Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Burlington, VT

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054
FXUS61 KBTV 261956
AFDBTV

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
356 PM EDT TUE APR 26 2016

.SYNOPSIS...
THE STORM SYSTEM THAT BROUGHT LATE SPRING SNOW TO MUCH OF THE NORTH
COUNTRY TODAY HAS MOVED EAST AND PRONOUNCED CLEARING WILL BE TAKING
PLACE TONIGHT. BELOW NORMAL TEMPERATURES WILL BE THE RULE OVER THE
NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS WITH LOWS IN THE 20S AND HIGHS IN THE 40S...BUT
NO PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED. A WARMING TREND WILL TAKE PLACE FOR
THE LATER PART OF THE WEEK AND DRY WEATHER IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE
RIGHT INTO THE WEEKEND AS HIGH PRESSURE PREVAILS OVER THE REGION.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
AS OF 356 PM EDT TUESDAY...SNOW HAS ALL BUT ENDED ACROSS MUCH OF
THE AREA LATE THIS AFTERNOON WITH JUST A FEW FLURRIES LINGERING.
SNOW REPORTS SUGGEST MOST AREAS GOT ANYWHERE FROM A DUSTING TO
AROUND 4 INCHES. PRONOUNCED CLEARING IS NOW TAKING PLACE ON THE
BACKSIDE OF THE UPPER TROUGH WITH CLEAR SKIES JUST ENTERING THE
SAINT LAWRENCE VALLEY. THIS CLEARING LINE WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE
SOUTHEAST OVER THE NEXT FEW HOURS AND ALL LOCATIONS SHOULD BE
LOOKING AT CLEAR SKIES FROM SUNSET ONWARD. THE CLEAR SKIES WILL
ALLOW FOR LOW TEMPERATURES TO DROP INTO THE 20S.

ON WEDNESDAY...NORTHWEST FLOW ALOFT WILL EXIST OVER THE REGION IN
RESPONSE TO LARGE UPPER LOW OVER EASTERN CANADA. COLD AIR ADVECTION
WILL CONTINUE TO BRING BELOW NORMAL TEMPERATURES TO THE AREA WITH
HIGHS GENERALLY IN THE 40S...WHICH IS ABOUT 10 TO 15 DEGREES BELOW
NORMAL FOR THIS TIME OF YEAR. PLENTY OF SUNSHINE WILL EXIST WITH NO
PRECIPITATION EXPECTED.

&&

.SHORT TERM /WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT/...
AS OF 356 PM EDT TUESDAY...THE DOMINATE UPPER LEVEL CLOSED LOW
OVER THE CANADIAN MARITIMES WILL CONTINUE TO REINFORCE NORTHERLY
FLOW ACROSS THE NORTH COUNTRY IN THE MID WEEK. EXPECT A SURFACE
HIGH TO KEEP THE WEATHER QUIET AND DRY FOR THURSDAY. THE DRY AIR
WILL SEE MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITIES IN THE 30 TO 35% RANGE.
HOWEVER EVEN WITH THE DRY AIR AND LOW HUMIDITY`S WINDS SHOULD
REMAIN 10-15KTS OR LESS DURING THE DAY AND THUS REMAINING WELL
BELOW OUR FIRE WEATHER THRESHOLDS.

WITH THE CONSISTENT NORTHERLY WINDS EXPECT TEMPS TO STAY WELL BELOW
NORMAL WITH MAX TEMPS EXPECTED TO ONLY WARM INTO THE UPPER 40S
DURING THE DAY WITH LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO LOWER 30S.

&&

.LONG TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
AS OF 356 PM EDT TUESDAY...HIGH PRESSURE REMAINS IN CONTROL
THROUGHOUT THE WEEKEND WITH DRY WEATHER. THE NEXT CHANCE FOR
PRECIPITATION WILL ARRIVE SOMETIME EARLY NEXT WEEK BUT MODELS
DISPLAYING LOTS OF DISPARITY WITH REGARD TO TIMING AND TRACK OF
THIS SYSTEM. THEREFORE HAVE LOW CHANCE POPS SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH
MONDAY NIGHT. TEMPERATURES WILL BE NEAR TO SLIGHTLY BELOW NORMAL.

&&

.AVIATION /20Z TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
THROUGH 18Z WEDNESDAY...CLEARING IS TAKING PLACE FROM NORTHWEST TO
SOUTHEAST ACROSS THE AREA THIS AFTERNOON. THUS EXPECT THE CLOUDS
AND SNOW TO CONTINUE DECREASING IN AREAL COVERAGE THE REST OF THIS
AFTERNOON WITH VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED FOR ALL AREAS BY 20Z AND
REMAINING IN THE VFR CATEGORY FOR THE REST OF THE PERIOD. THERE
MAY BE SOME FOG AND LOW CLOUDS AT KRUT TONIGHT HOWEVER...WHICH
COULD RESULT IN A PERIOD OF MVFR CONDITIONS. WINDS WILL ALSO TAPER
OFF AS THE AFTERNOON PROGRESSES AND WINDS FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE
PERIOD WILL GENERALLY STAY UNDER 10 KNOTS.

OUTLOOK 18Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY...VFR UNDER HIGH PRESSURE.

&&

.BTV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
VT...NONE.
NY...NONE.

&&

$$
SYNOPSIS...EVENSON
NEAR TERM...EVENSON
SHORT TERM...DEAL
LONG TERM...KGM
AVIATION...EVENSON



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