Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Caribou, ME

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000 FXUS61 KCAR 301347 AFDCAR AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CARIBOU ME 947 AM EDT TUE JUN 30 2015 .SYNOPSIS... WEAK HIGH PRESSURE WILL MOVE SOUTH OF THE AREA TODAY. LOW PRESSURE WILL TRACK WEST OF MAINE WEDNESDAY. A COLD FRONT WILL THEN CROSS THE REGION WEDNESDAY NIGHT INTO THURSDAY. && .NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/... 940 AM UPDATE...MAIN CHANGE WAS TO INTRODUCE ISOLATED SHOWERS FOR MOST OF THE AREA THROUGH THE REST OF THE DAY. KCBW RADAR IS DOWN FOR MAINTENANCE, BUT WE HAD A LIGHT SHOWER MOVE OVER OUR OFFICE, AND HRRR HAS JUST ENOUGH INSTABILITY FOR ISOLATED SHOWERS, SO 20 POPS ARE WARRANTED. TEMPERATURES ARE RUNNING A LITTLE BEHIND WHAT WAS EXPECTED, BUT WITH CLOUDS THINNING OUT NOW, THINK THAT THE FORECAST HIGHS IN THE MID TO UPPER 70S ARE STILL WITHIN REACH. LOW PRESSURE APPROACHING TONIGHT WILL BRING INCREASING CLOUDINESS. SOME SHOWERS MAY BEGIN TO PUSH INTO FAR WESTERN AREAS TOWARD MORNING. OTHERWISE, TONIGHT WILL BE MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A LIGHT SOUTHERLY BREEZE AND HUMID AIR. && .SHORT TERM /WEDNESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/... LOW PRESSURE WILL TRACK WEST OF MAINE WEDNESDAY...DRAWING A COLD FRONT TOWARD THE SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER VALLEY LATER WEDNESDAY. THE COLD FRONT WILL THEN BEGIN TO CROSS THE REGION WEDNESDAY NIGHT. AN AREA OF SHOWERS WILL MOVE EAST ACROSS THE REGION IN ADVANCE OF THE COLD FRONT WEDNESDAY THROUGH EARLY WEDNESDAY NIGHT. HAVE ALSO INCLUDED THE SLIGHT CHANCE OF AN AFTERNOON OR EARLY EVENING THUNDERSTORM ACROSS NORTHWEST PORTIONS OF THE FORECAST AREA WEDNESDAY NEAREST TO THE APPROACHING COLD FRONT. SHOWERS WILL DECREASE ACROSS THE REGION LATER WEDNESDAY NIGHT. THE FRONT WILL BEGIN TO SLOW ACROSS DOWNEAST AREAS THURSDAY WHILE AN UPPER TROF APPROACHES FROM THE WEST. EXPECT GENERALLY PARTLY SUNNY SKIES ALONG WITH THE SLIGHT CHANCE OF A SHOWER ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA THURSDAY. THE FRONT WILL MOVE SOUTH THURSDAY NIGHT WHILE LOW PRESSURE LIFTS ALONG THE FRONT. AT THE SAME TIME...HIGH PRESSURE WILL BEGIN TO BUILD EAST ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA. BUILDING HIGH PRESSURE SHOULD KEEP SHOWERS WITH THE FRONTAL LOW EAST OF THE FORECAST AREA THURSDAY NIGHT. OTHERWISE...EXPECT DECREASING CLOUDS ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA THURSDAY NIGHT. TEMPERATURES WILL BE AT SLIGHTLY BELOW NORMAL LEVELS WEDNESDAY...WITH NEAR NORMAL LEVEL TEMPERATURES THURSDAY. && .LONG TERM /THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY/... HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD ACROSS THE REGION FRIDAY INTO SATURDAY. A COLD FRONT SHOULD CROSS THE REGION LATER SATURDAY INTO SUNDAY...THOUGH THE EXACT TIMING OF THE FRONT IS STILL UNCERTAIN. THE COLD FRONT COULD BRING A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS TO MOSTLY NORTHERN PORTIONS OF THE FORECAST AREA. HIGH PRESSURE IS THEN EXPECTED TO BUILD ACROSS THE REGION SUNDAY NIGHT INTO MONDAY. TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED TO BE AT NEAR NORMAL LEVELS FRIDAY THROUGH MONDAY. && .AVIATION /14Z TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/... NEAR TERM: SOME LINGERING MVFR AND LOCAL IFR OVER NORTHERN MAINE THIS MORNING, BUT EXPECT VFR BY NOON. VFR THROUGH THIS EVENING, BUT LOWERING CLOUDS MAY RESULT IN CONDITIONS DROPPING TO MVFR OR IFR LATE TONIGHT. SHORT TERM: MVFR TO LIFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE REGION WEDNESDAY INTO EARLY WEDNESDAY NIGHT. CONDITIONS SHOULD GENERALLY IMPROVE TO VFR LEVELS LATER WEDNESDAY NIGHT...THOUGH OCCASIONAL MVFR CONDITIONS COULD LINGER ACROSS NORTHERN AREAS. GENERALLY VFR CONDITIONS ARE THEN EXPECTED ACROSS THE REGION THURSDAY INTO SATURDAY...THOUGH OCCASIONAL MVFR CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS NORTHERN AREAS SATURDAY AFTERNOON. && .MARINE... NEAR TERM: WINDS AND SEAS ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN BELOW SCA TODAY AND TONIGHT. SOME FOG IS POSSIBLE LATE TONIGHT. SHORT TERM: CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO BE BELOW SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY LEVELS WEDNESDAY. SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY CONDITIONS ARE THEN POSSIBLE WEDNESDAY NIGHT INTO EARLY THURSDAY. CONDITIONS ARE THEN EXPECTED TO BE BELOW SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY LEVELS LATER THURSDAY INTO THURSDAY NIGHT. VISIBILITIES WILL BE REDUCED IN SHOWERS AND FOG WEDNESDAY INTO EARLY WEDNESDAY NIGHT. && .CAR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... ME...NONE. MARINE...NONE. && $$ NEAR TERM...BLOOMER/FOISY SHORT TERM...NORCROSS LONG TERM...NORCROSS AVIATION...BLOOMER/FOISY/NORCROSS MARINE...BLOOMER/FOISY/NORCROSS

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