Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Caribou, ME

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FXUS61 KCAR 062024
AFDCAR

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CARIBOU ME
424 PM EDT SUN JUL 6 2014

.SYNOPSIS...
A WEAK DISTURBANCE WILL MOVE ACROSS THE REGION TONIGHT. UNSETTLED
CONDITIONS ARE THEN EXPECTED MONDAY THROUGH MID WEEK.
&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH MONDAY/...
A WEAK DISTURBANCE MOVING ACROSS NORTHERN MAINE HAS BROUGHT MOSTLY
CLOUDY SKIES TO THE NORTH. THIS WEAKER SYSTEM HAS ALSO BROUGHT
SOME SHOWERS MAINLY ACROSS FAR NORTH AND NORTHWEST PORTIONS OF THE
FORECAST AREA. THESE SHOWERS WILL SLOWLY DRIFT EAST TO SOUTHEAST
ACROSS THE CENTRAL AND NORTHERN PARTS OF THE FORECAST AREA THIS
AFTERNOON INTO TONIGHT. THIS HAS SUPPRESSED TEMPERATURES ACROSS
THE NORTH WHILE THOSE ACROSS SOUTHERN PORTIONS OF THE FORECAST
AREA HAVE ENJOYED MORE SUNSHINE WITH PARTLY TO MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES
AND WARMER TEMPERATURES. THIS DISTURBANCE WILL KEEP INCREASED
SHOWER CHANCES ACROSS THE FAR NORTH TONIGHT WHILE SOUTHERN
PORTIONS OF THE REGION ARE EXPECTED TO STAY DRY. A FRONTAL BOUNDARY
WILL APPROACH THE REGION AS WE GO INTO MONDAY. THIS WILL BRING A
INCREASED CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS TO THE REGION AS WE
GO INTO MONDAY AFTERNOON. BEST CHANCES OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE ACROSS THE NORTHERN AND NORTHWESTERN
PORTIONS OF THE FORECAST AREA. LOW TEMPERATURES ACROSS THE REGION
TONIGHT ARE EXPECTED TO BE IN THE UPPER 50S TO LOWER 60S WITH HIGH
TEMPERATURES MONDAY GENERALLY IN THE UPPER 70S TO LOWER 80S.
&&

.SHORT TERM /MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
A WEAKENING COLD FRONT/TROF WILL BEGIN TO CROSS THE REGION MONDAY
NIGHT. EXPECT A WEAKENING AREA OF SHOWERS/THUNDERSTORMS TO MOVE
SOUTH ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA MONDAY NIGHT. THE REMNANTS OF THIS
BOUNDARY AND DIURNAL HEATING COULD PRODUCE A CHANCE OF
SHOWERS/THUNDERSTORMS TUESDAY. ANOTHER COLD FRONT WILL BEGIN TO
CROSS THE REGION TUESDAY NIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY...THOUGH THE EXACT
TIMING OF THE FRONT IS STILL UNCERTAIN. EXPECT A CHANCE OF
SHOWERS/THUNDERSTORMS WITH THIS FRONT...THOUGH THE EXTENT OF
COVERAGE IS ALSO STILL UNCERTAIN DEPENDENT ON THE EVENTUAL TIMING
OF THE FRONT. TEMPERATURES WILL BE AT SLIGHTLY ABOVE NORMAL LEVELS
TUESDAY/WEDNESDAY.
&&

.LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY/...
A COLD FRONT EXITS MAINE WEDNESDAY NIGHT WITH SHOWERS COMING TO AN
END. AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH FILLS ON THURSDAY AND FRIDAY THEN
GIVES WAY TO RIDGING FOR THE WEEKEND. DRY AND SLIGHTLY ABOVE
NORMAL TEMPERATURES CAN BE EXPECTED. A SHORTWAVE TROUGH MOVES INTO
THE NORTHEAST U.S. ON SUNDAY WITH A COLD FRONT SWEEPING ACROSS
MAINE. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THE FRONTAL
PASSAGE.
&&

.AVIATION /20Z SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/...
NEAR TERM: SITES WILL STAY MOSTLY VFR WITH NORTHERN SITES GOING MVFR
WITH DISTURBANCE AND SHOWERS MOVING ACROSS THE REGION TONIGHT.
SOME SITES COULD BE REDUCED ONCE AGAIN ACROSS THE NORTH IN HEAVIER
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS MONDAY.

SHORT TERM: OCCASIONAL MVFR/IFR CONDITIONS WILL OCCUR ACROSS THE
REGION MONDAY NIGHT WITH SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. GENERALLY VFR
CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE REGION TUESDAY INTO THURSDAY
AWAY FROM ANY SHOWERS OR THUNDERSTORMS...WITH VARIABLE CONDITIONS
IN THE VICINITY OF SHOWERS OR THUNDERSTORMS. VFR CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED FRIDAY.
&&

.MARINE...
NEAR TERM: NO HEADLINES HAVE BEEN ISSUED AT THIS POINT. HOWEVER
SEAS ARE EXPECTED TO BUILD FROM 3 TO 5 FT TO 4 TO 6 FT LATER
MONDAY DUE TO INCREASED SW FLOW.

SHORT TERM: SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY LEVEL SEAS ARE POSSIBLE MONDAY
NIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY NIGHT. VISIBILITIES COULD BE REDUCED AT TIMES
IN SHOWERS MONDAY NIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY NIGHT.
&&

.CAR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
MARINE...NONE.

&&

$$
NEAR TERM...JORDAN
SHORT TERM...NORCROSS
LONG TERM...OKULSKI
AVIATION...JORDAN/NORCROSS
MARINE...JORDAN/NORCROSS









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