Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Caribou, ME

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FXUS61 KCAR 010240
AFDCAR

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CARIBOU ME
1040 PM EDT MON AUG 31 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL CROSS THE REGION TUESDAY...THEN MOVE EAST
TUESDAY NIGHT. A COLD FRONT WILL CROSS THE REGION LATER WEDNESDAY
THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TUESDAY/...
645 PM UPDATE: HRLY TEMPS NEEDED ADJUSTMENT TO MATCH UP W/THE
LATEST OBS. TEMPS WERE HOLDING UP A FEW DEGREES WARMER THAN
PREVIOUSLY EXPECTED DUE TO NW WIND AROUND 10 MPH. SKIES WERE BEGINNING
TO CLEAR PER THE LATEST IR SATELLITE LOOP. FORECAST HAS THIS WELL
SET W/CLEARING CONTINUING OVERNIGHT.

HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD ACROSS THE REGION INTO TUESDAY. MOSTLY
SUNNY SKIES WILL OCCUR ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA TUESDAY. OVERNIGHT
LOW TEMPERATURES WILL GENERALLY RANGE FROM THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER
50S NORTH...WITH MID 40S POSSIBLE ACROSS THE NORMALLY COLDER
NORTHWEST VALLEY LOCATIONS. LOW TEMPERATURES DOWNEAST WILL RANGE
FROM THE MID TO UPPER 50S. HIGH TEMPERATURES TUESDAY WILL RANGE
FROM THE MID 70S NORTH...TO THE MID TO UPPER 70S DOWNEAST.

&&

.SHORT TERM /TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY/...
A FRONTAL BOUNDARY PUSHES INTO NORTHERN MAINE ON WEDNESDAY WHICH
WILL BRING A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.  QPF AMOUNTS
SHOULD BE UP TO TWO TENTHS OF AN INCH NEAR STRONGER STORMS.
SLIGHTLY COOLER AIR FILTERS INTO EASTERN MAINE ON THURSDAY IN A
NORTHWEST FLOW ALOFT.

&&

.LONG TERM /THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY/...
A STRONG RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL BE BUILDING IN LATE THIS WEEK
TO BRING A STRETCH OF WARM AND DRY WEATHER FROM LATE IN THE WEEK,
THROUGH THE WEEKEND, AND INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK. SURFACE HIGH
PRESSURE SUPPORTED BY AN APPROACHING UPPER LEVEL RIDGE WILL BUILD
DOWN FROM THE NORTH THURSDAY NIGHT BRINGING A CLEAR NIGHT FOLLOWED
BY A SUNNY SEASONABLE FRIDAY. THE HIGH WILL DROP SOUTH OF THE AREA
FRIDAY NIGHT INTO SATURDAY ALLOWING A RETURN FLOW BEHIND THE HIGH
TO CHANNEL SOME VERY WARM AIR IN FROM THE UPPER LEVEL RIDGE. BOTH
SATURDAY AND SUNDAY WILL BE MOSTLY SUNNY AND VERY WARM WITH HIGHS
APPROACHING 80 ON SATURDAY AND OVER 80 ON SUNDAY ACROSS MOST
INLAND LOCATIONS. A FRONTAL BOUNDARY TO OUR NORTH, ALONG THE
NORTHERN EDGE OF THE RIDGE, MAY BRING A FEW PATCHY CLOUDS TO FAR
NORTHERN AREAS OVER THE WEEKEND AND INTO MONDAY. OTHERWISE, THE
VERY WARM WEATHER WILL PERSIST INTO MONDAY WITH A MOSTLY SUNNY SKY
AND HIGHS INTO THE 80S. COOLER WEATHER MAY ARRIVE BY MID WEEK NEXT
WEEK.

&&

.AVIATION /03Z TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/...
NEAR TERM: VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE REGION TONIGHT
THROUGH TUESDAY.

SHORT TERM: MVFR CEILINGS AND VSBYS WILL BE POSSIBLE ON WEDNESDAY
ACROSS THE NORTHERN TAF SITES /FVE CAR PQI/ IN SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE AREA
THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY WITH THE POSSIBLE EXCEPTION OF
SOME EARLY MORNING PATCHY FOG OVER THE NORTH FRIDAY MORNING.

&&

.MARINE...
NEAR TERM: WINDS/SEAS WILL REMAIN BELOW SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
LEVELS TONIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY.

SHORT TERM: NO HEADLINES ARE EXPECTED DURING THIS TIME PERIOD.

&&

.CAR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
MARINE...NONE.

&&

$$

NEAR TERM...HEWITT


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