Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Caribou, ME

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FXUS61 KCAR 301632
AFDCAR

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CARIBOU ME
1232 PM EDT SAT APR 30 2016

.SYNOPSIS...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL REMAIN ACROSS THE REGION TODAY...THEN BEGIN TO
MOVE EAST TONIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY. LOW PRESSURE WILL CROSS THE
REGION MONDAY...THEN EXIT ACROSS THE MARITIMES TUESDAY.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
UPDATE...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL REMAIN ACROSS THE AREA TODAY. EXPECT A
CONTINUATION OF LIGHT WINDS AND MAINLY CLEAR SKIES. ADJUSTED HRLY
TEMPS/DEW POINTS AND RAISED HIGH TEMPS ABOUT TWO DEGREES OR SO IN
AREAS AWAY FROM THE IMMEDIATE COAST.

PREVIOUS DISCUSSION...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL REMAIN ACROSS THE REGION TODAY...THEN BEGIN TO
MOVE EAST LATER TONIGHT. A TROF WILL EXTEND NORTHEAST TOWARD THE
REGION LATER TONIGHT FROM LOW PRESSURE LOCATED TO THE SOUTHWEST.
GENERALLY EXPECT MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA TODAY
THROUGH EARLY TONIGHT. CLOUD COVER WILL THEN BEGIN TO INCREASE
LATER TONIGHT...PARTICULARLY ACROSS WESTERN PORTIONS OF THE
FORECAST AREA. HIGH TEMPERATURES TODAY WILL GENERALLY RANGE FROM
THE LOWER TO MID 50S NORTH...TO THE MID 50S INTERIOR DOWNEAST.
LOWER TO MID 50S ARE ALSO EXPECTED ACROSS COASTAL DOWNEAST AREAS
WHERE ONSHORE WINDS WILL DEVELOP. LOW TEMPERATURES TONIGHT WILL
GENERALLY RANGE FROM THE UPPER 20S TO AROUND 30 NORTH...TO THE
LOWER TO MID 30S DOWNEAST.

&&

.SHORT TERM /SUNDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
WEAK HIGH PRESSURE IS EXPECTED TO MOVE TO THE EAST OF THE AREA
EARLY SUNDAY. LOW PRESSURE WILL THEN APPROACH FROM THE SOUTHWEST.
OVERRUNNING PRECIPITATION...MOSTLY IN THE FROM OF RAIN...WILL
SPREAD FROM WEST TO EAST EARLY MONDAY. AS THE LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM
RE-DEVELOPS IN THE GULF OF MAINE LATER IN THE DAY MONDAY A SOAKING
RAIN WILL POSSIBLY DEVELOP ACROSS THE ENTIRE REGION. THE RAIN IS
THEN EXPECTED TO CONTINUE INTO MONDAY EVENING. EXCEPT FOR SOME
SNOW MIXED IN EARLY MONDAY MORNING IN HIGHER TERRAIN...ALL OF THE
PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED TO BE IN THE FROM OF RAIN.

&&

.LONG TERM /MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY/...
RAIN IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH MONDAY EVENING AS LOW
PRESSURES MOVES ALONG THE COAST THEN TRANSITION TO SHOWERS LATE AT
NIGHT INTO TUESDAY. MORE SHOWERS ARE EXPECTED WEDNESDAY INTO
THURSDAY AS UPPER LEVEL LOW PRESSURE MOVES ACROSS THE AREA.

&&

.AVIATION /18Z SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...
NEAR TERM: LOCALLY VARIABLE CONDITIONS...RANGING FROM MVFR TO
LIFR...COULD OCCUR WITH ANY PATCHY FOG DOWNEAST EARLY THIS
MORNING. OTHERWISE...VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE REGION
TODAY THROUGH TONIGHT.

SHORT TERM: VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED SUNDAY. MVFR/IFR
CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED MONDAY. OCCASIONAL MVFR CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE TUESDAY/WEDNESDAY.

&&

.MARINE...
NEAR TERM: WINDS/SEAS WILL REMAIN BELOW SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
LEVELS TODAY THROUGH TONIGHT.

SHORT TERM: FOR SUSTAINED WINDS WILL USE THE NAM12 TO POPULATE
WIND GRIDS THEN TRANSITION TO SUPERBLEND WINDS LATE MONDAY. FOR
WAVES: A SOUTHEASTERLY FETCH IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP ACROSS THE
GULF OF MAINE SUNDAY AS LOW PRESSURE APPROACHES FROM THE
SOUTHWEST. WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BECOME MORE EASTERLY LATER
MONDAY. EXPECT LARGEST WAVES MONDAY NIGHT WITH A COMBINATION OF
SOUTHEASTERLY LONG PERIOD WAVES AND SHORTER PERIOD NORTHEASTERLY
WIND WAVE. SCA CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE LATER MONDAY FOR BOTH WINDS
AND SEAS.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
DRY CONDITIONS WILL PERSIST TODAY ALONG WITH LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY
LEVELS. THIS WILL KEEP AN ELEVATED FIRE DANGER ACROSS THE REGION.
WIND GUSTS WILL GENERALLY RANGE FROM 10 TO 15 MPH. HOWEVER...AN
ONSHORE WIND WILL DEVELOP ALONG THE DOWNEAST COAST THIS AFTERNOON
WITH GUSTS OF 15 TO 20 MPH POSSIBLE. WINDS WILL DIMINISH TONIGHT.

&&

.CAR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
MARINE...NONE.

&&

$$

NEAR TERM...DUDA/NORCROSS
SHORT TERM...MIGNONE
LONG TERM...MIGNONE
AVIATION...DUDA/NORCROSS/MIGNONE
MARINE...DUDA/NORCROSS/MIGNONE
FIRE WEATHER...



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