Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Burlington, VT

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000 FXUS61 KBTV 291740 AFDBTV AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT 140 PM EDT FRI APR 29 2016 .SYNOPSIS... SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE ACROSS SOUTHWESTERN QUEBEC AND ONTARIO WILL MAINTAIN TRANQUIL AND SEASONABLY COOL WEATHER CONDITIONS ACROSS THE NORTH COUNTRY TODAY THROUGH SATURDAY. TEMPERATURES MODERATE SOMEWHAT INTO THE MID 50S FOR HIGHS TODAY...AND INTO THE UPPER 50S TO AROUND 60 FOR SATURDAY. LOW PRESSURE MOVING EAST- NORTHEAST FROM THE OHIO VALLEY TO SOUTH OF NEW ENGLAND WILL BRING PERIODS OF RAINFALL FOR SUNDAY AND AGAIN DURING THE DAY MONDAY. && .NEAR TERM /THROUGH SATURDAY/...
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AS OF 139 PM EDT FRIDAY...JUST A FANTASTIC LOOKING AFTERNOON OUT THERE TO END THE WORK WEEK WITH TEMPS CLIMBING INTO THE 50S, AND JUST FEW-SCT CIRRUS STREAMING OVERHEAD. CAN`T SAY MUCH MORE, GET OUT THERE AND ENJOY. CONTINUED QUIET TONIGHT WITH LIGHT WINDS. WEAK MID-LEVEL TROUGH PASSING TO OUR SOUTH ACROSS PA/NJ MAY SPREAD SOME MID-LEVEL CLOUDS ACROSS S-CENTRAL VT AND HAVE ACCOUNTED FOR THIS IN THE SKY GRIDS. MAY ALSO MITIGATE RADIATIVE COOLING A BIT ACROSS SRN HALF OF THE FORECAST AREA. LOW TEMPS TONIGHT AGAIN GENERALLY BELOW FREEZING, RANGING FROM THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S IN MOST AREAS.
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&& .SHORT TERM /SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY/... AS OF 343 AM EDT FRIDAY...WITH RESPECT TO THE WEEKEND...ITS LOOKING LIKE SATURDAY WILL BE A BETTER DAY THAN SUNDAY. WESTERLY FLOW ALOFT PREVAILS ON SATURDAY WITH WARMER AIR MOVING IN AND DRY CONDITIONS CONTINUING. HIGHS SHOULD BE IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. BACKING FLOW ALOFT TAKES PLACE SATURDAY NIGHT AND WE EVOLVE INTO A SOUTHWEST FLOW ALOFT ON SUNDAY WITH UPPER TROUGH AXIS HAVING DEVELOPED TO OUR WEST AND NORTHWEST. MOISTURE ADVECTION...INCREASING DYNAMIC SUPPORT...AND INVERTED SURFACE TROUGH TO CREATE CONVERGENCE ALL SUGGEST INCREASING CHANCES FOR PRECIPITATION ON SUNDAY...ESPECIALLY BY AFTERNOON. THE CLOUDS AND PRECIPITATION WILL KEEP TEMPERATURES DOWN A BIT WITH HIGHS IN THE 50S. && .LONG TERM /SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY/... AS OF 343 AM EDT FRIDAY...LOOKING UNSETTLED SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT AS UPPER TROUGH AXIS MENTIONED IN THE SHORT TERM DISCUSSION IS SLOW TO MOVE EAST OF THE AREA...THUS KEEPING THE THREAT OF PRECIPITATION GOING DURING THIS TIME PERIOD. EVENTUALLY NORTHWEST FLOW ALOFT DEVELOPS ON TUESDAY AND GRADUALLY BACKS TO THE SOUTHWEST BY WEDNESDAY NIGHT AS ANOTHER UPPER TROUGH TAKES SHAPE TO OUR WEST AND NORTHWEST. DRY WEATHER IS EXPECTED TUESDAY INTO WEDNESDAY...BUT CHANCES FOR PRECIPITATION INCREASE WEDNESDAY NIGHT INTO THURSDAY AS UPPER TROUGH IS SLOW TO MOVE EAST OF THE REGION. TEMPERATURES DURING THIS LATTER HALF OF THE EXTENDED LOOK TO BE RIGHT AROUND SEASONAL NORMALS. && .AVIATION /18Z FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
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THROUGH 18Z SATURDAY...VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THE PERIOD WITH FEW-SCT CIRRUS STREAMING OVERHEAD THIS AFTERNOON, THICKENING JUST A BIT THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT BEFORE CLEARING AFTER 12Z SATURDAY. ONLY SPOT WHERE CLOUDS LOWER A LITTLE MORE OVERNIGHT WILL BE ACROSS SOUTHERN VERMONT WHERE CIGS WILL GO BELOW 10KFT, BUT REMAIN VFR. WINDS WILL BE LIGHT AND VARIABLE THROUGH THE PERIOD. OUTLOOK 18Z SATURDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY... 18Z SAT - 12Z SUN: VFR. NO SIG WX. 12Z SUN - 12Z TUE: VFR TRENDING TO PREVAILING MVFR IN RAIN W/INTERVALS OF IFR POSSIBLE AND HIR TRRN OBSCURED. 12Z TUE - 00Z THU: GENERALLY VFR. CHANCE MVFR SHOWERS WEDS AFTERNOON.
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&& .BTV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... VT...NONE. NY...NONE. && $$ SYNOPSIS...BANACOS NEAR TERM...LAHIFF SHORT TERM...EVENSON LONG TERM...EVENSON AVIATION...LAHIFF

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