Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Caribou, ME

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000 FXUS61 KCAR 231600 AFDCAR Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Caribou ME 1200 PM EDT TUE AUG 23 2016 .SYNOPSIS... High pressure will build along the east coast today. A weak weather disturbance will slide across the north this afternoon. High pressure will move east of the region later Wednesday. A cold front will approach Thursday night, then cross the region Friday. && .NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
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Noon Update...Fair weather cumulus have developed across western and northern portions of the CWA as of midday. Of more significance, an area of clouds approaching northern Maine from Quebec associated with a shortwave. There are showers showing up back to the west in Canada per the latest sfc observations and the Canadian Radars. Expect clouds to gain the upper hand across northern and western portions of the forecast area over the next few hours with the chance of a shower or two, mainly north of a Clayton lake-Presque Isle line. Only minor updates based on the above. Previous discussion... A large area of high pressure will build to our southwest today bringing mostly sunny skies to start the day. A weak upper level disturbance sliding down from central Canada, with some moisture fed into it on the back side of the high, will bring some increasing clouds across the north this afternoon. There may be a stray shower over far northern areas late this afternoon. Otherwise, dry weather is expected across the region today. Some moisture will linger over the north tonight bringing partly cloudy skies while Downeast, closer to the high, will have clear skies.
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&& .SHORT TERM /WEDNESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/... Surface high pressure will move east of the region later Wednesday through Wednesday night. An upper level disturbance will track north of Maine Wednesday. Expect partly sunny skies along with the slight chance of an afternoon shower across northern areas Wednesday, with mostly sunny skies across the remainder of the forecast area. Mostly clear skies are expected across the region Wednesday night. A cold front will move east across Quebec province Thursday. Expect increasing clouds with a chance of showers/thunderstorms across northern portions of the forecast area Thursday. After a mostly sunny morning, expect partly sunny skies along with the slight chance of an afternoon shower/thunderstorm Downeast Thursday. The cold front will approach the region Thursday night with a chance of showers/thunderstorms across the forecast area. Temperatures will be at above normal levels Wednesday/Thursday. && .LONG TERM /THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY/... The cold front will cross the region Friday with a chance of showers/thunderstorms. High pressure will cross the region Saturday, then move east Sunday. A disturbance approaching from the west could bring a chance of showers later Sunday. The disturbance then crosses the region Monday with a chance of showers. Temperatures will be at above normal levels Friday. Near normal level temperatures are expected Saturday through Monday. && .AVIATION /16Z TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/... NEAR TERM: VFR conditions are expected across the area today and tonight. SHORT TERM: VFR conditions are expected across the region Wednesday through early Thursday, MVFR conditions could then begin to develop later Thursday. Variable conditions, generally ranging from VFR to IFR, will occur with showers and thunderstorms Thursday night into Friday. Conditions will improve Friday night. VFR conditions are expected Saturday. && .MARINE...
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NEAR TERM: the wind and seas are expected to be below SCA through tonight. SHORT TERM: Winds/seas are generally expected to remain below small craft advisory levels Wednesday through Thursday night, though seas could begin to approach small craft advisory levels later Thursday night. Visibilities could be reduced in showers/thunderstorms Thursday night.
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&& .CAR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... ME...None. MARINE...None. && $$ Near Term...Bloomer/CB Short Term...Norcross Long Term...Norcross Aviation...Bloomer/CB/Norcross Marine...Bloomer/CB/Norcross

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