Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Caribou, ME

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000 FXUS61 KCAR 170938 AFDCAR AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CARIBOU ME 538 AM EDT SUN AUG 17 2014 .SYNOPSIS... UPPER LEVEL LOW PRESSURE WILL CROSS THE REGION TODAY...THEN MOVE EAST MONDAY. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD IN TUESDAY THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE WEEK. && .NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/... 545 AM...SCT SHOWERS CONTINUE ACROSS THE REGION. GENERALLY VFR CONDITIONS ACROSS THE STATE EXCEPT IN THE FVE AREA WHERE FOG HAS SET IN. MADE MINOR ADJUSTMENT TO HRLY TEMPS AND SKYCON OTHERWISE PREVIOUS FORECAST REMAINS ON TRACK. AN UPPER LEVEL LOW OVER QUEBEC HAS BEGUN ITS SLOW MOVEMENT SOUTHEAST TOWARDS NEW BRUNSWICK. SHORT WAVES WILL TRANSIT THROUGH THE AREA TODAY CONTINUING THE SHOWER ACTIVITY THROUGHOUT THE REGION. . HIGHER PRESSURE WILL BEGIN TO BUILD INTO NORTHWESTERN MAINE TOWARDS THE END OF THE PERIOD. LOADED A BLEND OF THE GFS/NAM/GEM/AND ECWMF THROUGH THE PERIOD FOR HRLY TEMPS/MAX/MIN/WND/SKY/AND POP. USED THE HPC GUIDANCE FOR QPF. NAWAVE 4 FOR SEAS IN THE COASTAL WATERS. ADDED 15 PERCENT TO WNDS FOR GUSTS OVER LAND...20 PERCENT OVER COASTAL WATERS. && .SHORT TERM /MONDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/... UPPER LEVEL LOW PRESSURE WILL SLOWLY MOVE EAST OF THE REGION MONDAY THROUGH TUESDAY AS HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS EAST. EXPECT THE CHANCE FOR SHOWERS ACROSS NORTHERN AREAS EARLY MONDAY OTHERWISE EXPECT PARTLY TO MOSTLY CLOUDY SKIES ON MONDAY WITH MAINLY CLEAR TO PARTLY CLOUDY SKIES MONDAY NIGHT. MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES CAN BE EXPECTED ON TUESDAY. TEMPERATURES ON MONDAY WILL BE BELOW NORMAL AND THEN MODERATE TO NEAR NORMAL LEVELS ON TUESDAY. && .LONG TERM /TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY/... HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD TOWARD THE AREA TUESDAY NIGHT AND THEN REMAIN ACROSS THE REGION THROUGH MUCH OF THE WEEK. THIS WILL BRING MOSTLY SUNNY CONDITIONS TO THE AREA BY DAY AND MAINLY CLEAR SKIES AT NIGHT. TEMPERATURES THROUGH THE PERIOD WILL BE NEAR TO A BIT ABOVE NORMAL FOR THIS TIME OF YEAR. && .AVIATION /10Z SUNDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/... NEAR TERM: MVFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL ACROSS NRN MAINE THROUGH THE PERIOD IN SHOWERS. FOG WILL FURTHER REDUCE VSBY AND CIGS FOR FVE TO IFR. VFR CONDITIONS IN SCT SHOWERS FOR BGR AND BHB. SHORT TERM: VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED THROUGH MUCH OF THE PERIOD. && .MARINE... NEAR TERM: WINDS AND SEAS BELOW SCA THROUGH THE PERIOD. SHORT TERM: WINDS/SEAS WILL BE BELOW SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY LEVELS THROUGH THE PERIOD. && .CAR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... ME...NONE. MARINE...NONE. && $$ NEAR TERM...NORTON SHORT TERM...DUDA LONG TERM...DUDA AVIATION...NORTON/DUDA MARINE...NORTON/DUDA

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