Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Burlington, VT

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000 FXUS61 KBTV 240536 AFDBTV Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Burlington VT 136 AM EDT Thu Aug 24 2017 .SYNOPSIS... Noticeably cooler and drier conditions will be felt across the region through the weekend. West to northwesterly flow in the low and middle levels of the atmosphere will keep the cool and dry air reinforced through the weekend. Weak upper level disturbances will move through the region and generate isolated light rainshowers, but most of the area will remain dry. Temperatures will be near to a bit below their seasonal normals. && .NEAR TERM /UNTIL 8 AM THIS MORNING/... As of 121 AM EDT Thursday...Isolated showers have come to an end and have removed any mention for the remainder of the early morning hours. Made some minor adjustments to sky cover otherwise remainder of forecast in good shape. && .SHORT TERM /8 AM THIS MORNING THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT/... As of 401 PM EDT Wednesday...500 mb trough remains over the northeast during this period with periodic shortwave troughs rotating through. In particular one late Thursday will increase clouds, however moisture remains too limited for anything other than slight chance for showers in the higher terrain. Otherwise dry. Low heights associated with upper trough and overall west to northwest flow will reinforce cool temps and dry humidity. Temps to average a couple degrees below normal but still seasonable. && .LONG TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/... As of 401 PM EDT Wednesday...Models show one more shortwave translating through the trough Saturday night before the trough finally moves east and upper level riding enters the region. At the surface, northerly flow will become southerly. At this point the long term forecast looks predominantly dry. Temperatures will also continue to be seasonal through the period. && .AVIATION /06Z THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY/... Through 06Z Friday...VFR conditions expected aside from KSLK and KMPV. A low level jet keeps MVFR/IFR vsbys and cigs intermittent. Have included TEMPOs to depict this. After 12Z VFR conditions will prevail across the North Country with isolated showers possible in the afternoon...included VCSH at KSLK, KMPV and KRUT according to CAM model output. Light to calm winds this morning will increase out of the W to NW at 5-10kts during the day. Winds will again subside after sunset. Can`t rule out possible fog development at KSLK and KMPV Thursday night. Outlook... Friday - Monday: VFR. NO SIG WX under surface high pressure. && .BTV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... VT...None. NY...None. && $$ SYNOPSIS...Hanson NEAR TERM...Evenson/Hanson SHORT TERM...Hanson LONG TERM...NRR AVIATION...KGM

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