Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Caribou, ME

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000 FXUS61 KCAR 281511 AFDCAR AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CARIBOU ME 1111 AM EDT SAT MAR 28 2015 .SYNOPSIS... LOW PRESSURE WILL TRACK SOUTH OF THE GULF OF MAINE TODAY. HIGH PRESSURE WILL CROSS THE REGION LATER TONIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY. LOW PRESSURE WILL MOVE EAST ACROSS THE REGION MONDAY. && .NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/... 1008 AM UPDATE: WE ADJUSTED CLD CVR DOWNWARD ACROSS THE N AND INCREASED IT DOWN S BASED ON LATEST SAT IMAGERY. ALSO...WE RAISED HI TEMPS ACROSS THE N A FEW DEG F BASED ON MORE XPCTD SUNSHINE THERE...WITH FCST HRLY TEMPS THRU THE REST OF THE DAY CHGD ACCORDINGLY BETWEEN 9 AM AND 8 PM. ORGNL DISC: LOW PRESSURE WILL BE TRACKING WELL SOUTH OF THE GULF OF MAINE TODAY. THE COMBINATION OF A WEAK INVERTED TROUGH AND SOME LIFT FROM THE UPPER LEVEL LOW WILL BRING CLOUDS AND A BIT OF PATCHY LIGHT SNOW TO DOWNEAST AREAS THIS MORNING. ANY ACCUMULATION WILL LIKELY BE LESS THAN AN INCH. OTHERWISE, DOWNEAST WILL BE MOSTLY CLOUDY TODAY AND NORTHERN AREAS PARTLY SUNNY. SKIES WILL CLEAR FROM NORTH TO SOUTH TONIGHT AS THE LOW MOVES AWAY AND COLD HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS IN. LOWS BY MORNING WILL RANGE FROM THE SINGLE DIGITS OVER THE NORTH TO THE MID TEENS DOWNEAST. && .SHORT TERM /SUNDAY THROUGH MONDAY/... HIGH PRESSURE WILL CROSS THE REGION SUNDAY WITH MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES. LOW PRESSURE WILL BEGIN TO APPROACH FROM THE WEST SUNDAY NIGHT WITH INCREASING CLOUDS. THE LOW WILL CROSS THE REGION MONDAY INTO MONDAY NIGHT WITH SCATTERED RAIN/SNOW SHOWERS. TEMPERATURES WILL BE AT SLIGHTLY BELOW NORMAL LEVELS SUNDAY...WITH NEAR NORMAL LEVEL TEMPERATURES MONDAY. && .LONG TERM /MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY/... THE LOW WILL MOVE EAST TUESDAY. MOSTLY CLOUDY SKIES ALONG WITH A CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS WILL OCCUR ACROSS THE NORTH/MOUNTAINS EARLY TUESDAY...WITH DECREASING CLOUDS DURING THE AFTERNOON. GENERALLY EXPECT PARTLY SUNNY SKIES DOWNEAST TUESDAY. HIGH PRESSURE WILL CROSS THE REGION WEDNESDAY...THEN MOVE EAST EARLY THURSDAY. A WARM FRONT WILL THEN CROSS THE REGION LATER THURSDAY THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT. CLOUD COVER WILL INCREASE LATER THURSDAY ALONG WITH A CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS ACROSS NORTHERN AREAS...WITH A SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS DOWNEAST. COULD HAVE A CHANCE OF LIGHT SNOW ACROSS NORTHERN AREAS THURSDAY NIGHT WITH A CHANCE OF LIGHT RAIN/SNOW DOWNEAST. THE WARM FRONT SHOULD MOVE NORTH OF THE REGION EARLY FRIDAY. UNCERTAINTY THEN EXISTS LATER FRIDAY REGARDING WHETHER LOW PRESSURE MIGHT BEGIN TO APPROACH FROM THE WEST. HAVE KEPT A CHANCE OF RAIN/SNOW SHOWERS ACROSS NORTHERN AREAS FRIDAY...WITH A CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS DOWNEAST. TEMPERATURES WILL BE AT SLIGHTLY BELOW NORMAL LEVELS TUESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY. NEAR NORMAL...TO SLIGHTLY ABOVE NORMAL...LEVEL TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED FRIDAY. && .AVIATION /14Z SATURDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/... NEAR TERM: VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE NORTH TODAY AND TONIGHT. MVFR TO OCCASIONALLY IFR CONDITIONS DOWNEAST TODAY WILL IMPROVE TO VFR TONIGHT AS HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS IN. SHORT TERM: GENERALLY VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE REGION SUNDAY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT...THOUGH OCCASIONAL MVFR CONDITIONS COULD BEGIN TO DEVELOP ACROSS NORTHERN AREAS LATER SUNDAY NIGHT. OCCASIONAL MVFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE REGION MONDAY THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT. OCCASIONAL MVFR CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE NORTH AND MOUNTAINS EARLY TUESDAY. OTHERWISE...VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE REGION TUESDAY INTO WEDNESDAY. && .MARINE...
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NEAR TERM: 1100 AM UPDATE...BUOY OBSVD WV HTS WERE SIG HIER THAN OUR LAST FCST...SO WE INCREASED THEM BY 2 TO 3 FT OVR ALL OF OUR WATERS FOR THE REST OF THE DAY...THEN SLOWLY MERGE THEM BACK TO WW3 WV GUIDANCE OVRNGT THRU SUN MORN. ORGNL DISC...AN SCA WILL BE NEEDED TODAY INTO TONIGHT FOR NORTHEAST WINDS, BECOMING NORTHERLY AND GUSTING UP TO 30 KT AS LOW PRESSURE TRACKS SOUTH OF THE WATERS. SHORT TERM: SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED SUNDAY THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT. VISIBILITIES COULD BE REDUCED IN SHOWERS MONDAY AFTERNOON.
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&& .CAR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... ME...NONE. MARINE...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 2 PM EDT SUNDAY FOR ANZ050>052. && $$ NEAR TERM...VJN SHORT TERM...NORCROSS LONG TERM...NORCROSS AVIATION...VJN/NORCROSS MARINE...VJN/NORCROSS

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