Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Caribou, ME

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000 FXUS61 KCAR 211951 AFDCAR Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Caribou ME 251 PM EST Tue Nov 21 2017 .SYNOPSIS...
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A cold front will approach from the west tonight. The front will push across the area on Wednesday as a small wave of low pressure tracks north along the front. The cold front will continue east into the Maritimes Wednesday night.
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&& .NEAR TERM /THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT/...
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High pressure to our southeast combined with a cold front approaching from the west will bring a light southerly breeze and a relatively mild night tonight. Skies will begin mostly clear. Clouds will increase late tonight as the cold front gets near. The front will push into the area on Wednesday bringing some showers. A wave of low pressure tracking north along the front will bring a period of steadier rain Downeast beginning around mid morning and continuing into early Wednesday evening. Most of the rain will fall over Washington county where over an inch is likely. Lighter rain across the north may briefly turn into a bit of snow before ending early Wednesday evening. Any accumulations should be less than a half inch. The front will push east into the Maritimes Wednesday night carrying the low east with it and skies will clear. Northwest winds will carry cold air back into the area overnight.
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&& .SHORT TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/...
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Expect partly sunny conditions Thursday Morning, however as a cold front approaches from the west clouds will slowly over- spread the region. Expect cloudy skies Thursday Night into Friday Morning as the cold front moves through the State. Some snow showers are possible in western and northern areas along with higher terrain as the front moves through. Clearing is then expected later in the Morning Friday as the front moves off- shore and high pressure builds in from the west.
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&& .LONG TERM /FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY/...
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High pressure will be moving off the East Coast Friday Night while a cold front approaches the region from the west. Over the weekend the cold front will move through the region resulting in showers and snow showers. Intensifying low pressure is also expected to pass just to the east of the Gulf of Maine Sunday. High pressure will then pass to the south of the area Monday. A weak cold front is then expected to pass through the region Tuesday.
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&& .AVIATION /18Z TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
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NEAR TERM: VFR conditions are expected across the area tonight. Conditions will lower to MVFR then IFR Downeast Wednesday morning and lower to MVFR across the north around midday Wednesday. IFR conditions are likely throughout the area Wednesday afternoon into early Wednesday evening. Conditions should improve to VFR over the region Wednesday night. SHORT TERM: VFR conditions are expected early Thursday. MVFR conditions possible early Friday then VFR conditions for the remainder of the day. MVFR/IFR conditions are possible Saturday and Sunday.
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&& .MARINE...
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NEAR TERM: A SCA will continue for wind gusts up to 30 kt tonight. The SCA will continue across the offshore waters Wednesday and Wednesday night. Winds and seas should be below SCA on the intracoastal waters Wednesday into Wednesday night. SHORT TERM: Have used the NAM for sustained winds through Friday Afternoon then transition to the Super blend winds. For Waves: The primary wave system through this period will be long period incoming southeasterly swell 4-6 feet/10 seconds). This wave group is expected to subside during the day Friday. A secondary off-shore wind wave system will be present Thursday and will become southwesterly Friday. Will use the Nearshore Wave Prediction System (NWPS) through Friday then transition to the Wave Watch III Blend.
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&& .CAR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... ME...None. MARINE...Small Craft Advisory until 4 AM EST Wednesday for ANZ052. Small Craft Advisory until 4 AM EST Wednesday for ANZ050-051. && $$ Near Term...Bloomer Short Term...Mignone Long Term...Mignone Aviation...Bloomer/Mignone Marine...Bloomer/Mignone

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