Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Caribou, ME

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000 FXUS61 KCAR 281350 AFDCAR AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CARIBOU ME 950 AM EDT FRI AUG 28 2015 .SYNOPSIS... HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD OVER THE REGION TODAY. THE HIGH WILL MOVE EAST ON SATURDAY AND A WEAK COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH FROM THE NORTH LATE SUNDAY. && .NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/... 945 AM...NO CHANGES. PREVIOUS DISCUSSION... A NICE LATE SUMMER DAY AS HIGH PRESSURE CENTERED OVER PENNSYLVANIA EARLY THIS MORNING MOVES SLOWLY EAST AND OFF THE SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND COAST TONIGHT. ASIDE FROM PATCHY EARLY MORNING FOG TODAY WILL BE MOSTLY SUNNY AND WARM WITH LOW HUMIDITY. HIGHS WILL TOP OUT IN THE MID TO UPPER 70S. TONIGHT WILL BE PARTLY CLOUDY ACROSS NORTHERN MAINE AND MAINLY CLEAR DOWN EAST WITH LOWS MOSTLY IN THE 50S...EXCEPT FOR SOME 40S IN THE NW VALLEYS. A LITTLE SHALLOW LATE NIGHT FOG IS POSSIBLE IN SOME OF THE RIVER VALLEYS ACROSS NORTHERN MAINE. && .SHORT TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/... EXPECT A FAIRLY QUIET WEEKEND ACROSS THE STATE AS SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE WILL DOMINATE. HOWEVER, A COUPLE OF WEAK UPPER SHORTWAVES WILL CROSS OVERHEAD, ONE ON SATURDAY AND ANOTHER ON SUNDAY. THE FIRST OF THESE WILL BE LACKING MOISTURE, SO DON`T EXPECT MUCH MORE THAN A SHOWER OR TWO ACROSS THE SAINT JOHN VALLEY ON SATURDAY. SUNDAY`S DISTURBANCE WILL BE HAVE MORE AVAILABLE MOISTURE AND WILL BE ACCOMPANIED BY A WEAK SURFACE BOUNDARY, SO SCATTERED SHOWERS WILL BE POSSIBLE, MAINLY OVER THE NORTHERN HALF OF OUR FORECAST AREA. OTHERWISE, EXPECT PARTLY TO MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES AND DRY WEATHER. HIGHS WILL RANGE FROM THE MID 70S TO AROUND 80 BOTH DAYS, WITH SATURDAY`S OVERNIGHT LOW AROUND 60. && .LONG TERM /SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY/... MAINLY WARM AND DRY THROUGH THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK. UPPER LOW PRESSURE WILL SWING BY TO OUR NORTH AND EAST ON MONDAY, RESULTING IN CHANCES FOR SHOWERS, ESPECIALLY ACROSS THE NORTH. HIGH PRESSURE WILL RESUME THEREAFTER. AN UPPER SHORTWAVE/SURFACE FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH ON WEDNESDAY. MODELS DIFFER ON THE THE STRENGTH OF THIS FEATURE, BUT AT THIS TIME IT LOOKS POTENT ENOUGH TO WARRANT CHANCE POPS. HIGH PRESSURE THEN TRIES TO BUILD BACK IN ON THURSDAY. TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN WARMER THAN NORMAL THROUGH THE PERIOD, WITH HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO LOWER 80S. THE FIRST PART OF NEXT WEEK WILL SEE A WARMING TREND, WITH WEDNESDAY BEING THE WARMEST DAY OF THE WEEK; HIGHS IN THE MID 80S WILL BE POSSIBLE AS 925 TEMPS ARE PROGGED TO PEAK 20C-22C. A LITTLE COOLER FOR THURSDAY POST FRONT BUT STILL MILD. && .AVIATION /14Z FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/... NEAR TERM: VFR FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS OUTSIDE OF ANY EARLY MORNING FOG THAT MAY BRIEFLY LOWER THE VSBY FOR A SHORT PERIOD OF TIME PRIOR TO 11-12Z. A FEW PATCHES OF SHALLOW GROUND FOG ARE POSSIBLE AFTER MIDNIGHT TONIGHT. SHORT TERM: VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO PREVAIL OVER THE WEEKEND AND INTO THE MIDDLE PART OF NEXT WEEK. SCATTERED SHOWERS WILL BE POSSIBLE SUNDAY AND MONDAY AT THE NORTHERN SITES. CONDITIONS MAY BRIEFLY LOWER TO MVFR IN ANY PRECIPITATION. && .MARINE... NEAR TERM: THE WIND AND SEAS WILL REMAIN BELOW SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY LEVELS THROUGH TONIGHT. SHORT TERM: NO HEADLINES ARE ANTICIPATED THROUGH THE WEEKEND INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK AS HIGH PRESSURE REMAINS OVER THE WATERS. && .CAR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... ME...NONE. MARINE...NONE. && $$ NEAR TERM...CB/MCW SHORT TERM...HASTINGS LONG TERM...HASTINGS AVIATION...CB/MCW/HASTINGS MARINE...CB/MCW/HASTINGS

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