Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Caribou, ME

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FXUS61 KCAR 261246
AFDCAR

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CARIBOU ME
846 AM EDT TUE APR 26 2016

.SYNOPSIS...
A WEAK WAVE OF LOW PRESSURE WILL SLIDE SOUTH OF THE REGION TODAY.
A COLD UPPER LEVEL TROUGH WILL BE OVER EASTERN CANADA THROUGH MID
WEEK AS CANADIAN HIGH PRESSURE REMAINS ACROSS OUR REGION.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
845 AM UPDATE... ADJUSTED SKYCON AND HRLY TEMPS TO KEEP THINGS
CURRENT.


PREV DISCUSSION BLO...

HIPRES BUILDING INTO CWA THIS MORNING. NEXT LOPRES SYSTEM IS
LOCATED OVR SW MICHIGAN AND WL RIDE ALONG STALLED FRONT TDA. FRONT
IS DRAPED FM SOUTH OF NOVA SCOTIA-CAPE COD-LONG ISLAND-LK ERIE.
00Z GUIDANCE HAS FAIRLY GOOD HANDLE ON NRN EXTENT OF PCPN AS OF
06Z THUS HV BUMPED POPS UP SLIGHTLY TO COASTAL ZONES FOR THIS
AFTN. WL BE HARD-PRESSED TO SEE MUCH MORE THAN A COUPLE HUNDREDTHS
OF AN INCH OF QPF OVR COASTAL HANCOCK GIVEN DRY AIRMASS BUT MAY BE
ABLE TO SQUEEZE OUT A LITTLE RAIN AS LOW SLIDES SOUTH OF THE GULF
OF MAINE.

FULL SUN IS EXPECTED ACRS THE NORTH WITH CLDS MAKING IT AS FAR NORTH
AS MILLINOCKET BFR SLIDING BACK TO THE SOUTH. NRN LOCALES WL CLIMB
INTO THE M40S WHILE AREAS TO THE SOUTH WL BE IN THE M/U40S UNDER
EXTENSIVE CLD CVR. LOW HEADS INTO THE NORTH ATLANTIC TONIGHT WITH NW
FLOW CONTG IN WAKE OF SYSTEM. LATEST MODELS INDICATING POSSIBLE
FLURRIES ACRS THE CROWN TONIGHT BUT HV NOT INCLUDED MENTION AT THIS
TIME.

&&

.SHORT TERM /WEDNESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...
A CORE OF EXCEPTIONALLY COLD AIR FOR LATE APRIL WILL BE CENTERED
OVER QUEBEC THROUGH MID WEEK WHERE AN UPPER LOW WILL BE. CANADIAN
HIGH PRESSURE EXTENDING FROM HUDSON BAY SOUTHEAST INTO OUR REGION
WILL BE PUSHING SOME OF THIS COLD AIR ACROSS OUR AREA. WEDNESDAY
WILL BE MOSTLY CLEAR DOWNEAST, BUT STRATOCUMULUS CLOUDS WILL KEEP
SKIES PARTLY TO MOSTLY CLOUDY OVER THE NORTH AND SOME FLURRIES ARE
POSSIBLE ACROSS THE FAR NORTH. THURSDAY WILL REMAIN VERY CHILLY. THE
CENTER OF THE UPPER LOW WILL SHIFT EAST INTO THE NORTHERN MARITIMES
ON THURSDAY ALLOWING FOR PARTIAL SUNSHINE OVER THE NORTH AND
SUNSHINE DOWNEAST.

&&

.LONG TERM /THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY/...
HIGH PRESSURE CENTERED OVER THE AREA ON FRIDAY WILL ALLOW PLENTY OF
SUNSHINE TO BOOST TEMPERATURES CLOSER TO NORMAL AFTER A VERY COLD
MORNING. SUNSHINE IS EXPECTED AGAIN ON SATURDAY WITH A CONTINUED
MODERATION IN TEMPERATURES. A BLOCKING RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE OVER
EASTERN CANADA EXTENDING SOUTH ACROSS OUR REGION WILL LIKELY
MAINTAIN DRY WEATHER LATE IN THE WEEKEND INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK WITH
THE STORM TRACK REMAINING TO OUR SOUTH. WINDS, HOWEVER, SHOULD BE
LIGHT THROUGH THE WEEKEND AND INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK AS SURFACE HIGH
PRESSURE REMAINS ACROSS THE AREA.

&&

.AVIATION /13Z TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/...
NEAR TERM: VFR NEXT 24 HOURS AT NORTHERN TERMINALS. LOW PRESSURE
MAY BRING MVFR CIGS TO BHB DURING THE AFTERNOON BUT HAVE ONLY GONE
SCT025 BTWN 18Z AND 21Z. LOW CIGS DO NOT LOOK LIKE THEY WILL GET
AS FAR NORTH AS BGR.

SHORT TERM: VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WEDNESDAY INTO THURSDAY
ACROSS THE AREA. HOWEVER, SOME STRATOCUMULUS ACROSS THE NORTH MAY
BRIEFLY LOWER CONDITIONS TO MVFR ACROSS THE NORTH LATE WEDNESDAY
INTO WEDNESDAY NIGHT. VFR CONDITIONS ARE LIKELY FRIDAY INTO
SATURDAY IN MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES.

&&

.MARINE...
NEAR TERM: WINDS AND SEAS WILL REMAIN BLO SCA CRITERIA THRU
TONIGHT.

SHORT TERM: A FEW WINDS GUSTS MAY REACH 25 KT OVER THE OFFSHORE
WATERS LATE WEDNESDAY INTO WEDNESDAY EVENING. OTHERWISE, WINDS AND
SEAS ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN BELOW SCA THROUGH MID WEEK INTO THE
WEEKEND.

&&

.CAR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
MARINE...NONE.

&&

$$

NEAR TERM...FARRAR/NORTON
SHORT TERM...BLOOMER
LONG TERM...BLOOMER
AVIATION...FARRAR/NORTON/BLOOMER
MARINE...FARRAR/NORTON/BLOOMER



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