Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Caribou, ME

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000 FXUS61 KCAR 221003 AFDCAR Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Caribou ME 603 AM EDT MON AUG 22 2016 .SYNOPSIS... A cold front will cross the area this morning then move east into the Maritimes this afternoon. High pressure will build across the region Tuesday into Wednesday. && .NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
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6 AM UPDATE...Rain is slowly pushing east, and seems to be just a bit slowed down due to weak secondary wave of low pressure along the front across the Downeast region. Extended rain just a bit through midday and added mention of heavy rain at times through the morning. The cold front will be pushing into eastern areas early this morning bringing rain to the region to start the day. Some of the rain this morning may be heavy at times, especially across east central areas where support from a weak secondary frontal low may enhance lift a bit. The front will continue east into the Maritimes by late this morning. Clearing will be quick to push into the Downeast area but cold pooling aloft and some moisture hanging back will result in slow clearing over the north. Skies should be mostly clear Downeast and partly cloudy across the north by the end of the day. Tonight will then turn out mostly clear across the area as high pressure builds southwest of our region and the upper level trough slides east into the Maritimes.
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&& .SHORT TERM /TUESDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/... Surface high pressure will build across the region Tuesday through Wednesday. An upper level disturbance will track north of Maine later Tuesday through Tuesday night. The upper level disturbance will bring increasing clouds along with a slight chance of afternoon showers to northern areas Tuesday, with mostly sunny skies Downeast. A slight chance of showers could persist across northern areas early Tuesday night, with decreasing clouds overnight. Mostly clear skies will occur Downeast Tuesday night. Partly cloudy/mostly clear skies are expected across northern areas Wednesday through Wednesday night, with mostly clear skies across the remainder of the forecast area. Temperatures will be at near normal levels Tuesday, with above normal level temperatures Wednesday. && .LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY/... High pressure will move east of the region Thursday, while a cold front moves across Quebec province. Partly sunny skies along with a chance of afternoon showers will occur across northern areas Thursday, with mostly/partly sunny skies across the remainder of the forecast area. The cold front will cross the region Thursday night through Friday with a chance of showers and thunderstorms. High pressure then builds across the region Saturday through Sunday with partly to mostly sunny skies. Temperatures will be at above normal levels Thursday/Friday, with near normal level temperatures Saturday/Sunday. && .AVIATION /10Z MONDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/... NEAR TERM: IFR Conditions early today will improve to MVFR then VFR, first across Downeast areas then across the north by midday. VFR conditions are expected tonight in mostly clear skies. SHORT TERM: Generally expect VFR conditions across the region Tuesday through Thursday, though occasional MVFR conditions are possible across northern areas Thursday afternoon. Variable conditions, generally ranging from VFR to IFR, are expected across the region Thursday night into Friday with showers and thunderstorms. && .MARINE... NEAR TERM: A few wind gusts may approach 20-25 kt over the offshore waters in northwest winds following the cold frontal passage this afternoon into early tonight. Otherwise, winds and seas are expected to be below SCA today and tonight. SHORT TERM: Winds/seas are expected to remain below small craft advisory levels Tuesday through Wednesday night. && .CAR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... ME...None. MARINE...None. && $$ Near Term...Bloomer Short Term...Norcross Long Term...Norcross Aviation...Bloomer/Norcross Marine...Bloomer/Norcross is the U.S. government's official web portal to all federal, state and local government web resources and services.