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-- Discussion containing changed information from previous version are highlighted. --
000
FXUS61 KCAR 051117
AFDCAR

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CARIBOU ME
617 AM EST THU DEC 5 2013

.SYNOPSIS...
LOW PRESSURE JUST NORTH OF THE GREAT LAKES EARLY THIS
MORNING...WILL LIFT INTO WESTERN QUEBEC LATER TONIGHT INTO FRIDAY
AND DRAG A COLD FRONT ACROSS THE REGION BY FRIDAY MORNING. A RIDGE OF
HIGH PRESSURE WILL THEN BUILD ACROSS THE REGION FRIDAY AND
SATURDAY WHILE WEAK WAVES OF LOW PRESSURE MOVE EAST ALONG THE
SOUTHERN EDGE OF THE GULF OF MAINE THROUGH EARLY SATURDAY. MUCH
COLDER AND DRIER AIR WILL PREVAIL ACROSS THE REGION FOR THE WEEKEND. &&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
-- Changed Discussion --
UPDATE 0615L: A MINOR ADJUSTMENT TO THE SKY AND HRLY GRIDS
OTHERWISE CURRENT FCST ON TRACK ATTM...

ORIG DISC:  LOW PRES JUST N OF THE GRT LAKES ERLY THIS AM IS FCST
TO LIFT NEWRD UP INTO JAMES BAY BY THIS EVE THEN DRIFT NEWRD
ACROSS N CENTRAL QUEBEC LATE TNGT AND FRI... AN ATTENDANT WARM
FRONT WILL APPROACH THE REGION LATE TODAY FOLLOWED QUICKLY BY AN
ASSOCIATED COLD FRONT FOR LATE TNGT/ERLY FRI. WAA AHEAD OF THIS
SYSTEM STILL SUPPORTS MINIMAL SNOWFALL AND A MAINLY RAIN EVENT OUR
FA BUT SFC TEMPS INITIALLY BLO FREEZING WILL BE SLOW TO WARM AND
CURRENT GRIDDED TEMP FCSTS SUPPORT AT LEAST A BRIEF PD OF SOME
FZRA AT THE ONSET OF THIS PRECIP EVENT ACROSS OUR WRN VLYS LATER
THIS AM SPREADING EWRD ACROSS NRN PENOBSCOT AND SERN AROOSTOOK
COUNTIES ERLY THIS AFTN SO HAVE DECIDED TO XTND OUR FZRA ADV DOWN
ACROSS ZNS 3/4/5/6/10 FOR A FEW HRS FROM LATE AM INTO MID AFTN.
ANY FZRA SHOULD HAVE TURNED TO JUST RAIN ALL BUT THE FAR NRN AREAS
LIKE THE ST JOHN VLY BY LATE AFTN/ERLY EVE AND ANY ICE ACCUMS
STILL EXPECTED TO BE UNDER .10 INCHES W/ THE HIGHEST AMOUNTS FAR N
AND NWRN VLYS...

SFC TEMPS EXPECTED TO WARM ABV FREEZING ALL AREA BY THIS EVE W/
JUST RAIN AS THE COLD FRONT PUSHES SEWRD ACROSS THE REGION. SOME
HINTS OF A WEAK SFC WAVE ALONG THIS COLD FRONT AS IT CROSSES OUR
SRN AREAS LATER TNGT SO HAVE KEPT CAT POPS GOING ACROSS THE SRN
HALF OF OUR FA THRU 12Z FRI AND HAVE BOOSTED QPF AMOUNTS THESE
AREAS AS WELL. TEMPS REMAIN MILD THRU THE NGT W/ JUST SOME WEAK
CAA BEGINNING ACROSS FAR NWRN AREAS BY ERLY FRI AM...
-- End Changed Discussion --&&

.SHORT TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/...
&&

.LONG TERM /SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...

&&

.AVIATION /08Z THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
-- Changed Discussion --
NEAR TERM: MVFR CONDS ACROSS THE N ATTM UNDER SOME STUBBORN
STRATUS AND DOES NOT APPEAR THIS WILL BE QUICK TO LEAVE PER FCST
SOUNDING AND CURRENT SAT IMAGERY. WILL HANG ONTO MVFR ACROSS THE
NRN TAF SITES W/ VFR S BUT ALL SITES SHOULD TREND TO IFR LATER
TODAY INTO TNGT AS A WARM FRONT APPROACHES/CROSSES THE REGION W/ A
COLD FRONT TO FOLLOW FOR LATE TNGT/ERLY FRI...

SHORT TO TERM:
-- End Changed Discussion --

&&

.MARINE...
-- Changed Discussion --
NEAR TERM: WILL HOIST A MARGINAL SCA FRO LATE TODAY THRU TNGT AS
SSERLY WNDS AHEAD OF AN APPROACHING WARM FRONT/COLD FRONT ALLOW
WND GUSTS TO REACH INTO THE MID 20S AND SEAS TO BUILD TO AROUND 6
FT OR SO...

SHORT TERM:
-- End Changed Discussion --

&&

.CAR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...FREEZING RAIN ADVISORY FROM 10 AM THIS MORNING TO 7 PM EST
     THIS EVENING FOR MEZ001-002.
     FREEZING RAIN ADVISORY FROM 10 AM THIS MORNING TO 5 PM EST
     THIS AFTERNOON FOR MEZ003-004-010.
     FREEZING RAIN ADVISORY FROM NOON TODAY TO 5 PM EST THIS
     AFTERNOON FOR MEZ005-006.
MARINE...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FROM 4 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 4 PM EST
     FRIDAY FOR ANZ050>052.

&&

$$
NEAR TERM...KHW
SHORT TERM...HASTINGS
LONG TERM...HASTINGS
AVIATION...KHW/HASTINGS
MARINE...KHW/HASTINGS