Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Burlington, VT

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000 FXUS61 KBTV 230811 AFDBTV Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Burlington VT 411 AM EDT Wed Aug 23 2017 .SYNOPSIS...
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Notable air mass change today behind departing cold front from early this morning. Cooler and drier weather will persist through the week.
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&& .NEAR TERM /UNTIL 8 PM THIS EVENING/...
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As of 400 AM EDT Wednesday...Clearing trend continues today with winds shifting to westerly behind departing cold front. Isolated showers are possible today with upper level trough making its way across the North Country. This will be a cooler drier air mass with dewpoints dropping to more comfortable temps, low to mid 50s. Temperatures today will be a bit cooler than seasonal normals, only reaching the lower to mid 70s.
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&& .SHORT TERM /8 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH FRIDAY/...
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As of 400 AM EDT Wednesday...Will continue with chance for showers as upper level trough slowly pushes eastward across Northern New York and Vermont. Best chance for showers will be Thursday afternoon. Temperatures throughout the period will be slightly cooler than normal with the upper level trough overhead.
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&& .LONG TERM /FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY/...
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As of 400 AM EDT Wednesday...Little change to the forecast as surface high pressure builds into the region from Ontario with generally light northerly flow filtering drier air through at least Sunday night. Aloft, a mid- level trough will continue to reside over the northeast. An area of vorticity looks to swing through the region Saturday into Sunday, providing a slight chance of showers mainly for the higher terrain during the daytime. Mid-level ridging begins Monday through Tuesday night, while at the surface, the ridge axis will begin to move north and east, putting the North Country in southerly flow for the beginning of the work week. This will result in the slightly below normal temperatures throughout the period warming on Monday and Tuesday to near normal.
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&& .AVIATION /06Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/... Through 06Z Thursday...Scattered showers continue for the next several hours as the cold front moves across the North Country. Winds shift SW-WSW behind the front with brief period of gusts around 15-20kts. Generally VFR conditions prevail with exception of MVFR cigs at KRUT and KSLK. Expect KMSS and KMPV to see intermittent MVFR/IFR conditions as well and have included TEMPOs this morning. As daybreak nears, drier conditions settle in behind the cold front. Winds generally out of the SW at 8-13kts with gusts developing between 12Z-15Z. VFR conditions and gusty winds continue throughout the day Wednesday. After sunset, winds subside to 4-8kts for Wednesday evening. Outlook... Thursday: VFR. Slight Chance SHRA. Thursday Night: VFR. NO SIG WX. Friday: VFR. Slight Chance SHRA. Friday Night: VFR. NO SIG WX. Saturday: VFR. NO SIG WX. Saturday Night: VFR. NO SIG WX. Sunday: VFR. Slight Chance SHRA. && .BTV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... VT...None. NY...None. && $$ SYNOPSIS...Neiles NEAR TERM...Neiles SHORT TERM...Neiles LONG TERM...KGM AVIATION...KGM

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