Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Caribou, ME

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000 FXUS61 KCAR 010240 AFDCAR AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CARIBOU ME 1040 PM EDT MON AUG 31 2015 .SYNOPSIS... HIGH PRESSURE WILL CROSS THE REGION TUESDAY...THEN MOVE EAST TUESDAY NIGHT. A COLD FRONT WILL CROSS THE REGION LATER WEDNESDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT. && .NEAR TERM /THROUGH TUESDAY/...
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645 PM UPDATE: HRLY TEMPS NEEDED ADJUSTMENT TO MATCH UP W/THE LATEST OBS. TEMPS WERE HOLDING UP A FEW DEGREES WARMER THAN PREVIOUSLY EXPECTED DUE TO NW WIND AROUND 10 MPH. SKIES WERE BEGINNING TO CLEAR PER THE LATEST IR SATELLITE LOOP. FORECAST HAS THIS WELL SET W/CLEARING CONTINUING OVERNIGHT. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD ACROSS THE REGION INTO TUESDAY. MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES WILL OCCUR ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA TUESDAY. OVERNIGHT LOW TEMPERATURES WILL GENERALLY RANGE FROM THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER 50S NORTH...WITH MID 40S POSSIBLE ACROSS THE NORMALLY COLDER NORTHWEST VALLEY LOCATIONS. LOW TEMPERATURES DOWNEAST WILL RANGE FROM THE MID TO UPPER 50S. HIGH TEMPERATURES TUESDAY WILL RANGE FROM THE MID 70S NORTH...TO THE MID TO UPPER 70S DOWNEAST.
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&& .SHORT TERM /TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY/... A FRONTAL BOUNDARY PUSHES INTO NORTHERN MAINE ON WEDNESDAY WHICH WILL BRING A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. QPF AMOUNTS SHOULD BE UP TO TWO TENTHS OF AN INCH NEAR STRONGER STORMS. SLIGHTLY COOLER AIR FILTERS INTO EASTERN MAINE ON THURSDAY IN A NORTHWEST FLOW ALOFT. && .LONG TERM /THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY/... A STRONG RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL BE BUILDING IN LATE THIS WEEK TO BRING A STRETCH OF WARM AND DRY WEATHER FROM LATE IN THE WEEK, THROUGH THE WEEKEND, AND INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK. SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE SUPPORTED BY AN APPROACHING UPPER LEVEL RIDGE WILL BUILD DOWN FROM THE NORTH THURSDAY NIGHT BRINGING A CLEAR NIGHT FOLLOWED BY A SUNNY SEASONABLE FRIDAY. THE HIGH WILL DROP SOUTH OF THE AREA FRIDAY NIGHT INTO SATURDAY ALLOWING A RETURN FLOW BEHIND THE HIGH TO CHANNEL SOME VERY WARM AIR IN FROM THE UPPER LEVEL RIDGE. BOTH SATURDAY AND SUNDAY WILL BE MOSTLY SUNNY AND VERY WARM WITH HIGHS APPROACHING 80 ON SATURDAY AND OVER 80 ON SUNDAY ACROSS MOST INLAND LOCATIONS. A FRONTAL BOUNDARY TO OUR NORTH, ALONG THE NORTHERN EDGE OF THE RIDGE, MAY BRING A FEW PATCHY CLOUDS TO FAR NORTHERN AREAS OVER THE WEEKEND AND INTO MONDAY. OTHERWISE, THE VERY WARM WEATHER WILL PERSIST INTO MONDAY WITH A MOSTLY SUNNY SKY AND HIGHS INTO THE 80S. COOLER WEATHER MAY ARRIVE BY MID WEEK NEXT WEEK. && .AVIATION /03Z TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/... NEAR TERM: VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE REGION TONIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY. SHORT TERM: MVFR CEILINGS AND VSBYS WILL BE POSSIBLE ON WEDNESDAY ACROSS THE NORTHERN TAF SITES /FVE CAR PQI/ IN SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE AREA THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY WITH THE POSSIBLE EXCEPTION OF SOME EARLY MORNING PATCHY FOG OVER THE NORTH FRIDAY MORNING. && .MARINE... NEAR TERM: WINDS/SEAS WILL REMAIN BELOW SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY LEVELS TONIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY. SHORT TERM: NO HEADLINES ARE EXPECTED DURING THIS TIME PERIOD. && .CAR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... ME...NONE. MARINE...NONE. && $$ NEAR TERM...HEWITT

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