed low slowly meanders north through early Wednesday then eastward. Return moist flow from High pressure to our north and the surface low will bring in showers to the region in a few waves on Tuesday. It will be a cool, damp raw especially across eastern and southern VT with a good easterly maritime flow. There will be a first wave of scattered light showers with the intial first surge of moisture and then as we get caught into the inverted trof from the coastal low a bit more numerous or pronunce showers Tuesday night.
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&& .SHORT TERM /WEDNESDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT/...
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As of 359 AM EDT Monday...Surface/Stacked low eventually departs with best chance of showers across central-eastern VT during Wednesday, decreasing in coverage during Wednesday. Slow clearing from west to east Wednesday night, likely holding off til Thursday for much of VT.
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&& .LONG TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY/... As of 359 AM EDT Monday...Expecting some cloud cover to linger across the region Wednesday night. A weak upper ridge will be over the region on Thursday, so have gone with partly sunny skies. Will bring in a chance of showers late Thursday night. These showers will continue into Friday. Expecting a mainly dry day on Saturday as a ridge of high pressure builds south from Canada. Models showing a frontal system south of the region Saturday night with ECMWF and GFS showing some overrunning rain showers moving into the region north of the warm front for Saturday night and Sunday. && .AVIATION /20Z MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/... Through 18Z Tuesday...Mainly SKC through 04z then gradual increase in clouds from south to north with slowly approaching closed low. Scattered showers and cigs AOB 060 enter 10-12z along MA-VT border and northern border around 16z. Primarily VFR through period with some MVFR aft 15z at KRUT and possibly KSLK. Primarily NNE winds aob 10 kts today...largely light overnight with KRUT witnessing SE 5-7 kts aft 03z then by 10-12z SE winds around 10 kts for all. Outlook... Tuesday Night: VFR. Breezy. Chance SHRA. Wednesday: VFR. Chance SHRA. Wednesday Night: VFR/MVFR. Slight Chance SHRA. Thursday: VFR. NO SIG WX. Thursday Night: VFR. Chance SHRA. Friday: VFR. Chance SHRA. Friday Night: VFR. Chance SHRA. Saturday: VFR. Slight Chance SHRA. && .BTV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... VT...None. NY...None. && $$ SYNOPSIS...Banacos NEAR TERM...Banacos/SLW SHORT TERM...WGH LONG TERM...WGH AVIATION...SLW

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