Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS State College, PA

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000 FXUS61 KCTP 270302 AFDCTP AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STATE COLLEGE PA 1102 PM EDT TUE APR 26 2016 .SYNOPSIS... A COLD FRONT WILL PASS SOUTH OF PENNSYLVANIA THIS EVENING. A LARGE AREA OF HIGH PRESSURE OVER SOUTH CENTRAL CANADA WILL THEN RIDGE SOUTHEAST INTO PENNSYLVANIA TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY WITH FAIR AND COOLER CONDITIONS. AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE TRACK SOUTH OF PENNSYLVANIA THURSDAY INTO FRIDAY. && .NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM WEDNESDAY MORNING/...
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RADAR MOSAIC AT 03Z SHOWS LAST OF THE SHOWERS HAVE EXITED THE SOUTHERN COUNTIES...AS CDFRONT SLIPS SOUTH OF THE MASON DIXON LINE. STRATUS ACROSS THE N MTNS SHOULD BREAK UP OVERNIGHT...AS DRIER AIR ARRIVES FROM THE NORTH. IN THE SOUTH...UPSTREAM SATL IMAGERY SUGGESTS A GOOD DEAL OF CLOUDINESS THRU DAWN AHEAD OF SHORTWAVE OVR THE OHIO VALLEY. LOW TEMPS TONIGHT WILL RANGE FROM THE FROSTY LOWER 30S ACROSS THE NORTHERN TIER COUNTIES...TO THE MID AND UPPER 40S IN THE SOUTH.
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&& .SHORT TERM /6 AM WEDNESDAY MORNING THROUGH 6 PM WEDNESDAY/... WEDNESDAY WILL BE ONE OF THE DRIER DAYS OF THE WEEK THANKS TO CANADIAN HIGH PRESSURE NOSING SOUTHWARD ACROSS THE GLAKS. BAROCLINIC ZONE WILL STALL JUST SOUTH OF THE MASON DIXON LINE LIKELY RESULTING IN PT-MCLDY SKIES OVER THE SOUTHERN COUNTIES. OTHERWISE EXPECT A GOOD DEAL OF SUNSHINE FOR MOST DESPITE WITH MAX TEMPS BTWN 60-65F FOR MOST OF THE AREA. && .LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY/... A SYSTEM TRACKING SOUTH OF THE AREA ON THU WILL BRING SOME RAIN...AND MORE NOTABLY COOLER TEMPERATURES TO THE AREA. SOME OF THE GUIDANCE A LITTLE SLOWER WITH THE LEADING EDGE TODAY. A SECOND WEAK SYSTEM TRACKING SOUTH OF THE AREA ON FRIDAY WILL LIKELY BRING A FEW MORE SHOWERS TO THE AREA...AS AN INVERTED TROUGH TRYS TO FORM. STILL LOOKS LIKE MOST OF SAT WILL BE DRY. OVERALL A PATTERN THAT FAVORS WETTER CONDITIONS AS WE MOVE TOWARD MAY. THE PERIOD FROM LATER SUNDAY INTO EARLY TUE WILL LIKELY RESULT IN SOME RAIN. OVERALL NOT LOOKING REAL COLD...AS MAYBE THE GUIDANCE HINTED AT THE OTHER DAY...BUT A WETTER PATTERN THAN WE HAVE SEEN LATELY. && .AVIATION /03Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/... SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS WILL ACCOMPANY A COLD FRONT AS IT SAGS SOUTHWARD THROUGH CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN PA THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS ARE POSSIBLE NEAR ANY STORMS THROUGH 00Z. PRECIP WILL END FROM NW TO SE...EXITING THE LOWER SUSQ SHORTLY AFTER 00Z WED. LOWERING CIGS WILL SAG IN FROM THE NORTH...IMPACTING MAINLY WESTERN HIGHER TERRAIN AND LIKELY EXPANDING INTO THE CENTRAL MTNS TONIGHT. OUTLOOK... WED...NO SIG WX EXPECTED. THU-FRI...MVFR WITH SHRA LIKELY. SAT...FAIR. SUN...MVFR WITH SHRA LIKELY. && .CTP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... NONE. && $$ SYNOPSIS...DEVOIR NEAR TERM...FITZGERALD SHORT TERM...DEVOIR/FITZGERALD LONG TERM...MARTIN AVIATION...GARTNER

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