Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Caribou, ME

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000 FXUS61 KCAR 240455 AFDCAR Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Caribou ME 1255 AM EDT SUN JUL 24 2016 .SYNOPSIS... A cold front will move east of the region overnight. High pressure will cross the region Sunday. A warm front will cross the region Monday. A cold front then crosses the region Monday night. && .NEAR TERM /THROUGH TODAY/...
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1230 AM Update: Latest radar ref shows that isold tstms ovr SE Washington county have finally dissipated to shwrs, with these too xpcted to dissipate ovr the next hr or so. Otherwise, skies were update ovr the N toward clearer skies. With grad NW winds of 5 to 10 mph ovr the N hlf of the FA and dwpt depressions of 5 to 10 deg F, we took patchy fog out of the fcst for the N hlf of the FA. Lastly, we updated fcst hrly temps/dwpts from latest obsvd temps to fcst lows adjusted downward for nrn vly lctns. Prev Disc: High pressure will then build in from the west later tonight into Sunday bringing clearing skies from west to east. Sunday will be mostly sunny in western and Downeast areas and sunny to partly cloudy over the far northeast as the high builds in. Temps will still be warm but the humidity will be just a bit lower than today as slightly drier air moves in.
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&& .SHORT TERM /TONIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY/... High pressure will cross the region Sunday night with mostly clear skies. A warm front will cross the region Monday with a chance of showers and thunderstorms. A cold front then crosses the region Monday night keeping a chance of showers and thunderstorms across the forecast area. The cold front moves east of the region early Tuesday. However, an upper level disturbance will cross the region. Expect partly sunny/mostly cloudy skies along with a chance of showers and thunderstorms across northern areas Tuesday, with partly sunny skies along with a slight chance of showers and thunderstorms Downeast. Temperatures will be at slightly above normal levels Monday/Tuesday. && .LONG TERM /TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY/... High pressure will build across the region Tuesday night into Wednesday night with partly cloudy/mostly clear skies. A cold front will approach the region Thursday with a chance of showers/thunderstorms in advance of the front. Uncertainty then develops Friday into Saturday regarding how rapidly the front moves through the area. The front could stall across the region Friday into Saturday which would keep the chance of showers across the forecast area. Temperatures are expected to be at slightly above normal levels Wednesday/Thursday, with near normal level temperatures Friday/Saturday. && .AVIATION /06Z SUNDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/... NEAR TERM: Locally IFR or MVFR conditions are possible in any thundershowers early this evening. Otherwise, VFR conditions are expected across the region tonight through Sunday. SHORT TERM: Generally expect VFR conditions Sunday night into early Monday. Variable conditions will then occur Monday afternoon through Monday night with showers and thunderstorms. Occasional MVFR conditions are possible across mostly northern areas Tuesday with a chance of showers and thunderstorms, with generally VFR conditions Downeast. VFR conditions are expected across the entire region Tuesday night into Wednesday. && .MARINE... NEAR TERM: A few thunderstorms may effect coastal areas early this evening. Otherwise, winds and seas are expected to be below SCA tonight through Sunday. SHORT TERM: Winds/seas are expected to remain below small craft advisory levels Sunday night through Tuesday. Could have a chance of showers/thunderstorms late Monday afternoon into Monday night. Visibilities will also be reduced in areas of fog Monday night into early Tuesday. && .CAR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... ME...None. MARINE...None. && $$ Near Term...VJN Short Term...Norcross Long Term...Norcross Aviation...VJN/Norcross Marine...VJN/Norcross

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