Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Caribou, ME

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000 FXUS61 KCAR 290117 AFDCAR AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CARIBOU ME 917 PM EDT SAT MAR 28 2015 .SYNOPSIS... LOW PRESSURE WILL TRACK SOUTH OF THE GULF OF MAINE INTO THE OPEN ATLANTIC THIS EVENING. CANADIAN HIGH PRESSURE WILL APPROACH OVERNIGHT AND CROSS THE REGION SUNDAY. LOW PRESSURE FROM CENTRAL CANADA WILL MOVE EAST ON MONDAY TO A POSITION JUST NORTH OF THE REGION MONDAY NIGHT. && .NEAR TERM /THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT/...
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915 PM UPDATE. THE LAST OF THE LIGHT SNOW IS MOVING OUT OF SE WASHINGTON COUNTY. SKY CON CONTINUE TO CLEAR ACROSS NORTH AND CNTRL MAINE. PREVIOUS FORECAST REMAINS ON TRACK...MINOR ADJUSTMENTS TO SKYCON AND HRLYT TEMPS. THE PSN OF THE WSW TO ENE SFC HIGH RIDGE AXIS OVR NRN/WRN PTNS BY 12Z SUN SHOULD ALLOW FOR SHALLOW DECOUPLING OF SFC WINDS AND LOWER OVRNGT LOWS OVR BROAD RVR VLYS OF NRN AND CNTRL PTNS OF THE FA VERY LATE TNGT. OTHERWISE...THE REST OF FA WILL MAINTAIN A LIGHT N TO NW BREEZE...KEEPING TEMPS UP SOMEWHAT THEN WHAT COULD OCCUR IF WINDS WERE NEAR CALM ACROSS THE ENTIRE REGION. AFT A CHILLY START...SUN SHOULD BE SUNNY WITH TEMPS RECOVERING AT LEAST SEVERAL DEG F WARMER THAN TDY. A SW BREEZE AND INCREASING CLDNSS LATE AHEAD OF LOW PRES ADVCG E FROM CNTRL CAN SHOULD KEEP OVRNGT TEMPS/LOW TEMPS SIG MILDER SUN NGT THEN TNGT.
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&& .SHORT TERM /MONDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/... A WEAK AREA OF LOW PRESSURE WILL TRACK ACROSS SOUTHERN QUEBEC ON MONDAY PUSHING A COLD FRONT ACROSS THE REGION MONDAY NIGHT. EXPECT MAINLY CLOUDY SKIES ON MONDAY WITH A CHANCE OF SNOW AND RAIN SHOWERS. SOME LINGERING SNOW AND RAIN SHOWERS WILL CONTINUE ACROSS NORTHERN AREAS INTO MONDAY EVENING FOLLOWED BY PARTIAL CLEARING OVERNIGHT. A SECONDARY COLD FRONT WILL CROSS THE REGION TUESDAY. EXPECT PARTLY SUNNY SKIES ACROSS THE NORTH AND MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES DOWN EAST ON TUESDAY. HIGH TEMPERATURES BOTH MONDAY AND TUESDAY WILL BE IN THE MID TO UPPER 30S NORTH AND LOW TO MID 40S DOWN EAST. && .LONG TERM /TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY/... HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD EAST TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY. A WARM FRONT WILL LIFT ACROSS THE AREA LATER THURSDAY FOLLOWED BY A COLD FRONT LATER THURSDAY NIGHT AND INTO FRIDAY. EXPECT A CHANCE OF RAIN OR SNOW SHOWERS LATER THURSDAY NIGHT AND INTO FRIDAY. ANOTHER LOW MAY AFFECT THE AREA BY NEXT SATURDAY. && .AVIATION /01Z SUNDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/... NEAR TERM: VFR XPCTD ALL TAF SITES THRU THE ENTIRE NEAR TERM... WITH BRIEF MVFR CLGS/VSBYS POSSIBLE AT KBHB TIL ABOUT 6 PM THIS EVE. SHORT TERM: MVFR CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE MONDAY IN RAIN/SNOW SHOWERS. VFR IS EXPECTED TUESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY. && .MARINE... NEAR TERM: WILL CONT WITH CURRENT SCA WITH THE END TM AT 2 PM SUN UNCHGD FROM THE LAST UPDATE. WV HTS HAVE SUBSIDED A LITTLE FROM LATE THIS MORN...SO WE WERE ABLE TO GO CLOSER TO WW3 WV GUIDANCE FOR TNGT AND CONT THRU SUN NGT. A PD OF LGT FZSPY CAN BE XPCTD LATE TNGT AND ERLY SUN MORN OVR MZS050 AND MZ052. SHORT TERM: WIND/SEAS COULD REACH SMALL CRAFT LEVELS MONDAY INTO TUESDAY. WINDS/SEAS SHOULD THEN REMAIN BELOW SMALL CRAFT LEVELS THROUGH MID WEEK. && .CAR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... ME...NONE. MARINE...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 2 PM EDT SUNDAY FOR ANZ050>052. && $$ NEAR TERM...NORTON SHORT TERM...DUDA LONG TERM...DUDA AVIATION...NORTON/DUDA MARINE...NORTON/DUDA

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