-- Discussion containing changed information from previous version are highlighted. --
000
FXUS61 KCAR 140952
AFDCAR

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CARIBOU ME
552 AM EDT MON APR 14 2014

.SYNOPSIS...
A WARM FRONT WILL LIFT NORTH ACROSS THE REGION THIS MORNING. LOW
PRESSURE WILL TRACK TO OUR WEST TODAY AND TONIGHT. A STRONG COLD
FRONT WILL APPROACH LATER TUESDAY THEN CROSS THE REGION TUESDAY
NIGHT.
&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
LINGERING SHOWERS WILL MOVE AWAY TO THE EAST EARLY THIS MORNING.
A WARM FRONT WILL LIFT NORTH ACROSS THE REGION THIS MORNING. LOW
PRESSURE TO OUR WEST COMBINED WITH HIGH PRESSURE TO THE SOUTHEAST
WILL BRING A BREEZY DAY TODAY AS MUCH WARMER AIR LIFTS NORTH
ACROSS THE AREA. SKIES WILL BECOME MOSTLY SUNNY DOWNEAST AND
PARTLY SUNNY ELSEWHERE. INITIALLY VERY WARM AIR WILL MOVE IN
ALOFT. THE SUNSHINE WILL WARM THE AIR NEAR THE SURFACE WHICH,
COMBINED WITH THE WIND, WILL ALLOW TEMPS TO RISE TO THE 60S ACROSS
THE AREA THIS AFTERNOON. THIS WILL GIVE WAY TO A BREEZY AND WARM
NIGHT TONIGHT WITH LOWS NEAR 50 OVER THE AREA. THE WARM MOIST AIR
OVER THE COLDER GROUND WILL LIKELY RESULT IN SOME FOG OVERNIGHT,
ESPECIALLY ACROSS HIGHER ELEVATIONS. MOISTURE AHEAD OF A COLD
FRONT PUSHING INTO THE SAINT LAWRENCE VALLEY MAY BRING SOME
SHOWERS TO WESTERN AND NORTHERN AREAS OVERNIGHT. THIS FRONT WILL
STALL AHEAD OF ANOTHER WAVE OF LOW PRESSURE MOVING UP FROM THE
APPALACHIANS.

&&

.SHORT TERM /TUESDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
A SLOW MOVING COLD FRONT WILL MOVE EAST ACROSS QUEBEC PROVINCE
TUESDAY...APPROACHING WESTERN MAINE LATER TUESDAY. RAIN CHANCES
WILL INCREASE ACROSS THE REGION LATER TUESDAY. THE COLD FRONT WILL
CROSS THE FORECAST AREA TUESDAY NIGHT WITH RAIN IN ADVANCE OF THE
FRONT. A FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE ENTIRE FORECAST
AREA THROUGH TUESDAY INTO WEDNESDAY EVENING DUE TO AN INCREASED
ICE JAM FLOOD THREAT DUE TO RISING RIVER LEVELS FROM RAIN AND SNOW
MELT. GUSTY SOUTH WINDS WILL ALSO OCCUR IN ADVANCE OF THE COLD
FRONT TUESDAY INTO TUESDAY NIGHT. PRECIPITATION CHANCES WILL
THEN BEGIN TO DIMINISH LATER TUESDAY NIGHT IN THE WAKE OF THE COLD
FRONT. COLDER AIR IN THE WAKE OF THE FRONT COULD ALLOW THE
PRECIPITATION TO MIX WITH SNOW OR CHANGE TO SNOW BEFORE ENDING
THOUGH LITTLE OR NO ACCUMULATION IS EXPECTED. A CHANCE OF
RAIN/SNOW SHOWERS COULD PERSIST EARLY WEDNESDAY. CLOUD COVER WILL
THEN DECREASE WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON WITH HIGH PRESSURE BUILDING
TOWARD THE REGION. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD ACROSS THE REGION
WEDNESDAY NIGHT. TEMPERATURES WILL BE AT ABOVE NORMAL LEVELS
TUESDAY...WITH BELOW NORMAL LEVEL TEMPERATURES WEDNESDAY.

&&

.LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY/...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL CROSS THE REGION THURSDAY THROUGH FRIDAY THEN
MOVE EAST SATURDAY. GENERALLY PARTLY CLOUDY/MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES ARE
EXPECTED ACROSS THE REGION THURSDAY INTO FRIDAY. CLOUD COVER WILL
THEN INCREASE SATURDAY IN ADVANCE OF APPROACHING LOW PRESSURE. THE
LOW COULD BRING A CHANCE OF RAIN/SNOW TO THE FORECAST AREA
SATURDAY NIGHT INTO SUNDAY DEPENDENT ON THE EVENTUAL TRACK OF THE
LOW. TEMPERATURES WILL BE AT BELOW NORMAL LEVELS THURSDAY...WITH
NEAR NORMAL LEVEL TEMPERATURES FRIDAY THROUGH SUNDAY.

&&

.AVIATION /10Z MONDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/...
NEAR TERM: IFR CONDITIONS THIS MORNING WILL IMPROVE TO MVFR THEN
VFR IN PARTIAL SUNSHINE BY MIDDAY. VFR CONDITIONS THIS EVENING MAY
LOWER TO MVFR OR IFR OVERNIGHT IN PATCHY FOG.

SHORT TERM: MVFR/IFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE REGION EARLY
TUESDAY...LOWERING TO IFR/LIFR LEVELS LATER TUESDAY WHICH WILL
THEN PERSIST INTO TUESDAY NIGHT. GUSTY SOUTH WINDS ARE EXPECTED
ACROSS THE REGION TUESDAY INTO TUESDAY NIGHT IN ADVANCE OF THE
SLOW MOVING COLD FRONT. MVFR/IFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED EARLY
WEDNESDAY...WITH CONDITIONS IMPROVING TO VFR LEVELS DURING THE
AFTERNOON. VFR CONDITIONS ARE THEN EXPECTED TO PERSIST WEDNESDAY
NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY.

&&

.MARINE...
NEAR TERM: AN SCA WILL BE UP TODAY FOR SOUTH WINDS GUSTING UP TO
30 KT. THE SCA WILL CONTINUE TONIGHT. FOG WILL LIKELY REDUCE
VISIBILITIES ON THE WATERS LATER TODAY AND TONIGHT.

SHORT TERM: A GALE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE WATERS TUESDAY
THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT FOR WIND GUSTS WHICH COULD REACH GALE
LEVELS. SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY CONDITIONS ARE THEN EXPECTED WEDNESDAY
INTO THURSDAY. VISIBILITIES WILL BE REDUCED IN RAIN AND FOG
TUESDAY INTO EARLY WEDNESDAY.

&&

.HYDROLOGY...
THE FLOOD WATCH WILL CONTINUE THROUGH WEDNESDAY. RAIN OVERNIGHT
ADDED WATER TO THE CENTRAL AND NORTHERN RIVER BASINS. AS OF
EARLY THIS MORNING ALL RIVERS CONTINUE TO SHOW RISES BUT STILL
REMAIN BELOW FLOOD STAGE. A WARM MOIST WIND TODAY AND AGAIN
TUESDAY WILL RESULT IN EXTENSIVE MELTING CAUSING RIVERS TO
CONTINUE TO RISE. MODERATE TO HEAVY RAIN WILL OCCUR ACROSS THE
REGION LATER TUESDAY INTO TUESDAY NIGHT IN ADVANCE OF THE SLOW
MOVING COLD FRONT ALONG WITH STILL MILD TEMPERATURES AND SNOW
MELT. THE THREAT OF ICE JAM FLOODING WILL INCREASE TUESDAY WITH
STILL RISING RIVER LEVELS. THE THREAT OF ICE JAM FLOODING WILL
THEN PERSIST TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY WHILE RIVER LEVELS
CONTINUE TO RISE AND ICE MOVEMENT CONTINUES. THE RAPIDLY MELTING
SNOW MAY ALSO CAUSE SOME FLOODING OF LOW LYING AREAS AND ROADWAYS.

&&

.CAR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...FLOOD WATCH THROUGH WEDNESDAY EVENING FOR MEZ001>006-010-011-
     015>017-029>032.
MARINE...GALE WATCH FROM TUESDAY MORNING THROUGH LATE TUESDAY NIGHT FOR
     ANZ050>052.
     SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 8 AM EDT TUESDAY FOR ANZ050>052.

&&

$$
NEAR TERM...BLOOMER
SHORT TERM...NORCROSS
LONG TERM...NORCROSS
AVIATION...BLOOMER/NORCROSS
MARINE...BLOOMER/NORCROSS
HYDROLOGY...BLOOMER