Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Caribou, ME

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000 FXUS61 KCAR 041416 AFDCAR AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CARIBOU ME 916 AM EST WED MAR 4 2015 .SYNOPSIS... LOW PRESSURE WILL TRACK ACROSS QUEBEC TODAY. A COLD FRONT WILL CROSS THE REGION TONIGHT. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD ACROSS THE REGION THURSDAY INTO FRIDAY. && .NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
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9 AM UPDATE: WE DROPPED THE REMAINDER OF THE SN ADV AREA WITH BACK EDGE OF ACCUMULATING SNFL NOW EXITED WELL E OF THE FA INTO NB. WITH WIND GUSTS XPCTD TO INCREASE ACROSS SPCLY NRN/WRN PTNS OF THE FA BY AFTN...WE ADDED PATCHY BLSN THRU THE AFTN...BUT WITH TEMPS XPCTD TO REACH AOA FZG EVEN ACROSS THE N...THE AMOUNT OF BLSN COULD BE REDUCED BY MID TO LATE AFTN. OTHERWISE...MINOR CHGS TO FCST HRLY TEMPS TO UNCHGD FCST HI TEMPS ATTM BASED ON 8-9 SM OBSVD TEMPS. ORGNL DISC: THE SNOW WHICH MOVED THROUGH THE AREA OVERNIGHT WILL CONTINUE AWAY TO THE EAST TODAY AS AN OCCLUDED FRONT PUSHES EAST ACROSS THE REGION. THE AIR BEHIND THE FRONT IS RELATIVELY MILD. TODAY WILL TURN OUT PARTLY SUNNY AND BREEZY WITH HIGHS FROM THE MID 30S NORTH TO NEAR 40 DOWNEAST. COLDER AIR WILL BEGIN TO FILTER INTO THE AREA TONIGHT UNDER MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES AS LOW PRESSURE OVER QUEBEC TRACKS EAST AND COLD HIGH PRESSURE BEGINS PUSHING INTO THE AREA. LOWS BY MORNING WILL BE IN THE SINGLE DIGITS ACROSS THE NORTH AND TEENS DOWNEAST.
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&& .SHORT TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/... HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD TOWARD THE REGION THURSDAY WITH PARTLY CLOUDY SKIES...THEN CROSS THE REGION THURSDAY NIGHT WITH MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES. HIGH PRESSURE THEN BEGINS TO MOVE SOUTHEAST FRIDAY WITH MOSTLY/PARTLY SUNNY SKIES ACROSS NORTHERN AREAS AND MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES DOWNEAST. A COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH NORTHERN AREAS LATER FRIDAY NIGHT WITH INCREASING CLOUDS ALONG WITH A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS...WITH PARTLY CLOUDY SKIES DOWNEAST. TEMPERATURES WILL BE AT BELOW NORMAL LEVELS THURSDAY/FRIDAY. && .LONG TERM /FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY/... A COLD FRONT WILL CROSS THE REGION SATURDAY INTO SATURDAY NIGHT WITH PARTLY/MOSTLY CLOUDY SKIES ALONG WITH A CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. HIGH PRESSURE WILL CROSS THE REGION EARLY SUNDAY...WITH A COLD FRONT OR POSSIBLE WEAK LOW PRESSURE CROSSING THE REGION SUNDAY NIGHT INTO MONDAY THOUGH THE EXACT TIMING IS STILL UNCERTAIN. THE COLD FRONT OR WEAK LOW COULD BRING A CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS OR LIGHT SNOW. LOW PRESSURE SHOULD TRACK NORTH OF THE REGION TUESDAY...DRAWING A COLD FRONT ACROSS THE REGION LATE. EXPECT MOSTLY CLOUDY SKIES ALONG WITH A CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS ACROSS NORTHERN AREAS TUESDAY WITH PARTLY CLOUDY SKIES DOWNEAST. TEMPERATURES WILL BE AT BELOW NORMAL LEVELS SATURDAY THROUGH MONDAY...WITH NEAR NORMAL LEVEL TEMPERATURES TUESDAY. && .AVIATION /14Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/... NEAR TERM: IFR AND MVFR CONDITIONS IN LOW CLOUDS AND SOME LINGERING SNOW THIS MORNING WILL IMPROVE TO VFR LATE THIS MORNING. VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT. SHORT TERM: GENERALLY EXPECT VFR CONDITIONS ACROSS THE REGION THURSDAY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT...THOUGH OCCASIONAL MVFR CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS NORTHERN AREAS LATER FRIDAY NIGHT. OCCASIONAL MVFR CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE REGION SATURDAY...PARTICULARLY ACROSS THE NORTH AND MOUNTAINS. VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE REGION EARLY SUNDAY WITH OCCASIONAL MVFR/IFR CONDITIONS POSSIBLE SUNDAY NIGHT. && .MARINE... NEAR TERM: AN SCA WILL CONTINUE TODAY FOR WEST WINDS GUSTING UP TO 30 KT AND TONIGHT FOR NORTHWEST WINDS GUSTING UP TO 30 KT. SHORT TERM: SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED THURSDAY INTO THURSDAY NIGHT. CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO BE BELOW SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY LEVELS FRIDAY. SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY CONDITIONS ARE THEN POSSIBLE AGAIN FRIDAY NIGHT. A FREEZING SPRAY ADVISORY FOR MODERATE FREEZING SPRAY COULD BE NEEDED THURSDAY NIGHT. LIGHT FREEZING SPRAY IS EXPECTED THURSDAY AND FRIDAY. && .CAR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
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ME...NONE. MARINE...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 1 PM EST THURSDAY FOR ANZ050>052.
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&& $$ NEAR TERM...VJN SHORT TERM...NORCROSS LONG TERM...NORCROSS AVIATION...VJN/NORCROSS MARINE...VJN/NORCROSS

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