Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Caribou, ME

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232 FXUS61 KCAR 241646 AFDCAR Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Caribou ME 1246 PM EDT Sat Jun 24 2017 .SYNOPSIS... A cold front will cross the region today then exit the coast early tonight. Another cold front will begin to cross the region Sunday night into Monday. && .NEAR TERM /THROUGH SUNDAY/...
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1230 PM Update: Whats left of an enhanced shwr band along and just ahead of the cold front is about to exit SE Aroostook county. Winds gusts up to 35 mph accompany this front as winds shift to the NW. Otherwise, shwrs behind the front are sct and lgt and should begin to diminish in cvrg by late this aftn. Other chgs this update include taking fog out of the fcst for all land lctns in our FA and lowering fcst hi temps 2 to 3 deg F across the N half due to slow recovery in temps thru midday with shwrs, cld cvr and immediate cool advcn behind the cold front. Fcst hrly temps and dwpts include trends from recent midday obs as well as the chgs to fcst aftn hi temps posted 4-5 pm. Orgnl Disc: A cold front will slowly cross the region today then exit the Downeast coast early tonight. Showers will be most extensive this morning, with an isolated thunderstorm also possible. Areas of fog will also occur across much of the region this morning, more extensive along the Downeast coast where a Dense Fog Advisory is in effect until 9 AM. Shower chances will diminish this afternoon along with decreasing clouds. An isolated shower is possible across northern areas mostly early tonight. Otherwise, expect partly cloudy skies north with mostly clear skies Downeast tonight. High temperatures today will range from the mid to upper 70s north, to the upper 70s to around 80 interior Downeast with mid 70s along the Downeast coast. Low temperatures tonight will range from the mid 50s north, to the mid to upper 50s Downeast.
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&& .SHORT TERM /SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY/... A surface and upper level low pressure system will be approaching from the west Sunday. This system is expected to spread showers across the region during the day. Will also include the chance of thunder during the afternoon with unstable conditions expected. Showers and thunderstorms are also expected Sunday night and Monday as the low pressure system moves across the state then off to the east. && .LONG TERM /MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY/... Another low pressure system is expected to move across the region Tuesday resulting in showers. A cold front will move across the state Wednesday. The cold front will then stall Wednesday night then move back northward as a warm front Thursday resulting in showers through the period. Showers are expected again Friday as another low pressure system approaches the region from the west. && .AVIATION /18Z SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/... NEAR TERM: IFR/LIFR, with local VLIFR, conditions will occur across the region early this morning. Conditions will improve to MVFR levels later this morning through early afternoon. Generally VFR conditions are then expected across the region later this afternoon through tonight, though occasional MVFR conditions are possible across the north and mountains. SHORT TERM: VFR, with occasional MVFR/IFR, conditions are expected Sunday into Monday. MVFR/IFR conditions are then expected Tuesday into Wednesday. && .MARINE... NEAR TERM: Have transitioned the Small Craft Advisory to a Small Craft Advisory for Hazardous Seas and extended the advisory through 8 PM with this update. Visibilities will be significantly reduced in fog today into this evening. Showers are also possible today. SHORT TERM: Have used the NAM for sustained winds then transition to the Super Blend winds Monday evening. For Waves: A long fetch from the Gulf of Maine extending southward Saturday will keep wave heights elevated due to swell on Sunday and Monday. Will use the Nearshore Wave Prediction System for wave grids. && .CAR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... ME...None. MARINE...Small Craft Advisory for hazardous seas until 8 PM EDT this evening for ANZ050-051. && $$ Near Term...VJN Short Term...Mignone Long Term...Mignone Aviation...VJN/Mignone Marine...VJN/Mignone

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