Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS State College, PA

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000 FXUS61 KCTP 262115 AFDCTP Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service State College PA 515 PM EDT FRI AUG 26 2016 .SYNOPSIS... A large ridge of high pressure at the surface and aloft will build over the Mid Atlantic Region through the upcoming weekend, bringing a string of warm and dry days. A weak front will try to push southeast across the state Sunday night into Monday morning and could be accompanied by scattered showers or thunderstorms, mainly over the north and west. Another period of warmer than normal and dry days will follow for Monday, Tuesday, and possibly Wednesday. && .NEAR TERM /THROUGH SATURDAY/...
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Weak cold front pushing south of PA early this evening. Sct cu still noted in visible satellite imagery across the southern counties at 20Z, but expect clear skies everywhere by 00Z as slightly drier air works in on nw flow. Quiet period upcoming with high pressure sliding right over the region tonight, resulting in a fair and mild night. Will have to watch for the possibility of patchy valley fog over the northern mtns late. Another sunny day in store for Sat as above normal temps /similar to today/ continue.
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&& .SHORT TERM /SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY/... Another quiet night Sat night with some mid/high clouds beginning to stream into the NW. A weak cold front will bring the chance for showers or thunderstorms later Sunday - mainly in northern and western sections. Above average temps continue. && .LONG TERM /SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY/... The extended period looks like it will feature a transition from a persistent upper-level ridge over the eastern United States to an upper-level trough over the northeast. As a result, above- normal temperatures early next week should gradually transition to near or even slightly below-normal temperatures by the end of next week. A weakening cold front will approach the area later Sunday before washing out overhead Monday into Tuesday. A widespread rainfall is not expected, but the presence of this front will keep PoPs a little bit elevated early in the week with a few showers or thunderstorms possible. A second cold front should push across the area Wednesday or Thursday, with a renewed chance for showers and thunderstorms. This front will be followed by a cool-down for the end of next week. && .AVIATION /21Z FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
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Nice summer afternoon outside with VFR conditions. Just a few fair weather CU across the far south. Only minor adjustments for 21Z TAFS. Earlier discussion below. VFR continues into Sat night with some local fog impacts possible early Saturday morning. NW winds around 10 mph will become light by sunset, with light winds continuing through Sat night. Outlook... Sun...Scattered TS northwest 1/2 airspace. Mon-Wed...Primarily VFR. Isolated mainly afternoon TS poss.
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&& .CTP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... None. && $$ SYNOPSIS...RXR NEAR TERM...Fitzgerald/RXR SHORT TERM...RXR LONG TERM...Evanego AVIATION...Martin/RXR

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