Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Cleveland, OH

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000 FXUS61 KCLE 262234 AFDCLE AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH 634 PM EDT THU MAR 26 2015 .SYNOPSIS... ARCTIC HIGH PRESSURE WILL DROP SLOWLY SOUTHEAST FROM THE CANADIAN PLAINS TONIGHT REACHING THE OHIO VALLEY ON SATURDAY. ANOTHER COLD FRONT WILL CROSS THE REGION SUNDAY NIGHT BEFORE HIGH PRESSURE MOVES IN TUESDAY. && .NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM FRIDAY MORNING/... UPDATE...MINOR ADJUSTMENTS MADE TO TEMPS SKY AND POP GRIDS FOR THE UPDATE BASED ON OBS...RADAR AND SATELLITE. ORIGINAL...LOW PRESSURE CONTINUES TO MOVE UP THE EAST COAST PULLING MOISTURE EASTWARD WITH IT. THERE IS STILL SOME LIGHT RAIN/SNOW ACROSS THE EASTERN HALF OF THE COUNTY WARNING AREA BUT THIS SHOULD CONTINUE TO ERODE AND DISSIPATE AS IT MOVES EASTWARD. WE WILL STILL HAVE TO AWAIT AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH THAT WILL DIG INTO THE CENTRAL GREAT LAKES BY SUNRISE. ANY SNOWFALL ACCUMULATIONS WILL BE LIGHT BUT WILL LIKELY RESULT IN A DUSTING TO MAYBE AN INCH OVER INLAND NW PA. THERE COULD BE A FEW BREAKS IN THE CLOUD COVER ACROSS THE WEST LATE IN THE EVENING. HOWEVER WITH THE APPROACHING UPPER LEVEL TROUGH IT SEEMS AS IF THE CLOUDS WILL FILL BACK IN FAIRLY FAST. THIS CLOUD COVER WILL ASSIST IN KEEPING TEMPERATURES IN THE 20S OVERNIGHT. && .SHORT TERM /6 AM FRIDAY MORNING THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT/... THE UPPER LEVEL TROUGH WILL MOVE ACROSS THE REGION ON FRIDAY. THERE MAY BE AN INCREASE IN THE SNOW SHOWERS AS THE TROUGH PASSES ACROSS THE REGION. SOME MOISTURE WILL LIKELY BE LIFTED OFF OF LAKE ERIE AS THE COLDER AIR SPILLS ACROSS IT. THIS WILL LIKELY ENHANCE THE SNOWFALL ACROSS NE OHIO INTO NW PA. ACCUMULATIONS WILL GENERALLY BE AN INCH OR SO IN THE SNOWBELT WITH ISOLATED TOTALS OF 3 OR 4 INCHES POSSIBLE ACROSS INLAND NW PA. THE SNOW SHOWERS ARE EXPECTED TO END SATURDAY MORNING ACROSS NW PA AS HIGH PRESSURE BECOMES THE DOMINANT FEATURE. THIS HIGH WILL CONTINUE TO CONTROL THE REGION INTO SATURDAY NIGHT. THE NEXT STORM SYSTEM WILL MOVE INTO THE REGION BY SUNDAY NIGHT WITH INCREASING CHANCES OF RAIN OR SNOW. TEMPERATURES WILL CONTINUE TO BE BELOW AVERAGE THROUGH THE SHORT TERM WITH HIGHS MAINLY IN THE MID 20S TO MID 30S. WARMER ON SUNDAY AS SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS BRING HIGHS BACK INTO THE 40S. && .LONG TERM /MONDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/... THE RIDGE WILL CONTINUE ACROSS THE WEST COAST AND THE ROCKIES AND DISTURBANCES WILL CONTINUE TO TRACK FROM THE US/CANADIAN BORDER ACROSS THE GREAT LAKES AND INTO NEW ENGLAND THROUGH MUCH OF NEXT WEEK. SOMEWHAT MORE ZONAL FLOW IS EXPECTED CLOSER TO THE END OF THE WEEK. TEMPERATURES WILL BE SEASONABLE WITH BRIEF WARMUPS AHEAD OF EACH SYSTEM AND ONLY SLIGHT COOL DOWNS ON THE BACKSIDE. TIMING OF THESE QUICKER MOVING SYSTEMS DIFFICULT AND WILL HAVE PERIODS OF LIGHT PRECIP WITH EACH. WILL HAVE TO GO WITH RAIN/SNOW MIX FOR NOW AS TEMPERATURES AT TIMES MARGINAL. && .AVIATION /18Z THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/... SYSTEM PULLING AWAY FROM THE OHIO VALLEY. WITH IT RA AND SOME SNOW SHOWERS EXITING TO THE EAST. IFR/LIFR WITHIN THE AREAS OF PRECIPITATION...IMPROVING TO MVFR AS IT ENDS. SLIGHT RIDGING BUILDS IN FROM THE WEST TONIGHT AND TOL/FDY/MFD/CLE MAY GET TO VFR FOR A TIME TONIGHT. A TROUGH WILL SINK SOUTHWARD ACROSS THE EASTERN GREAT LAKES FRIDAY MORNING AND MVFR CEILINGS WILL BE WIDESPREAD AGAIN ACROSS THE ENTIRE AREA. DID NOT INCLUDE ANY SHSN FOR KERI YET...BUT CAN NOT RULE OUT SOME FRIDAY MORNING. .OUTLOOK...NON VFR AGAIN FRIDAY/FRIDAY NIGHT...LINGERING ACROSS FAR NE OH/NW PA INTO SATURDAY. AREAS OF NON VFR POSSIBLE LATE SUNDAY INTO MONDAY AND AGAIN TUESDAY. && .MARINE... HIGH WILL BE BUILDING ACROSS THE GREAT LAKES THROUGH THE FIRST PART OF THE WEEKEND...BUT A TROUGH CROSSING THE EASTERN LAKES FRIDAY AFTERNOON WILL ALLOW FOR WINDS ON ERIE TO INCREASE FROM THE NORTH AT ABOUT 20 KNOTS FRIDAY NIGHT. THE HIGH SHIFTS EAST SUNDAY AND A CLIPPER SUNDAY NIGHT/MONDAY WILL BRING WINDS UP AGAIN. THIS TIME POSSIBLY UPWARDS OF 30 KNOTS...SOUTHWEST AND THEN WEST. BRIEF RIDGING FOR TUESDAY. && .CLE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... OH...NONE. PA...NONE. MARINE...NONE. && $$ SYNOPSIS...MULLEN NEAR TERM...TK/MULLEN SHORT TERM...MULLEN LONG TERM...OUDEMAN AVIATION...OUDEMAN MARINE...OUDEMAN

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