Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Caribou, ME

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000 FXUS61 KCAR 241312 AFDCAR AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CARIBOU ME 912 AM EDT THU JUL 24 2014 .SYNOPSIS... HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD INTO THE AREA TODAY THEN SLIDE SOUTH OF THE REGION FRIDAY INTO FRIDAY NIGHT. THE HIGH WILL REMAIN TO OUR SOUTH ON SATURDAY. && .NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/... 912 AM UPDATE...A COLD FRONT IS CURRENTLY ALONG THE DOWNEAST COAST AND WILL SLOWLY MOVE OFFSHORE TODAY. MUCH DRIER AIR HAS FILTERED INTO NORTHERN MAINE WITH DEW POINTS IN THE COMFORTABLE 40S IN MOST AREAS. STILL KIND OF STICKY ALONG THE COAST WHERE DEW POINTS ARE IN THE LOW 60S. AN AREA OF SHOWERS IS MOVING ACROSS PARTS OF THE DOWN EAST REGION AND MAY CONTINUE TO IMPACT PARTS OF WASHINGTON COUNTY INTO THE EARLY AFTERNOON. MAIN UPDATE WAS TO BEEF UP THE POPS JUST A BIT ACROSS PARTS OF THE DOWN EAST REGION AND TO HOLD ONTO THE SHOWERS A BIT LONGER ACROSS WASHINGTON COUNTY INTO EARLY THIS AFTERNOON. PREVIOUS DISCUSSION... A COLD FRONT CURRENTLY ACROSS DOWNEAST MAINE WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE EAST OF THE COAST LATER TODAY. MUCH DRIER AND COOLER AIR HAS OVERSPREAD NORTHERN AREAS BEHIND THE COLD FRONT WITH DEW POINTS ALREADY DOWN INTO THE UPPER 40S AND LOWER 50S ACROSS FAR NORTHERN MAINE EARLY THIS MORNING. A WEAK WAVE OF LOW PRESSURE MOVING NORTHEAST ALONG THE FRONT EARLY THIS MORNING IS CURRENTLY BRINGING SOME SHOWERS TO DOWNEAST MAINE. AS THIS WAVE MOVES NORTHEAST THIS MORNING EXPECT THE SHOWERS TO END AS THE COOLER AND DRIER AIR MAKES IT WAY ALL THE WAY TO THE COAST LATER THIS MORNING. OTHERWISE EXPECT MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES ACROSS NORTHERN AREAS TODAY WITH CLOUDY SKIES GIVING WAY TO MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES ACROSS DOWNEAST AREAS BY THIS AFTERNOON AS HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS EAST. HIGHS TODAY WILL BE MUCH COOLER THAN YESTERDAY. EXPECT LOW TO MID 70S ACROSS THE NORTH AND UPPER 70S ACROSS CENTRAL AND DOWNEAST ALONG WITH LESS HUMID CONDITIONS. HIGH PRESSURE WILL CONTINUE TO BUILD EAST TONIGHT. EXPECT MAINLY CLEAR SKIES ACROSS THE REGION. LOW TEMPERATURES TONIGHT WILL RANGE FROM THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER 50S ACROSS THE NORTH AND LOW TO MID 50S ACROSS CENTRAL AN DOWNEAST. && .SHORT TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/... MAINE WILL BE ON THE SOUTHERN PERIPHERY OF AN UPPER TROUGH ACROSS QUEBEC. SPOKES OF ENERGY MOVING AROUND THE BASE OF THE TROUGH WILL BRING SOME CLOUDS AND PERHAPS LIGHT SHOWERS TO THE SAINT JOHN RIVER VALLEY ON SATURDAY. TEMPERATURES WILL BE NEAR OR SLIGHTLY ABOVE NORMAL. && .LONG TERM /SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY/... A MOIST SOUTHWEST FLOW ALOFT EARLY NEXT WEEK WILL LEAD TO SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ON SUNDAY AND MONDAY. A DRY SLOT OF AIR WRAPS INTO NEW ENGLAND ON TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY FOR LESS CONVECTION. && .AVIATION /12Z THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY/... NEAR TERM: VFR TODAY...EXPECT IFR/MFVF AT KBHB THIS MORNING. CONDITIONS WILL IMPROVE THE VFR THIS AFTERNOON. ALL TERMINALS WILL BE VFR TONIGHT. SHORT TERM: VFR CIGS AND VSBYS ARE FORECAST AT ALL TAF SITES. && .MARINE... NEAR TERM: WINDS/SEAS WILL BE BELOW SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY LEVELS THROUGH TONIGHT. SEAS ARE RUNNING 3 TO 4 FT ON THE COASTAL WATERS AND 2 TO 3 FT ON THE INTRA-COASTAL WATERS THIS MORNING...AND WILL SLOWLY SUBSIDE TODAY. THE VISIBILITY WILL BE REDUCED TO 1 TO 3 NM IN PATCHY FOG AND SHOWERS TODAY. SHORT TERM: NO HEADLINES ARE EXPECTED DURING THIS TIME FRAME. && .CAR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... ME...NONE. MARINE...NONE. && $$ NEAR TERM...CB/DUDA SHORT TERM...OKULSKI LONG TERM...OKULSKI AVIATION...CB/DUDA/OKULSKI MARINE...CB/DUDA/OKULSKI

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