Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Caribou, ME

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000 FXUS61 KCAR 120259 AFDCAR Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Caribou ME 1059 PM EDT Wed Oct 11 2017 .SYNOPSIS... High pressure will build across the region overnight through Thursday night. The high will move east of the region on Friday. A cold front will move into the region later Saturday. && .NEAR TERM /THROUGH THURSDAY/...
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Update... High pressure will build toward the region overnight, keeping an area of rain south of the forecast area. Mostly clear skies are expected across northern areas overnight. Across central and Downeast areas, partly cloudy skies are expected through the early morning hours with decreasing clouds late. Overnight low temperatures will generally range from the mid 20s to around 30 north, to the lower to mid 30s interior Downeast with mid to upper 30s along the Downeast coast. Have updated the forecast to adjust for current conditions along with overnight temperatures and cloud cover. Previous Discussion... An upper level ridge and associated 1032mb surface high will build over the area through the period. The high will provide another sunny day on Thursday with highs recovering to the 50s and lower 60s. Humidity will remain quite low with dew points near 30F. Winds will be lighter as the high becomes centered over the state.
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&& .SHORT TERM /THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY/... Strong high pressure to the east of New England will dominate Friday then move to the east. A cold front will approach from the west Friday night and then dissipate over Northern Maine Saturday. Scattered showers are possible from this system Saturday, especially in the north. && .LONG TERM /SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY/... A strong cold front will move across the region late Sunday and Sunday night follow by colder air for Monday. High pressure is then expected to build across the region on Tuesday. A second cold front will then cross the State Tuesday night. Strong high pressure will then build in from the west on Thursday. && .AVIATION /03Z THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY/... NEAR TERM: VFR conditions are expected across the region overnight through Thursday. SHORT TERM: Expect VFR conditions Friday and Saturday. MVFR/IFR conditions are expected Sunday and Monday. && .MARINE... NEAR TERM: Winds/seas will remain below small craft advisory levels overnight through Thursday. SHORT TERM: Have used the GFS for winds on Friday and Saturday then transition to the the Super Blend winds Sunday. For Waves: Expect southerly wind wave to dominate Friday through the Weekend with a secondary long period southeasterly swell system. Will use the Nearshore Wave Prediction System for waves through Saturday then transition to the Wave Watch III blend. && .CAR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... ME...None. MARINE...None. && $$ Near Term...Norcross/MCW Short Term...Mignone Long Term...Mignone Aviation...Norcross/Mignone Marine...Norcross/Mignone

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