Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Burlington, VT

Current Version | Previous Version | Graphics & Text | Print | Product List | Glossary On
Versions: 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49 50
-- Highlight Changed Discussion --
-- Discussion containing changed information from previous version are highlighted. --
000 FXUS61 KBTV 261336 AFDBTV AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT 936 AM EDT TUE APR 26 2016 .SYNOPSIS...
-- Changed Discussion --
AN UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE OVER MICHIGAN EARLY THIS MORNING WILL MOVE QUICKLY EASTWARD BRINGING WET SNOW TO THE NORTH COUNTRY THIS MORNING. LESS THAN AN INCH OF SNOW IS EXPECTED IN THE IMMEDIATE CHAMPLAIN AND CONNECTICUT RIVER VALLEYS...BUT ACCUMULATIONS OF 1 TO 3 INCHES IS EXPECTED ABOVE 1000 FEET IN ELEVATION...WITH THE HIGHEST SNOWFALL TOTALS ACROSS THE ADIRONDACKS AND THE SUMMITS OF THE SOUTHERN GREEN MOUNTAINS. THIS LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL PASS QUICKLY WITH PRECIPITATION ENDING DURING THE EARLY TO MID AFTERNOON HOURS WITH PARTIAL CLEARING FROM WEST TO EAST LATE IN THE DAY. THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS WILL FEATURE DRY WEATHER BUT CONTINUED BELOW NORMAL TEMPERATURES FOR LATE APRIL.
-- End Changed Discussion --
&& .NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM WEDNESDAY MORNING/...
-- Changed Discussion --
AS OF 936 AM EDT TUESDAY...WELL DEFINED SHORTWAVE TROUGH IS MOVING ACROSS CENTRAL NEW YORK AND ENHANCING PRECIPITATION OVER THE ENTIRE AREA. TEMPERATURES ARE COLD ENOUGH ACROSS THE NORTHERN AND CENTRAL SECTIONS OF THE AREA FOR PRECIPITATION TO REMAIN IN THE FORM OF SNOW AND TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN COLD ENOUGH THROUGH THE ENTIRE MORNING HOURS FOR PRECIPITATION TO REMAIN AS SNOW. THUS HAVE ADJUSTED THE FORECAST TO INDICATE A LONGER DURATION OF SNOW ALONG WITH SLIGHTLY HIGHER SNOW AMOUNTS. MAIN ROADS CONTINUE TO REMAIN WARM ENOUGH FOR THE SNOW TO MELT AND NOT HAVE ANY IMPACT. TEMPERATURES ARE ABOVE FREEZING ACROSS THE LOWER ELEVATIONS OF SOUTH CENTRAL VERMONT AND THIS WILL KEEP PLACES LIKE RUTLAND AND SPRINGFIELD IN THE FORM OF RAIN WITH SNOW IN THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS. STEADIER PRECIPITATION WILL EXIST ACROSS THIS AREA GIVEN ITS PROXIMITY TO THE SHORTWAVE TROUGH. QUIET AND MAINLY CLEAR TONIGHT AS HIGH PRESSURE RIDGES SEWD FROM NRN ONTARIO. CHILLY AIR MASS FOR LATE APRIL WITH LOWS TONIGHT MAINLY LOW-MID 20S NORTHERN HALF OF THE CWA...AND UPR 20S FOR S-CENTRAL VT.
-- End Changed Discussion --
&& .SHORT TERM /6 AM WEDNESDAY MORNING THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT/... AS OF 429 AM EDT TUESDAY...RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE AT THE SURFACE BUILDS OVER THE NORTH COUNTRY FOR THE REST OF THE WORK WEEK. MID LEVEL TROUGH WILL KEEP SOME CLOUDS OVER THE REGION WITH ONLY SLIGHT CHANCES FOR PRECIPITATION AS EMBEDDED VORT MOVES THROUGH THE BASE OF TROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT. COME THURSDAY, THE MID LEVEL TROUGH MOVES NORTH AND EAST. AS THIS TROUGH EXITS, SOUTHERN STREAM MID-LEVEL SHORTWAVE WILL TRAVERSE FROM KANSAS/NEBRASKA AREA EASTWARD TOWARD CHICAGO BY THURSDAY NIGHT. AT THE SURFACE THIS FEATURE WILL BE REFLECTED AS WEAK LOW PRESSURE MOVING ACROSS THE OHIO RIVER VALLEY. LOW WILL TRANSLATE OFFSHORE FRIDAY FAR ENOUGH SOUTH TO KEEP THE NORTH COUNTRY DRY, ALTHOUGH SOME CLOUDS MAY OVER OVER SOUTHERN PORTIONS OF THE FORECAST AREA. THROUGHOUT THE SHORT TERM, DRY AIR WILL FILTER IN ON NW FLOW WITH PERIODS OF SUNSHINE DRYING OUT FINE DEAD FUELS. BUT WINDS WILL BE GENERALLY LIGHT LESS THAN 12KTS SUSTAINED AND GUSTS LESS THAN 20KTS. TEMPERATURES WILL BE BELOW NORMAL WITH A WARMING TREND THROUGHOUT THE PERIOD. && .LONG TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH MONDAY/... AS OF 429 AM EDT TUESDAY...HIGH PRESSURE REMAINS IN CONTROL THROUGHOUT THE WEEKEND WITH DRY WEATHER. THE NEXT CHANCE FOR PRECIPITATION WILL ARRIVE SOMETIME EARLY NEXT WEEK BUT MODELS DISPLAYING LOTS OF DISPARITY WITH REGARD TO TIMING AND TRACK OF THIS SYSTEM. THEREFORE HAVE LOW CHANCE POPS SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT. TEMPERATURES WILL BE NEAR TO SLIGHTLY BELOW NORMAL. && .AVIATION /14Z TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/...
-- Changed Discussion --
THROUGH 12Z WEDNESDAY...VLIFR TO IFR CONDITIONS WILL EXIST THROUGH THE MORNING HOURS AS SNOW CONTINUES ACROSS THE AREA THIS MORNING. IMPROVING CONDITIONS WILL DEVELOP THIS AFTERNOON AS PRECIPITATION EXITS THE AREA TO THE EAST. VFR CONDITIONS WILL EXIST ALL AREAS BY 00Z AND CONTINUE THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE PERIOD. OUTLOOK 12Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY...VFR UNDER HIGH PRESSURE.
-- End Changed Discussion --
&& .BTV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... VT...NONE. NY...NONE. && $$ SYNOPSIS...BANACOS NEAR TERM...EVENSON/BANACOS SHORT TERM...KGM LONG TERM...KGM AVIATION...EVENSON/BANACOS

USA.gov is the U.S. government's official web portal to all federal, state and local government web resources and services.