Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Caribou, ME

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000 FXUS61 KCAR 260239 AFDCAR AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CARIBOU ME 1039 PM EDT MON AUG 25 2014 .SYNOPSIS... HIGH PRESSURE WILL REMAIN OVER SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND THROUGH TUESDAY. A COLD FRONT WILL CROSS THE REGION WEDNESDAY AND BE FOLLOWED BY HIGH PRESSURE AT THE END OF THE WEEK. && .NEAR TERM /THROUGH TUESDAY/... UPDATE... HIGH PRESSURE WILL BRING MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA OVERNIGHT. HAVE INCLUDED PATCHY FOG OVERNIGHT ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA AND COASTAL WATERS. THE FOG COULD BE MORE EXTENSIVE ACROSS DOWNEAST AREAS. OVERNIGHT LOW TEMPERATURES WILL RANGE FROM THE MID TO UPPER 50S NORTH...TO THE UPPER 50S TO AROUND 60 DOWNEAST. HAVE ALSO UPDATED THE FORECAST TO ADJUST FOR CURRENT CONDITIONS ALONG WITH OVERNIGHT TEMPERATURES AND CLOUD COVER. PREVIOUS DISCUSSION... STRONG HIGH PRESSURE WILL MOVE SOUTHEAST OF THE FORECAST AREA TUESDAY. EXPECT THIS SYSTEM TO COMPLETELY DOMINATE WEATHER THROUGH TOMORROW. WITH LIGHT WINDS EXPECTED PREFER TO USE MOSG25 TUESDAY. FOR MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE HAVE USED HIRESWARMBC. THE ALLBLEND WAS USED FOR RELATIVE HUMIDITY. && .SHORT TERM /TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY/... A COLD FRONT WILL SWEEP ACROSS THE REGION ON WEDNESDAY BRINGING A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. GUSTY WINDS WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THESE STORMS. MOISTURE AHEAD OF THE FRONT IS LIMITED AND QPF AMOUNTS ARE EXPECTED TO BE LESS THAN .25" AT MOST LOCATIONS. MUCH COOLER AIR FILTERS IN THE REGION ON THURSDAY WITH BRISK NORTHWEST WINDS. HIGH TEMPERATURES WILL BE CLOSE TO 20 DEGREES BELOW TUESDAY VALUES. && .LONG TERM /THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY/... A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE EAST COAST WILL BRING DRY CONDITIONS TO OUR FCST AREA THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT. HOWEVER CONDITIONS WILL BECOME MORE UNSETTLED AS A SERIES OF SHORTWAVES/FRONTS ARE EXPECTED TO TRACK EWD ACROSS NEW ENGLAND FRIDAY THROUGH MONDAY. TEMPS WILL BE COOLER WITH HIGHS AND LOWS EXPECTED TO BE NEAR OR BELOW NORMAL. && .AVIATION /02Z TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/... NEAR TERM: VARIABLE CONDITIONS COULD OCCUR WITH ANY PATCHY FOG OVERNIGHT. OTHERWISE...VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED OVERNIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY. SHORT TERM: MVFR CONDITIONS WILL BE POSSIBLE AT TAF SITES ON WEDNESDAY DUE TO SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. && .MARINE... NEAR TERM: WINDS/SEAS WILL REMAIN BELOW SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY LEVELS OVERNIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY. VISIBILITIES COULD BE REDUCED IN PATCHY FOG OVERNIGHT INTO TUESDAY MORNING. DO NOT EXPECT WAVE SYSTEMS FROM CRISTOBAL TO ARRIVE UNTIL LATE WEDNESDAY OR EARLY THURSDAY. SHORT TERM: THE TRACK OF HURRICANE CRISTOBAL WELL OFF THE MAINE COAST WILL GENERATE SWELLS OF UP TO 7 FEET ON THURSDAY. && .CLIMATE... THE RECORD HIGH TEMPERATURE FOR AUGUST 26TH IN CARIBOU IS 89 DEGREES SET IN 2012. && .CAR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... ME...NONE. MARINE...NONE. && $$ NEAR TERM...NORCROSS/MIGNONE SHORT TERM...OKULSKI LONG TERM...RB AVIATION...NORCROSS/OKULSKI MARINE...NORCROSS/MIGNONE/OKULSKI CLIMATE...RB

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