Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Caribou, ME

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000 FXUS61 KCAR 240214 AFDCAR AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CARIBOU ME 1014 PM EDT WED JUL 23 2014 .SYNOPSIS... A STRONG COLD FRONT WILL PUSH OFFSHORE OVERNIGHT. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD INTO THE AREA ON THURSDAY THEN SLIDE SOUTH OF THE REGION FRIDAY INTO FRIDAY NIGHT. THE HIGH WILL REMAIN TO OUR SOUTH ON SATURDAY. && .NEAR TERM /THROUGH THURSDAY/... 950 PM UPDATE: ADJUSTMENTS WERE MADE TO FCST CLD CVR OVRNGT INTO THU TO BETTER CORRELATE CLD CVR OVR THE SRN HLF OF THE FA WHERE SHWRS WILL PERSIST LONGEST INTO THE DAY THU. WE OPTD TO KEEP A MENTION OF ISOLD TSTMS WITH THE LIKELY POP AREA OVR THE SRN PTN OF THE FA AND COASTAL WATERS INTO THE REST OF THE OVRNGT WITH THE POSSIBILITY OF ELEVATED CAPE PERSISTING. OTHERWISE...FCST HRLY TEMPS WERE ADJUSTED OVRNGT THRU BASED ON MINOR ADJUSTMENTS TO FCST LOWS LATE TNGT AND HI TEMPS THU AND OBSVD 8-9 PM TEMPS. PREV DISC: CONDITIONS WILL IMPROVE AFTER MIDNIGHT AS THE ATMOSPHERE STABILIZES. HOWEVER SHOWERS WILL LINGER DOWNEAST THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING. BEHIND THE FRONT...WINDS WILL TURN OUT OF THE NORTHWEST WHICH WILL DRAW COOLER AND DRIER AIR ACROSS MOST OF MAINE TOMORROW. && .SHORT TERM /THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY/... AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH WILL REMAIN WELL TO OUR NORTH ACROSS EASTERN CANADA THURSDAY NIGHT AND FRIDAY AS HIGH PRESSURE ON THE SURFACE PUSHES IN FROM THE WEST. THIS WILL BRING MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES THURSDAY NIGHT FOLLOWED BY A MOSTLY SUNNY AND SEASONABLE DAY ON FRIDAY. FRIDAY NIGHT WILL BE CLEAR TO PARTLY CLOUDY. SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE TO OUR SOUTH ON SATURDAY WILL BRING A BREEZY DAY WITH A MOSTLY SUNNY SKY AND SEASONABLE TEMPS. A BIT OF MOISTURE SLIDING OVER THE TOP OF THE SURFACE HIGH AND INFILTRATING THE REGION MAY BRING PATCHY CLOUDS LATE IN THE DAY WITH JUST A SMALL CHANCE OF A STRAY SHOWER IN FAR NORTHWESTERN AREAS. && .LONG TERM /SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY/... LOADED EXTENDED SUPERBLEND WITHOUT SIGNIFICANT CHANGES. LARGE AREA OF LOW PRESSURE OVER GREAT LAKES WITH WEAK COLD FRONT TRAILING SOUTHWEST SLIDES EAST THROUGH SUNDAY AND ESTABLISHES OVER NEW ENGLAND FROM MONDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY. ANTICIPATE GENERALLY CLOUDY SKIES WITH SHOWERS AND CHANCE OF DIURNAL THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH THE PERIOD. TEMPS SHOULD REMAIN NEAR NORMAL. && .AVIATION /02Z THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY/... NEAR TERM: VFR CONDITIONS SHOULD PREVAIL ACROSS THE FCST AREA THROUGH THURSDAY. HOWEVER MVFR/IFR CIGS AND VSBYS SHOULD ACCOMPANY SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ASSOCIATED WITH A FRONTAL PASSAGE TONIGHT. FOG NEAR THE COAST IS POSSIBLE LATE TONIGHT AND THURSDAY MORNING AS WELL WITH IFR/LIFR VSBYS AND CIGS. SHORT TERM: VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE AREA THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY. && .MARINE... NEAR TERM:A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE ACROSS THE COASTAL WATERS THIS EVENING...CAUSING SOUTHWEST WINDS TO VEER OUT OF THE NORTHEAST AFTER MIDNIGHT. SHOWERS AND STORMS WILL AFFECT THE AREA THIS EVENING AS THE FRONT MOVES THROUGH. LOW CLOUDS AND FOG MIGHT THEN DEVELOP ACROSS THE COASTAL WATERS AFTER MIDNIGHT TONIGHT WITH LOW VSBYS POSSIBLE THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING. WINDS AND WAVES SHOULD STAY BELOW SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY CRITERIA. SHORT TERM: WINDS MAY APPROACH 20 KT IN GUSTS FROM THE SOUTHWEST ON SATURDAY. OTHERWISE, WINDS AND SEAS ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN BELOW SCA THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY. && .CAR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... ME...NONE. MARINE...NONE. && $$ NEAR TERM...VJN SHORT TERM...BLOOMER LONG TERM...BLOOMER AVIATION...VJN/BLOOMER MARINE...VJN/BLOOMER

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