Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Caribou, ME

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000 FXUS61 KCAR 020503 AFDCAR AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CARIBOU ME 103 AM EDT WED SEP 2 2015 .SYNOPSIS... HIGH PRESSURE WILL MOVE SOUTHEAST OF THE AREA OVERNIGHT. A COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH LATER WEDNESDAY...THEN CROSS THE REGION WEDNESDAY NIGHT. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD ACROSS THE AREA THURSDAY THROUGH FRIDAY. && .NEAR TERM /THROUGH TODAY/... 1AM UPDATE: NO CHANGES TO PREVIOUS FORECAST. AN UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE WILL CROSS NORTHERN MAINE WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON IN ADVANCE OF A COLD FRONT WHICH WILL APPROACH NORTHERN MAINE LATE. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP ACROSS NORTHERN MAINE DURING THE LATE MORNING AND EARLY AFTERNOON HOURS WEDNESDAY...THEN PERSIST THROUGH THE DURATION OF THE AFTERNOON. MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES ARE EXPECTED ACROSS CENTRAL AND DOWNEAST PORTIONS OF THE FORECAST AREA WEDNESDAY MORNING...WITH PARTLY/MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES DURING THE AFTERNOON. LOW TEMPERATURES TONIGHT WILL RANGE FROM THE MID TO UPPER 50S ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA. HIGH TEMPERATURES WEDNESDAY WILL RANGE FROM THE LOWER TO MID 80S NORTH AND ALONG THE DOWNEAST COAST...WITH MID TO UPPER 80S ACROSS THE REMAINDER OF THE FORECAST AREA. && .SHORT TERM /TONIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY/... A COLD FRONT SLIDES THROUGH EASTERN MAINE WEDNESDAY NIGHT INTO THURSDAY. THERE WILL BE A CHANCE OF EVENING SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WITH THIS FRONTAL PASSAGE. NOTICEABLY COOLER AND DRIER AIR SETTLES INTO THE REGION THURSDAY INTO FRIDAY WITH A TOUCH OF AUTUMN. HIGHS WILL ONLY BE IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S ON FRIDAY WITH A CHILLY START FRIDAY MORNING WITH LOWS IN THE 40S NORTH AND 50S DOWNEAST. && .LONG TERM /FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY/... A STRONG UPPER LEVEL RIDGE WILL BUILD INTO THE NORTHEAST OVER LABOR DAY WEEKEND BRINGING A STRETCH OF VERY WARM SUMMER WEATHER. HIGH PRESSURE AT THE SURFACE WILL CREST OVER THE REGION FRIDAY NIGHT BRINGING A CALM, COOL NIGHT WITH SOME PATCHY VALLEY FOG POSSIBLE AFTER MIDNIGHT. THE HIGH WILL SINK SOUTH OF THE REGION ON SATURDAY. AFTER A COOL MORNING, A RETURN FLOW BEHIND THE HIGH WILL BOOST TEMPERATURES TO MID SUMMER NORMS ACROSS THE AREA WITH PLENTY OF SUNSHINE. SATURDAY NIGHT WILL BE CLEAR AND MILD THEN SUNDAY WILL BE EVEN WARMER WITH SUNSHINE AS THE UPPER LEVEL RIDGE BUILDS OVER. THE STRONG UPPER HIGH WILL REMAIN ANCHORED ACROSS NEW ENGLAND SUNDAY NIGHT INTO MONDAY BRINGING A MILD NIGHT SUNDAY NIGHT FOLLOWED BY ANOTHER VERY WARM AND SUNNY DAY ON LABOR DAY. THE VERY WARM WEATHER WILL CONTINUE INTO TUESDAY. HOWEVER, A STRONG COLD FRONT APPROACHING LATE IN THE DAY MAY BRING SOME SHOWERS OR A THUNDERSTORM TO NORTHERN AREAS AS IT MOVES IN AT THE END OF THE DAY. && .AVIATION /05Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/... NEAR TERM: VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE ENTIRE REGION TONIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY MORNING. VARIABLE CONDITIONS WILL THEN OCCUR ACROSS NORTHERN AREAS WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON WITH ANY SHOWERS OR THUNDERSTORMS. VFR CONDITIONS WILL PERSIST DOWNEAST WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON. SHORT TERM: MVFR CEILINGS AND VSBYS WILL BE POSSIBLE ON WEDNESDAY EVENING ACROSS THE NORTHERN TAF SITES /FVE CAR PQI HUL / IN SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. PATCHY VALLEY FOG MAY BRIEFLY RESULT IN MVFR OR IFR CONDITIONS EARLY SAT MORNING. OTHERWISE, VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THE WEEKEND. && .MARINE... NEAR TERM: WINDS/SEAS WILL REMAIN BELOW SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY LEVELS TONIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY. SHORT TERM: NO HEADLINES ARE EXPECTED DURING THIS TIME PERIOD. && .CAR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... ME...NONE. MARINE...NONE. && $$ NEAR TERM...HEWITT/MCW SHORT TERM... LONG TERM... AVIATION...HEWITT/MCW/ MARINE...HEWITT/MCW/

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