Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Caribou, ME

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000 FXUS61 KCAR 311848 AFDCAR AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CARIBOU ME 248 PM EDT THU JUL 31 2014 .SYNOPSIS...
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A SHORTWAVE MOVING THROUGH THIS EVENING WILL CONTINUE NORTH OF THE AREA TONIGHT. HIGH PRESSURE WILL REMAIN TO OUR SOUTHEAST FRIDAY AND SATURDAY AS AN UPPER LEVEL LOW OVER EASTERN CANADA LIFTS AWAY TO THE NORTHEAST.
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&& .NEAR TERM /THROUGH FRIDAY/...
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SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE NORTH AND WEST WILL DISSIPATE THIS EVENING AS A SHORTWAVE LIFTING NORTH OF THE STATE CONTINUES UP INTO QUEBEC. THIS WILL GIVE WAY TO A CLEAR TO PARTLY CLOUDY NIGHT WITH SOME PATCHY FOG LATE. FRIDAY WILL BE SUNNY TO PARTLY CLOUDY. SOME FOG MAY PERSIST ALONG COASTAL AREAS DUE TO MOISTURE MOVING NORTH OVER THE COLDER WATERS. HUMID AIR CONTINUING TO ADVECT INTO THE AREA ON A SOUTHWESTERLY BREEZE COMBINED WITH SOME LOWER HEIGHTS FROM UPPER LEVEL LOW PRESSURE TO OUR NORTHWEST MAY BE ENOUGH TO SPAWN A FEW THUNDERSHOWERS ACROSS CENTRAL AND NORTHERN AREAS FRIDAY AFTERNOON. OTHERWISE, MOST OF THE DAY WILL BE RAIN FREE. TEMPS TONIGHT AND FRIDAY ARE EXPECTED TO BE NEAR SEASONAL NORMS FOR THE FIRST OF AUGUST.
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&& .SHORT TERM /FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY/...
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SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE WILL REMAIN TO OUR EAST THROUGH THE PERIOD. A WEAK AND RATHER MOIST SOUTHWEST FLOW AROUND THE HIGH COMBINED WITH WEAK UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCES MOVING THROUGH THE FLOW WILL RESULT IN THE CHANCE FOR AN AFTERNOON SHOWER OR THUNDERSTORM ESPECIALLY ACROSS WESTERN AREAS BOTH SATURDAY AND SUNDAY. OTHERWISE EXPECT PARTLY SUNNY SKIES DURING THE DAY TIME HOURS AND PARTLY TO MOSTLY CLOUDY SKIES AT NIGHT THROUGH THE PERIOD. THERE COULD ALSO BE SOME PATCHY FOG DEVELOPING AT NIGHT ESPECIALLY ACROSS DOWNEAST AREAS. HIGHS BOTH FRIDAY AND SATURDAY WILL BE IN THE MID 70S TO NEAR 80 NORTH EXCEPT ONLY NEAR 70 ALONG THE COAST. NIGHT TIME LOWS WILL BE IN THE UPPER 50S TO NEAR 60.
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&& .LONG TERM /SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY/...
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NORTHERN MAINE WILL BE UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF A BROAD UPPER LEVEL TROUGH TO START NEXT WEEK. DISTURBANCES MOVING THROUGH THE FLOW WILL BRING MAINLY DIURNAL SHOWERS TO THE REGION MONDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY. THE UPPER TROUGH AMPLIFIES ACROSS THE MARITIMES AND EASTERN NEW ENGLAND BY MID WEEK...HOWEVER DRIER AIR MOVES INTO THE REGION. TEMPERATURES WILL BE AT OR SLIGHTLY BELOW SEASONAL NORMS FOR EARLY AUGUST.
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&& .AVIATION /18Z THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
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NEAR TERM: MAINLY VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TONIGHT AND FRIDAY. COASTAL FOG MAY STRAY INTO BAR HARBOR AT TIMES LOWERING CONDITIONS TO IFR. PATCHY FOG LATE TONIGHT AND EARLY FRIDAY MORNING MAY ALSO LOWER SOME INLAND SITES TO IFR FOR A FEW HOURS. SHORT TERM: GENERALLY VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED EXCEPT MVFR/IFR IS POSSIBLE IN LATE NIGHT AND EARLY MORNING FOG MAINLY DOWNEAST TERMINALS.
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&& .MARINE...
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NEAR TERM: WINDS AND SEAS ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN BELOW SCA TODAY AND TONIGHT. FOG WILL LIKELY CONTINUE TO REDUCE VISIBILITIES. SHORT TERM: WINDS/SEAS SHOULD REMAIN BELOW SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY LEVELS THROUGH THE PERIOD. VISIBILITY WILL BE REDUCED IN PATCHY NIGHT TIME AND EARLY MORNING FOG.
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&& .CAR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... ME...NONE. MARINE...NONE. && $$ NEAR TERM...BLOOMER SHORT TERM...DUDA LONG TERM...OKULSKI AVIATION...BLOOMER/DUDA MARINE...BLOOMER/DUDA

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