Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Caribou, ME

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000 FXUS61 KCAR 191622 AFDCAR AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CARIBOU ME 1222 PM EDT TUE AUG 19 2014 .SYNOPSIS... HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD ACROSS THE REGION THROUGH MID WEEK. && .NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/... UPDATE... SURFACE/UPPER LEVEL LOW PRESSURE WILL REMAIN ACROSS THE GULF OF SAINT LAWRENCE THIS AFTERNOON...WITH HIGH PRESSURE WEST OF THE REGION. CLOUDS WRAPPING AROUND THE MARITIMES LOW AND DIURNAL CLOUD DEVELOPMENT WILL PRODUCE PARTLY SUNNY SKIES ACROSS MUCH OF THE FORECAST AREA THIS AFTERNOON...WITH PARTLY/MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES ACROSS SOUTHWEST AREAS. AFTERNOON HIGH TEMPERATURES WILL RANGE FROM THE LOWER TO MID 70S NORTH...TO THE MID TO UPPER 70S DOWNEAST. HAVE UPDATED THE FORECAST TO ADJUST FOR CURRENT CONDITIONS ALONG WITH AFTERNOON TEMPERATURES AND CLOUD COVER. PREVIOUS DISCUSSION... UPPER LEVEL LOW PRESSURE WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE AWAY FROM THE REGION TONIGHT AS HIGH PRESSURE BEGINS TO BUILD EAST. LOW TEMPERATURES TONIGHT WILL RANGE FROM THE MID 40S TO THE LOWER 50S NORTH AND LOW TO MID 50S CENTRAL AND DOWNEAST. && .SHORT TERM /WEDNESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/... FAIRLY QUIET WEATHER IS EXPECTED FOR THIS PERIOD AS HIGH PRESSURE SETTLES OVER THE NORTHEAST CONTINENTAL UNITED STATES. WEDNESDAY WILL FEATURE MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES AND HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO AROUND 80. WEDNESDAY NIGHT WILL ALSO BE DRY, WITH INCREASING CLOUDS LATE AS A WEAK SHORTWAVE ROTATES AROUND UPPER LOW PRESSURE OVER THE EASTERN GREAT LAKES. LOWS WILL BE THE COOL ACROSS THE NORTH...LOWER 50S WITH SOME 40S POSSIBLE IN THE NORTHWEST...BUT SOUTHERN AREAS WILL BE A BIT WARMER OWING TO THE AFOREMENTIONED CLOUDS. THE SHORTWAVE WILL TRAVERSE ACROSS CENTRAL/SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND ON THURSDAY. MODEL GUIDANCE IS INDICATING THAT SHOWERS WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS OUR WESTERN SECTIONS AS THE SHORTWAVE PASSES BY. HIGHS WILL BE IN THE MID TO UPPER 70S, EXCEPT ALONG THE IMMEDIATE COAST, WHICH WILL BE AROUND 70 FOR DAYTIME TEMPERATURES. && .LONG TERM /THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY/... THE QUIET WEATHER WILL CONTINUE RIGHT THROUGH THE WEEKEND AS HIGH PRESSURE KEEPS HOLD OF THE REGION. THERE WILL BE THE CHANCE FOR AFTERNOON SHOWERS FRIDAY AND TO A LESSER EXTENT SATURDAY, MAINLY OVER WESTERN AREAS. THIS IS DUE TO WEAK LOW PRESSURE THAT WILL DEVELOP OVER SOUTHERN ONTARIO ON THURSDAY AND SLOWLY SLIDE SOUTHEAST THROUGH THE END OF THE WEEK. THE REST OF THE PERIOD LOOKS TO STAY DRY. TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN SEASONABLE, WITH HIGHS IN THE 70S AND LOWS IN THE 50S. && .AVIATION /16Z TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/... NEAR TERM: COULD HAVE OCCASIONAL MVFR CEILINGS ACROSS NORTHERN AND NORTHEASTERN PORTIONS OF THE FORECAST AREA INTO EARLY AFTERNOON. OTHERWISE...VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE REGION THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH TONIGHT. SHORT TERM: VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO PREVAIL THROUGH THE LATTER HALF OF THE WEEK. THE EXCEPTION IS THE POTENTIAL FOR LOCALIZED IFR IN PATCHY FOG LATE EACH NIGHT/EARLY EACH MORNING. && .MARINE... NEAR TERM: WINDS/SEAS WILL REMAIN BELOW SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY LEVELS THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH TONIGHT. SHORT TERM: HIGH PRESSURE WILL KEEP QUIESCENT CONDITIONS ON THE WATERS THROUGH THE END OF THIS WEEK. NO HEADLINES ARE ANTICIPATED. && .CAR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... ME...NONE. MARINE...NONE. && $$ NEAR TERM...NORCROSS/DUDA SHORT TERM...HASTINGS LONG TERM...HASTINGS AVIATION...NORCROSS/HASTINGS MARINE...NORCROSS/HASTINGS

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