Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Burlington, VT-- Highlight Changed Discussion --
-- Discussion containing changed information from previous version are highlighted. --
FXUS61 KBTV 260230
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Burlington VT
1030 PM EDT Tue Apr 25 2017
A low pressure system off the North Carolina coast will move
slowly northeast through Wednesday. This will keep quite a bit
of moisture over the area tonight through Wednesday morning with
occasional light rain expected. Improving conditions develop
Wednesday afternoon and especially into Thursday as a ridge of
high pressure moves into the region. Above normal temperatures
are expected Wednesday and especially on Thursday with highs in
the 70s to around 80.
.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM WEDNESDAY EVENING/...
-- Changed Discussion --As of 1029 PM EDT Tuesday...overall forecast in good shape.
Areal coverage of light rain expanding just to our south and
working its way north...which is what the current forecast has.
Made just a few minor tweaks to temperatures and dew
points...otherwise no other changes needed at this time.
On Wednesday...the upper low to our south that has been bringing
the moisture up into our region moves east and takes a bulk of
the precipitation with it. Improving conditions are expected
with drier weather moving in and some decrease in cloud cover.
Highs should generally be in the 60s to around 70.
-- End Changed Discussion --
.SHORT TERM /6 PM WEDNESDAY EVENING THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT/...
As of 417 PM EDT Tuesday...Upper ridge builds into the region
Wednesday night and Thursday with upper trough well to the west
and upper low to our east still moving slowly. This should bring
a period of warmer and drier weather starting Wednesday and
continuing into Thursday. Should see a good deal of sun on
Thursday and highs in the 70s to around 80. Looks like ridge
axis moves east Thursday night and this will allow a cold front
and some showers to move into the region late Thursday night.
Lows will be in the lower 50s to lower 60s.
.LONG TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
As of 417 PM EDT Tuesday...No significant weather is expected
through the period. Generally dry on Friday with highs in the
lower 60s to lower 70s...then an upper trough passes just to our
north on Saturday and brings a chance of showers to the region.
Northwest flow aloft on the backside of this system will bring
cooler temperatures for Sunday...but upper ridge building in on
Monday suggests a warming trend develops. However...this will be
short lived as another upper trough moves into the region for
Monday night and Tuesday bringing more clouds and showers back
into the area.
.AVIATION /03Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
Through 00Z Thursday...widespread MVFR and VFR conditions with
respect to both ceilings and visibilities are expected through
12z with slowly improving conditions during the remainder of the
period. Any rainfall through 12z will be light and areal
coverage will decrease after 12z. Winds will generally be less
than 10 knots through much of the period. There may be some
gusts to 20 knots through 04z however.
Wednesday Night: VFR. NO SIG WX.
Thursday: VFR. NO SIG WX.
Thursday Night: VFR. Slight Chance SHRA.
Friday: VFR. Chance SHRA...TSRA.
Friday Night: VFR. Chance SHRA.
Saturday: VFR. Chance SHRA.
Saturday Night: VFR. Slight Chance SHRA.
Sunday: VFR. Chance SHRA.