Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Burlington, VT

Current Version | Previous Version | Graphics & Text | Print | Product List | Glossary Off
Versions: 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49 50
-- Highlight Changed Discussion --
-- Discussion containing changed information from previous version are highlighted. --
000 FXUS61 KBTV 311753 AFDBTV AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT 153 PM EDT MON AUG 31 2015 .SYNOPSIS... AN UNSEASONABLY WARM AND DRY WEATHER PATTERN WILL PERSIST ACROSS THE NORTH COUNTRY THROUGH THE NEXT 7 DAYS...ASSOCIATED WITH THE CONTINUED PRESENCE OF A MEAN UPPER LEVEL RIDGE ACROSS THE CENTRAL AND EASTERN UNITED STATES. HIGH TEMPERATURES THROUGH THE PERIOD WILL AVERAGE 10 TO 15 DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL. NO SIGNIFICANT RAINFALL IS EXPECTED...BUT AN UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE MAY BRING A FEW SHOWERS TO THE REGION LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT INTO THURSDAY. && .NEAR TERM /UNTIL 8 PM THIS EVENING/... AS OF 112 PM EDT MONDAY...SFC WINDS ARE SHIFTING INTO THE WNW ASSOCIATED WITH THE PRE-FRONTAL WIND SHIFT SETTLING SOUTHWARD ACROSS THE REGION. SURFACE WINDS GENERALLY NW 10-15 MPH...WITH GUSTS 20-25 MPH THRU MID-AFTN. A WEAK/DRY FRONTAL BNDRY FURTHER NORTH...ACROSS SRN QUEBEC...WILL PASS ACROSS THE REGION LATE THIS AFTN/EVENING. THIS FEATURE WILL BRING A BAND OF CLOUD COVER...BUT OTHERWISE THE FROPA SHOULD BE UNEVENTFUL. WARMING TEMPERATURES WILL REACH THE MID 80S IN THE VALLEYS AND UPPER 70S TO LOW 80S MOST OTHER AREAS. HAVE MADE MINOR ADJUSTMENTS TO WINDS...TEMPERATURES...AND POPS BASED ON OBSERVATIONAL TRENDS. && .SHORT TERM /8 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT/... AS OF 408 AM EDT MONDAY...QUIET TONIGHT WITH SKIES CLEARING AND WINDS SUBSIDE OVERNIGHT. SOME AREAS MAY SEE FOG DEVELOPMENT IN THE FAVORABLE VALLEY LOCATIONS. MIN TEMPS WILL BE MILD IN THE MID 50S TO LOW 60S. RISING 700-500MB HEIGHTS CONTINUE AS STRONG UPPER RIDGE BUILDS ACROSS NEW YORK AND NEW ENGLAND FOR TUESDAY. MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES WILL CONTRIBUTE TO HIGHS IN THE MID-UPR 80S FOR TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY. 500MB HEIGHTS BEGIN TO DECREASE WEDNESDAY AS ANOTHER SHORTWAVE APPROACHES FROM THE NORTHWEST. CLOUDS WILL INCREASE OVER THE NORTHERN TIER OF ZONES BUT EXPECT MUCH OF THE DAY TO REMAIN MOSTLY CLEAR. OTHERWISE A MAINLY DRY FORECAST IS EXPECTED. && .LONG TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/... AS OF 153 PM EDT MONDAY...RIDGE OF SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE WILL BE OVER THE REGION FOR THE ENTIRETY OF THE EXTENDED PORTION OF THE FORECAST FROM THURSDAY THROUGH THE BEGINNING OF NEXT WEEK. BEST CHANCE FOR SHOWERS THROUGH THE PERIOD WILL BE THURSDAY AS A WEAK COLD FRONT AND SHORTWAVE TROF FROM WEDNESDAY NIGHT CONTINUES TO PUSH SOUTH ACROSS OUR FORECAST AREA. BETTER CHANCE FOR SHOWERS WILL BE THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS OF OUR SOUTHERN ZONES. AFTER THAT SURFACE AND UPPER LEVEL RIDGE BUILD OVER THE REGION AND DRY WEATHER CONTINUES. TEMPERATURES WILL BE MUCH WARMER THAN SEASONAL NORMALS...MANY MAX TEMPS IN THE 80S AND MIN TEMPS IN THE UPPER 50S TO LOWER 60S. && .AVIATION /18Z MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/... THROUGH 18Z TUESDAY...BKN TO OVC SKIES THIS AFTERNOON ARE FINALLY VFR AT ALL LOCATIONS NOW. WINDS ARE GUSTING OUT OF THE WEST AT ALL SITES. GUSTS TO 20 OR 25 KTS ARE POSSIBLE THROUGH ABOUT 23Z OR 00Z. MORE FOG EXPECTED AGAIN TONIGHT AFTER 06Z AT KSLK/KMPV WITH IFR/LIFR CONDITIONS POSSIBLE. HAVE ALSO MENTIONED SOME MVFR BR AT BTV AFTER 06Z. CLOUDS WILL DISSIPATE AND WINDS WILL DIMINISH TO LIGHT AND VARIABLE TONIGHT. OUTLOOK 18Z TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY... 18Z TUE-SAT...MAINLY VFR. PERIODS EARLY MORNING VLIFR/IFR MAINLY AT KMPV AND KSLK. SLIGHT CHANCE FOR SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND THURSDAY. && .BTV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... VT...NONE. NY...NONE. && $$ SYNOPSIS...BANACOS NEAR TERM...BANACOS SHORT TERM...KGM LONG TERM...NEILES AVIATION...NEILES

USA.gov is the U.S. government's official web portal to all federal, state and local government web resources and services.