Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Caribou, ME

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611 FXUS61 KCAR 231005 AFDCAR Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Caribou ME 605 AM EDT MON MAY 23 2016 .SYNOPSIS... High pressure will build across the north today and tonight. Low pressure will lift north across the region Tuesday. A cold front will begin to cross the region Wednesday. && .NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
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6 AM Update...Rain is quickly dissipating into spotty showers over eastern Downeast areas so removed rain from forecast and just mentioned scattered to isolated showers. Elsewhere, raised early morning temps a bit Downeast and lowered dew points over the north. A warm upper level ridge of high pressure remains across the north as a weakening upper trough remains over the Mid-Atlantic region. Northern areas will be sunny today. Downeast will be mostly cloudy to start the day and some light rain may brush the eastern Downeast coast from surface low pressure over western Nova Scotia. The Nova Scotia low will weaken and dissipate today as Downeast remains partly to mostly cloudy and the north sunny. Otherwise, today will be very warm with highs in the mid to upper 70s north and near 70 over interior Downeast. Tonight will then turn out clear and mild over the north and partly cloudy Downeast as the upper ridge remains over the area.
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&& .SHORT TERM /TUESDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/... Surface/upper level low pressure will lift north across the region Tuesday. Expect increasing clouds across northern and central areas Tuesday...with a chance of mostly afternoon showers. Mostly cloudy skies and showers are expected Downeast Tuesday. Mostly cloudy skies along with a chance of showers is expected across the entire region Tuesday night. A cold front will begin to cross the region Wednesday, with another upper level disturbance approaching late. Partly sunny/mostly cloudy skies along with a chance of showers are expected Wednesday. The cold front will move south of the region Wednesday night, while the upper level disturbance crosses the region. Partly/mostly cloudy skies along with a chance of showers will persist Wednesday night. The warmest temperatures Tuesday will occur across northern areas with the most sun, with cooler temperatures Downeast. Temperatures are expected to be at slightly above normal levels across the forecast area Wednesday. && .LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY/... High pressure will cross the region Thursday. An upper level disturbance will move east across the region Friday with a chance of showers. The cold front which had moved south of the region will begin to lift back north Saturday into Sunday. However, the location of the front is uncertain. Unsettled conditions are expected Saturday into Sunday with a chance of showers and possibly a steadier rain at times. However, precipitation chances will be dependent on the eventual location of the front. Near normal, to slightly above normal, level temperatures are expected Thursday. Temperatures are expected to be at slightly below normal levels Friday. Temperatures Saturday/Sunday will be dependent on the eventual location of the front. && .AVIATION /10Z MONDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/... NEAR TERM: VFR conditions are expected across the area today and tonight. SHORT TERM: VFR conditions are expected across northern areas early Tuesday, with occasional MVFR conditions possible during the afternoon. MVFR/IFR conditions are expected Downeast Tuesday. MVFR/IFR conditions are expected across the entire region Tuesday night. Occasional MVFR conditions are possible across the region Wednesday. VFR conditions are expected Thursday. MVFR/IFR conditions are possible Friday. && .MARINE...
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NEAR TERM: An sca will be up this morning for seas on the offshore waters. Winds will continue to diminish and seas subside today into tonight as low pressure near western Nova Scotia weakens and dissipates. SHORT TERM: Conditions are expected to remain below Small Craft Advisory levels Tuesday into Wednesday night. Visibilities could be reduced in showers at times Tuesday into Wednesday night.
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&& .CAR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
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ME...None. MARINE...Small Craft Advisory for hazardous seas until 2 PM EDT this afternoon for ANZ050-051.
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&& $$ Near Term...Bloomer Short Term...Norcross Long Term...Norcross Aviation...Bloomer/Norcross Marine...Bloomer/Norcross

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