Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Caribou, ME

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000 FXUS61 KCAR 261053 AFDCAR AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CARIBOU ME 653 AM EDT TUE APR 26 2016 .SYNOPSIS... A WEAK WAVE OF LOW PRESSURE WILL SLIDE SOUTH OF THE REGION TODAY. A COLD UPPER LEVEL TROUGH WILL BE OVER EASTERN CANADA THROUGH MID WEEK AS CANADIAN HIGH PRESSURE REMAINS ACROSS OUR REGION. && .NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
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555 AM UPDATE... SFC LOW IS LOCATED IN VICINITY OF LK ERIE AT THIS TIME WITH PCPN SPREADING ACRS NY STATE AND LGT SNOW OCCURRING ON ME/NH BORDER. LATEST HIRES MODELS ARE SHOWING VRY LGT PCPN OCCURRING OVR COASTAL ZONES (MAINLY HANCOCK) THIS AFTN AND HV MADE NO CHGS TO ONGOING FCST. UPDATED HRLY T AND TD TO BRING IN LINE WITH CURRENT OBS. PREV DISCUSSION BLO... HIPRES BUILDING INTO CWA THIS MORNING. NEXT LOPRES SYSTEM IS LOCATED OVR SW MICHIGAN AND WL RIDE ALONG STALLED FRONT TDA. FRONT IS DRAPED FM SOUTH OF NOVA SCOTIA-CAPE COD-LONG ISLAND-LK ERIE. 00Z GUIDANCE HAS FAIRLY GOOD HANDLE ON NRN EXTENT OF PCPN AS OF 06Z THUS HV BUMPED POPS UP SLIGHTLY TO COASTAL ZONES FOR THIS AFTN. WL BE HARD-PRESSED TO SEE MUCH MORE THAN A COUPLE HUNDREDTHS OF AN INCH OF QPF OVR COASTAL HANCOCK GIVEN DRY AIRMASS BUT MAY BE ABLE TO SQUEEZE OUT A LITTLE RAIN AS LOW SLIDES SOUTH OF THE GULF OF MAINE. FULL SUN IS EXPECTED ACRS THE NORTH WITH CLDS MAKING IT AS FAR NORTH AS MILLINOCKET BFR SLIDING BACK TO THE SOUTH. NRN LOCALES WL CLIMB INTO THE M40S WHILE AREAS TO THE SOUTH WL BE IN THE M/U40S UNDER EXTENSIVE CLD CVR. LOW HEADS INTO THE NORTH ATLANTIC TONIGHT WITH NW FLOW CONTG IN WAKE OF SYSTEM. LATEST MODELS INDICATING POSSIBLE FLURRIES ACRS THE CROWN TONIGHT BUT HV NOT INCLUDED MENTION AT THIS TIME.
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&& .SHORT TERM /WEDNESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/... A CORE OF EXCEPTIONALLY COLD AIR FOR LATE APRIL WILL BE CENTERED OVER QUEBEC THROUGH MID WEEK WHERE AN UPPER LOW WILL BE. CANADIAN HIGH PRESSURE EXTENDING FROM HUDSON BAY SOUTHEAST INTO OUR REGION WILL BE PUSHING SOME OF THIS COLD AIR ACROSS OUR AREA. WEDNESDAY WILL BE MOSTLY CLEAR DOWNEAST, BUT STRATOCUMULUS CLOUDS WILL KEEP SKIES PARTLY TO MOSTLY CLOUDY OVER THE NORTH AND SOME FLURRIES ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE FAR NORTH. THURSDAY WILL REMAIN VERY CHILLY. THE CENTER OF THE UPPER LOW WILL SHIFT EAST INTO THE NORTHERN MARITIMES ON THURSDAY ALLOWING FOR PARTIAL SUNSHINE OVER THE NORTH AND SUNSHINE DOWNEAST. && .LONG TERM /THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY/... HIGH PRESSURE CENTERED OVER THE AREA ON FRIDAY WILL ALLOW PLENTY OF SUNSHINE TO BOOST TEMPERATURES CLOSER TO NORMAL AFTER A VERY COLD MORNING. SUNSHINE IS EXPECTED AGAIN ON SATURDAY WITH A CONTINUED MODERATION IN TEMPERATURES. A BLOCKING RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE OVER EASTERN CANADA EXTENDING SOUTH ACROSS OUR REGION WILL LIKELY MAINTAIN DRY WEATHER LATE IN THE WEEKEND INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK WITH THE STORM TRACK REMAINING TO OUR SOUTH. WINDS, HOWEVER, SHOULD BE LIGHT THROUGH THE WEEKEND AND INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK AS SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE REMAINS ACROSS THE AREA. && .AVIATION /12Z TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/... NEAR TERM: VFR NEXT 24 HOURS AT NORTHERN TERMINALS. LOW PRESSURE MAY BRING MVFR CIGS TO BHB DURING THE AFTERNOON BUT HAVE ONLY GONE SCT025 BTWN 18Z AND 21Z. LOW CIGS DO NOT LOOK LIKE THEY WILL GET AS FAR NORTH AS BGR. SHORT TERM: VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WEDNESDAY INTO THURSDAY ACROSS THE AREA. HOWEVER, SOME STRATOCUMULUS ACROSS THE NORTH MAY BRIEFLY LOWER CONDITIONS TO MVFR ACROSS THE NORTH LATE WEDNESDAY INTO WEDNESDAY NIGHT. VFR CONDITIONS ARE LIKELY FRIDAY INTO SATURDAY IN MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES. && .MARINE... NEAR TERM: WINDS AND SEAS WILL REMAIN BLO SCA CRITERIA THRU TONIGHT. SHORT TERM: A FEW WINDS GUSTS MAY REACH 25 KT OVER THE OFFSHORE WATERS LATE WEDNESDAY INTO WEDNESDAY EVENING. OTHERWISE, WINDS AND SEAS ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN BELOW SCA THROUGH MID WEEK INTO THE WEEKEND. && .CAR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... ME...NONE. MARINE...NONE. && $$ NEAR TERM...FARRAR SHORT TERM...BLOOMER LONG TERM...BLOOMER AVIATION...FARRAR/BLOOMER MARINE...FARRAR/BLOOMER

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