Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Cleveland, OH

Current Version | Previous Version | Text Only | Print | Product List | Glossary Off
Versions: 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49 50
-- Remove Highlighting --
-- Discussion containing changed information from previous version are highlighted. --
000 FXUS61 KCLE 272007 AFDCLE AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH 407 PM EDT WED MAY 27 2015 .SYNOPSIS... A WEAKENING COLD FRONT WILL MOVE TO THE EAST THIS EVENING. WEAK HIGH PRESSURE WILL BRIEFLY BE OVER THE AREA THURSDAY BUT WILL MOVE OFF THE NEW ENGLAND COAST EARLY FRIDAY AS LOW PRESSURE MOVES THROUGH THE CENTRAL GREAT LAKES. && .NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM THURSDAY MORNING/... A LINE OF CONVECTION WILL MOVE EAST ACROSS THE AREA THIS THE EVENING HOURS. TIMING BASED ON THE HRRR HAS IT EAST BY ABOUT 2-3Z. SKIES SHOULD CLEAR OVERNIGHT POST COLD FRONT. LOWS NEAR MOS. && .SHORT TERM /6 AM THURSDAY MORNING THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT/... THURSDAY HIGH PRESSURE WILL BE IN CONTROL FOR THE DAY WITH FAIRLY DRY AIR IN PLACE. WILL GO WITH PARTLY CLOUDY/MOSTLY SUNNY FOR THE DAY. THURSDAY NIGHT MOISTURE WILL RETURN FROM THE SOUTH AS THE HIGH MOVES EAST. CONCERNED ABOUT SHOWERS DEVELOPING MAINLY EAST HALF. FRIDAY A COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH FROM THE NORTHWEST..REACHING THE CENTRAL LAKES BY 00Z SATURDAY. SATURDAY THE COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH. LIKELY POPS REASONABLE THROUGH THE FIRST HALF OF SATURDAY NIGHT. POPS WILL TAPER FROM NORTHWEST TO SOUTHEAST LATE SATURDAY NIGHT AND SUNDAY. && .LONG TERM /SUNDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/... THE BIGGEST ISSUE IN THE EXTENDED PORTION OF THE FORECAST IS HOW FAR SOUTH THE FRONT WILL SAG ON SUNDAY AND HOW QUICKLY IT COMES BACK NORTH. WILL DECREASE THE CHANCE OF SHOWERS ON SUNDAY. A LOT OF TIMES THE MODELS ARE OVER DONE ON HOW MUCH PRECIP ACTUALLY OCCURS IN THESE PATTERNS. WILL KEEP A LOW POP CHANCE (15-30 POP) EARLY NEXT WEEK UNTIL WE CAN SEE A BETTER TREND IN THE MODELS AND GRADUALLY INCREASE TEMPERATURES BACK UP ABOVE NORMAL BY MID WEEK. && .AVIATION /18Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY/... WEAK COLD FRONT OVER INDIANA WILL MOVE EAST THIS AFTERNOON AND EARLY TONIGHT. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL FILL IN AHEAD OF THE FRONT. SOME OF THE STORMS WILL HAVE STRONG WINDS AND HAIL AND LOCAL IFR CONDITIONS. THE SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST WIND WILL BE GUSTY AHEAD OF THE FRONT. WINDS VEERING WEST BEHIND THE FRONT TONIGHT AND THEN LIGHT NORTH BY THURSDAY MORNING. VFR EXCEPT FOR PATCHY MVFR FOG THURSDAY MORNING. OUTLOOK...NON VFR CONDITIONS SATURDAY IN SHRA/TS. NON VFR POSSIBLE INTO SUNDAY. && .MARINE... THE WEAK COLD FRONT CROSSING LAKE ERIE EARLY TONIGHT WILL CONTINUE TO PRODUCE THUNDERSTORMS WITH GUSTY WINDS AS IT MOVES EAST AND MARINERS ON THE CENTRAL AND EASTERN BASIN WILL HAVE TO MONITOR FOR THUNDERSTORMS. THE GRADIENT IS PRETTY LIGHT BEHIND THE FRONT AND COMES AROUND FROM THE NORTH AND THE NORTHEAST ON THURSDAY...VEERING TOWARD THE SOUTHEAST AND SOUTH AGAIN BY FRIDAY AHEAD OF THE NEXT FRONT. WINDS WILL BE STRONGER WITH THE NEXT FRONT...INCREASING FROM THE SOUTHWEST EARLY SATURDAY AND SHIFTING TO NORTH AND NORTHEAST AFTER THE FRONTAL PASSAGE LATE SATURDAY. A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MAY BE NEEDED BY LATER SATURDAY INTO SUNDAY. && .CLE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... PA...NONE. NY...NONE. MARINE...NONE. && $$ SYNOPSIS...TK NEAR TERM...TK SHORT TERM...TK LONG TERM...KOSARIK AVIATION...KOSARIK MARINE...KOSARIK

USA.gov is the U.S. government's official web portal to all federal, state and local government web resources and services.