Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Burlington, VT

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FXUS61 KBTV 251828
AFDBTV

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Burlington VT
228 PM EDT Thu May 25 2017

.SYNOPSIS...
Gusty downslope winds will continue into this evening,
especially across the southern and central western slopes of the
Green Mountains with isolated power outages possible. Steadier
rain will redevelop tonight and continue into Friday. The
upcoming weekend will feature a dry Saturday with some scattered
showers possible late Sunday into Monday.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH FRIDAY/...
As of 139 PM EDT Thursday...Wind advisory in effect till
Midnight for localized gusts to 50 mph along the central and
southern western slopes of the Green Mountains.

Rain showers will continue through about 06z then become more
stratiform as a larger slug of moisture moves over our forecast
area from 06z till about 10z. Deeper moisture and stronger lift
aid in spreading the widespread rain across the area. Low
pressure system will move along NY/NE coast overnight. Heaviest
QPF will fall during this time, generally around a quarter to a
half an inch of rain overnight. Temperatures will remain mild
overnight with min temps only in the 50s with plenty of clouds
and precip. By Friday morning the low pressure system will be
over Cape Cod and continue to move Northeastward into the Gulf
of Maine by 00z. Rain showers will continue through the day
Friday, though lighter than the overnight. Heaviest
precipitation for our forecast area will be over Eastern
Vermont, closest to the actual low center. Chances for
precipitation will diminish from west to east during the
afternoon hours. Maximum temperatures will be cool, generally in
the 50s across the area.

&&

.SHORT TERM /FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT/...
As of 409 AM EDT Thursday...Saturday will see high pressure
build in to start the Memorial Day weekend. Diminishing cloud
cover and warmer temperatures will lead to quiet and fair day
with highs in the upper 60s to lower 70s.

&&

.LONG TERM /SUNDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
As of 409 AM EDT Thursday...The long term will continue the
fair and quiet conditions as we move further into Memorial Day
weekend. During the day on Sunday, high pressure ridge crests
over the area bringing another day of nice conditions for a
large bulk of the day. As the ridge shifts east, cloud cover
increases in the afternoon and evening as an upper level low
pressure system tracks west of the Great Lakes and lifts a warm
front through the North Country during the overnight hours.
late-morning to early afternoon Monday will see a pre- frontal
trough will swing through with shortwave energy, bringing with
it showers with perhaps a thunderstorm or two. The later half of
Tuesday will see some brief breaks in showers before the cold
front swings through the region Wednesday bringing with it
another chance for showers.

High temperatures will be in the upper 60s to lower 70s with
lows in the upper 40s to lower 50s.

&&

.AVIATION /18Z THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
Through 18Z Friday...Aviation concerns will be gusty southeast
winds at Rutland today...followed by lowering cigs with some
mvfr conditions expected overnight. Localized gusts to 40 knots
possible at RUT between until 01z. Expect areas of moderate to
severe turbulence...especially near the terrain. Showery rain
will become more stratiform overnight across the area, then end
from west to east during the daytime hours Friday. generally
MVFR ceilings can be expected overnight, some periods of IFR in
heavier rain is likely especially as winds shift to the north
after 06z. Winds will be out of the North under 15 kts on
Friday.

Outlook...

Friday: VFR/MVFR. Chance SHRA.
Friday Night: VFR. Slight Chance SHRA.
Saturday: VFR. NO SIG WX.
Saturday Night: VFR. NO SIG WX.
Sunday: VFR. Slight Chance SHRA.
Sunday Night: VFR. Chance SHRA.
Memorial Day: VFR/MVFR. Chance SHRA...TSRA.

&&

.BTV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
VT...Wind Advisory until midnight EDT tonight for VTZ011-017>019.
NY...None.

&&

$$
SYNOPSIS...Neiles
NEAR TERM...Neiles
SHORT TERM...MV
LONG TERM...MV
AVIATION...Neiles


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