Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Caribou, ME

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310 FXUS61 KCAR 241640 AFDCAR Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Caribou ME 1240 PM EDT WED AUG 24 2016 .SYNOPSIS... High pressure will remain to the south through Thursday. A disturbance will cross the region Thursday. A cold front will cross the region Friday. && .NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/... 12:30 PM Update...Models continue to indicate the possibility for some isolated shwrs across NE Aroostook over the next few hours. Nothing has shown up on radar as of yet, but will maintain the risk for now, as expected peak in hi-res models was around 18z. Did adjust sky cover slightly for current conditions, with a bit more clouds over zones 3, 4, and 10 than previously predicted. Original Discussion... Southwesterly winds circulating around high pressure to our south will bring a warm day today with a mostly sky Downeast and partial cloudiness across the north. Moisture along a warm frontal boundary across far northern areas may bring a stray shower to the St. John valley today. Otherwise, rain-free weather is expected with increasing humidity. Tonight will be mostly clear and warm as the high to our south remains in control. There may be some patchy fog late at night as humid air continues to circulate over the region. && .SHORT TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/... Low pressure tracking northwest of Maine will draw a cold front across Quebec province Thursday. An upper level disturbance will cross the region in advance of the front Thursday. The disturbance will bring increasing clouds along with a chance of showers and thunderstorms to mostly northern areas. Central/Downeast areas could have the slight chance of an afternoon shower/thunderstorm Thursday. The cold front will approach northwest Maine Thursday night with a chance of showers/thunderstorms across the forecast area in advance of the front. The cold front then crosses the region Friday with a chance of showers/thunderstorms, though rain totals and placement are still uncertain. The cold front exits early Friday night, with high pressure building east toward the region later Friday night. Could still have the slight chance of a shower Friday evening, with decreasing clouds overnight. Temperatures will be at above normal levels Thursday/Friday. && .LONG TERM /FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY/... High pressure will cross the region Saturday through Sunday with partly cloudy/mostly clear skies. High pressure then exits to the east Sunday night, while low pressure approaches from the west. Cloud cover increases Sunday night with a chance of showers mostly late. The low crosses the region Monday with a chance of showers/thunderstorms. High pressure should then build across the region Tuesday. Temperatures should be at near normal levels Saturday through Tuesday. && .AVIATION /18Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY/... NEAR TERM: VFR conditions are expected across the area today and tonight. SHORT TERM: Variable conditions, generally ranging from VFR to IFR, will occur with any showers or thunderstorms Thursday through Friday. VFR conditions are then expected Friday night into Sunday, with MVFR conditions possible later Sunday night. && .MARINE... NEAR TERM: Wind gusts will approach 20 kt in southwesterly winds this afternoon into tonight. Otherwise, winds and seas are expected to remain below SCA today and tonight. SHORT TERM: Conditions are expected to remain below small craft advisory levels Thursday. Small craft advisory level seas are then possible across much of the waters, with the exception of the intracoastal waters, Thursday night into Friday night. Visibilities could be reduced in patchy fog Thursday night into Friday, along with a chance of showers/thunderstorms Friday. && .CAR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... ME...None. MARINE...None. && $$ Near Term...Bloomer/Kredensor Short Term...Norcross Long Term...Norcross Aviation...Bloomer/Kredensor/Norcross Marine...Bloomer/Kredensor/Norcross

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