Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Burlington, VT

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054 FXUS61 KBTV 261956 AFDBTV AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT 356 PM EDT TUE APR 26 2016 .SYNOPSIS... THE STORM SYSTEM THAT BROUGHT LATE SPRING SNOW TO MUCH OF THE NORTH COUNTRY TODAY HAS MOVED EAST AND PRONOUNCED CLEARING WILL BE TAKING PLACE TONIGHT. BELOW NORMAL TEMPERATURES WILL BE THE RULE OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS WITH LOWS IN THE 20S AND HIGHS IN THE 40S...BUT NO PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED. A WARMING TREND WILL TAKE PLACE FOR THE LATER PART OF THE WEEK AND DRY WEATHER IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE RIGHT INTO THE WEEKEND AS HIGH PRESSURE PREVAILS OVER THE REGION. && .NEAR TERM /THROUGH WEDNESDAY/... AS OF 356 PM EDT TUESDAY...SNOW HAS ALL BUT ENDED ACROSS MUCH OF THE AREA LATE THIS AFTERNOON WITH JUST A FEW FLURRIES LINGERING. SNOW REPORTS SUGGEST MOST AREAS GOT ANYWHERE FROM A DUSTING TO AROUND 4 INCHES. PRONOUNCED CLEARING IS NOW TAKING PLACE ON THE BACKSIDE OF THE UPPER TROUGH WITH CLEAR SKIES JUST ENTERING THE SAINT LAWRENCE VALLEY. THIS CLEARING LINE WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE SOUTHEAST OVER THE NEXT FEW HOURS AND ALL LOCATIONS SHOULD BE LOOKING AT CLEAR SKIES FROM SUNSET ONWARD. THE CLEAR SKIES WILL ALLOW FOR LOW TEMPERATURES TO DROP INTO THE 20S. ON WEDNESDAY...NORTHWEST FLOW ALOFT WILL EXIST OVER THE REGION IN RESPONSE TO LARGE UPPER LOW OVER EASTERN CANADA. COLD AIR ADVECTION WILL CONTINUE TO BRING BELOW NORMAL TEMPERATURES TO THE AREA WITH HIGHS GENERALLY IN THE 40S...WHICH IS ABOUT 10 TO 15 DEGREES BELOW NORMAL FOR THIS TIME OF YEAR. PLENTY OF SUNSHINE WILL EXIST WITH NO PRECIPITATION EXPECTED. && .SHORT TERM /WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT/... AS OF 356 PM EDT TUESDAY...THE DOMINATE UPPER LEVEL CLOSED LOW OVER THE CANADIAN MARITIMES WILL CONTINUE TO REINFORCE NORTHERLY FLOW ACROSS THE NORTH COUNTRY IN THE MID WEEK. EXPECT A SURFACE HIGH TO KEEP THE WEATHER QUIET AND DRY FOR THURSDAY. THE DRY AIR WILL SEE MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITIES IN THE 30 TO 35% RANGE. HOWEVER EVEN WITH THE DRY AIR AND LOW HUMIDITY`S WINDS SHOULD REMAIN 10-15KTS OR LESS DURING THE DAY AND THUS REMAINING WELL BELOW OUR FIRE WEATHER THRESHOLDS. WITH THE CONSISTENT NORTHERLY WINDS EXPECT TEMPS TO STAY WELL BELOW NORMAL WITH MAX TEMPS EXPECTED TO ONLY WARM INTO THE UPPER 40S DURING THE DAY WITH LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO LOWER 30S. && .LONG TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/... AS OF 356 PM EDT TUESDAY...HIGH PRESSURE REMAINS IN CONTROL THROUGHOUT THE WEEKEND WITH DRY WEATHER. THE NEXT CHANCE FOR PRECIPITATION WILL ARRIVE SOMETIME EARLY NEXT WEEK BUT MODELS DISPLAYING LOTS OF DISPARITY WITH REGARD TO TIMING AND TRACK OF THIS SYSTEM. THEREFORE HAVE LOW CHANCE POPS SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT. TEMPERATURES WILL BE NEAR TO SLIGHTLY BELOW NORMAL. && .AVIATION /20Z TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/... THROUGH 18Z WEDNESDAY...CLEARING IS TAKING PLACE FROM NORTHWEST TO SOUTHEAST ACROSS THE AREA THIS AFTERNOON. THUS EXPECT THE CLOUDS AND SNOW TO CONTINUE DECREASING IN AREAL COVERAGE THE REST OF THIS AFTERNOON WITH VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED FOR ALL AREAS BY 20Z AND REMAINING IN THE VFR CATEGORY FOR THE REST OF THE PERIOD. THERE MAY BE SOME FOG AND LOW CLOUDS AT KRUT TONIGHT HOWEVER...WHICH COULD RESULT IN A PERIOD OF MVFR CONDITIONS. WINDS WILL ALSO TAPER OFF AS THE AFTERNOON PROGRESSES AND WINDS FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE PERIOD WILL GENERALLY STAY UNDER 10 KNOTS. OUTLOOK 18Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY...VFR UNDER HIGH PRESSURE. && .BTV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... VT...NONE. NY...NONE. && $$ SYNOPSIS...EVENSON NEAR TERM...EVENSON SHORT TERM...DEAL LONG TERM...KGM AVIATION...EVENSON

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