Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Columbia, SC

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000 FXUS62 KCAE 241346 AFDCAE AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE COLUMBIA SC 946 AM EDT FRI OCT 24 2014 .SYNOPSIS...
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DRY HIGH PRESSURE WILL CONTROL THE WEATHER THROUGH THE WEEKEND.
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&& .NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
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HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD OVER THE AREA THROUGH TONIGHT. THE AIR MASS WILL REMAIN DRY BUT HIGH CLOUDINESS ASSOCIATED WITH AN UPPER TROUGH WILL OCCUR. LEANED TOWARD THE MAV MOS FOR THE TEMPERATURE FORECAST. THIS GUIDANCE HAS BEEN THE BEST LATELY.
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&& .SHORT TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT/... THE MODELS SHOW THE SURFACE RIDGE NEAR THE FORECAST AREA WITH NORTHWEST FLOW ALOFT. IT WILL REMAIN DRY. LEANED TOWARD THE MAV MOS FOR THE TEMPERATURE FORECAST BASED ON RECENT VERIFICATION. && .LONG TERM /SUNDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/... THE MODELS SHOW DRY RIDGING DOMINATING DURING MUCH OF THE MEDIUM- RANGE PERIOD. A COLD FRONT WITH INCREASED MOISTURE MAY AFFECT THE AREA LATE IN THE PERIOD. THE GFS...ECMWF...AND EKD MOS HAVE POPS 20 TO 30 PERCENT WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY. UPPER-LEVEL RIDGING EARLY AND WARMING AHEAD OF THE COLD FRONT LATE IN THE PERIOD SUPPORTS ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES. && .AVIATION /14Z FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
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SOME HIGH CLOUDS WILL CONTINUE ACROSS THE AREA FOR MUCH OF THE TAF PERIOD AS AN UPPER TROUGH APPROACHES FROM THE WEST. GENERALLY VFR CONDITIONS ACROSS THE AREA EXPECTED THROUGH THE PERIOD. WINDS WILL BE LIGHT AND VARIABLE. IFR/MVFR FOG POSSIBLE EARLY SATURDAY MORNING AT AGS AND OGB...BUT NOT ENOUGH CONFIDENCE TO MENTION IN THE TAFS AT THIS TIME. .EXTENDED AVIATION OUTLOOK... NO IMPACTS TO AVIATION EXPECTED.
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&& .CAE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... SC...NONE. GA...NONE. && $$

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