Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Caribou, ME-- Highlight Changed Discussion --
-- Discussion containing changed information from previous version are highlighted. --
FXUS61 KCAR 221003
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Caribou ME
603 AM EDT MON AUG 22 2016
A cold front will cross the area this morning then move east into
the Maritimes this afternoon. High pressure will build across the
region Tuesday into Wednesday.
.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
-- Changed Discussion --6 AM UPDATE...Rain is slowly pushing east, and seems to be just a
bit slowed down due to weak secondary wave of low pressure along
the front across the Downeast region. Extended rain just a bit
through midday and added mention of heavy rain at times through
The cold front will be pushing into eastern areas early this
morning bringing rain to the region to start the day. Some of the
rain this morning may be heavy at times, especially across east
central areas where support from a weak secondary frontal low may
enhance lift a bit. The front will continue east into the
Maritimes by late this morning. Clearing will be quick to push
into the Downeast area but cold pooling aloft and some moisture
hanging back will result in slow clearing over the north. Skies
should be mostly clear Downeast and partly cloudy across the north
by the end of the day. Tonight will then turn out mostly clear
across the area as high pressure builds southwest of our region
and the upper level trough slides east into the Maritimes.
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.SHORT TERM /TUESDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
Surface high pressure will build across the region Tuesday
through Wednesday. An upper level disturbance will track north of
Maine later Tuesday through Tuesday night. The upper level
disturbance will bring increasing clouds along with a slight
chance of afternoon showers to northern areas Tuesday, with mostly
sunny skies Downeast. A slight chance of showers could persist
across northern areas early Tuesday night, with decreasing clouds
overnight. Mostly clear skies will occur Downeast Tuesday night.
Partly cloudy/mostly clear skies are expected across northern
areas Wednesday through Wednesday night, with mostly clear skies
across the remainder of the forecast area. Temperatures will be at
near normal levels Tuesday, with above normal level temperatures
.LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY/...
High pressure will move east of the region Thursday, while a cold
front moves across Quebec province. Partly sunny skies along with
a chance of afternoon showers will occur across northern areas
Thursday, with mostly/partly sunny skies across the remainder of
the forecast area. The cold front will cross the region Thursday
night through Friday with a chance of showers and thunderstorms.
High pressure then builds across the region Saturday through
Sunday with partly to mostly sunny skies. Temperatures will be at
above normal levels Thursday/Friday, with near normal level
.AVIATION /10Z MONDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/...
NEAR TERM: IFR Conditions early today will improve to MVFR then
VFR, first across Downeast areas then across the north by midday.
VFR conditions are expected tonight in mostly clear skies.
SHORT TERM: Generally expect VFR conditions across the region
Tuesday through Thursday, though occasional MVFR conditions are
possible across northern areas Thursday afternoon. Variable
conditions, generally ranging from VFR to IFR, are expected
across the region Thursday night into Friday with showers and
NEAR TERM: A few wind gusts may approach 20-25 kt over the
offshore waters in northwest winds following the cold frontal
passage this afternoon into early tonight. Otherwise, winds and
seas are expected to be below SCA today and tonight.
SHORT TERM: Winds/seas are expected to remain below small craft
advisory levels Tuesday through Wednesday night.