Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Burlington, VT

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000 FXUS61 KBTV 251828 AFDBTV Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Burlington VT 228 PM EDT Thu May 25 2017 .SYNOPSIS...
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Gusty downslope winds will continue into this evening, especially across the southern and central western slopes of the Green Mountains with isolated power outages possible. Steadier rain will redevelop tonight and continue into Friday. The upcoming weekend will feature a dry Saturday with some scattered showers possible late Sunday into Monday.
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&& .NEAR TERM /THROUGH FRIDAY/...
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As of 139 PM EDT Thursday...Wind advisory in effect till Midnight for localized gusts to 50 mph along the central and southern western slopes of the Green Mountains. Rain showers will continue through about 06z then become more stratiform as a larger slug of moisture moves over our forecast area from 06z till about 10z. Deeper moisture and stronger lift aid in spreading the widespread rain across the area. Low pressure system will move along NY/NE coast overnight. Heaviest QPF will fall during this time, generally around a quarter to a half an inch of rain overnight. Temperatures will remain mild overnight with min temps only in the 50s with plenty of clouds and precip. By Friday morning the low pressure system will be over Cape Cod and continue to move Northeastward into the Gulf of Maine by 00z. Rain showers will continue through the day Friday, though lighter than the overnight. Heaviest precipitation for our forecast area will be over Eastern Vermont, closest to the actual low center. Chances for precipitation will diminish from west to east during the afternoon hours. Maximum temperatures will be cool, generally in the 50s across the area.
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&& .SHORT TERM /FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT/...
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As of 409 AM EDT Thursday...Saturday will see high pressure build in to start the Memorial Day weekend. Diminishing cloud cover and warmer temperatures will lead to quiet and fair day with highs in the upper 60s to lower 70s.
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&& .LONG TERM /SUNDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
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As of 409 AM EDT Thursday...The long term will continue the fair and quiet conditions as we move further into Memorial Day weekend. During the day on Sunday, high pressure ridge crests over the area bringing another day of nice conditions for a large bulk of the day. As the ridge shifts east, cloud cover increases in the afternoon and evening as an upper level low pressure system tracks west of the Great Lakes and lifts a warm front through the North Country during the overnight hours. late-morning to early afternoon Monday will see a pre- frontal trough will swing through with shortwave energy, bringing with it showers with perhaps a thunderstorm or two. The later half of Tuesday will see some brief breaks in showers before the cold front swings through the region Wednesday bringing with it another chance for showers. High temperatures will be in the upper 60s to lower 70s with lows in the upper 40s to lower 50s.
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&& .AVIATION /18Z THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
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Through 18Z Friday...Aviation concerns will be gusty southeast winds at Rutland today...followed by lowering cigs with some mvfr conditions expected overnight. Localized gusts to 40 knots possible at RUT between until 01z. Expect areas of moderate to severe turbulence...especially near the terrain. Showery rain will become more stratiform overnight across the area, then end from west to east during the daytime hours Friday. generally MVFR ceilings can be expected overnight, some periods of IFR in heavier rain is likely especially as winds shift to the north after 06z. Winds will be out of the North under 15 kts on Friday. Outlook... Friday: VFR/MVFR. Chance SHRA. Friday Night: VFR. Slight Chance SHRA. Saturday: VFR. NO SIG WX. Saturday Night: VFR. NO SIG WX. Sunday: VFR. Slight Chance SHRA. Sunday Night: VFR. Chance SHRA. Memorial Day: VFR/MVFR. Chance SHRA...TSRA.
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&& .BTV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... VT...Wind Advisory until midnight EDT tonight for VTZ011-017>019. NY...None. && $$ SYNOPSIS...Neiles NEAR TERM...Neiles SHORT TERM...MV LONG TERM...MV AVIATION...Neiles

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